Anthony A. Perri - Page 3

Anthony A. Perri is the founder and the resident "Stats Nerd" here at Fantistics. Anthony is the designer of the Fantistics Projections, Grading, & the VAM drafting strategy models. His fantasy expertise has been published in several national publications, and can be heard on their nationally broadcast SiriusXM (ch87) Fantistics Sports Radio Show. Anthony has an MBA and worked as a quantitative analyst within the investment industry from 1986-1999. Transplanted from New York (still a Mets and Giants Fan), he currently lives in Arizona with his wife Mary , daughter Hannah, and son Adam. Having won a "trophy room" of Fantasy Sports Championships over the last 25 years, he hopes to continue to lead you in the same direction.

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    Early Season Under / Over Performing Pitchers

    In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. I want to start this year's Pitcher segment by saying: historically pitchers have a much more difficult...

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    Early Season Under/Over Performers

    The first 4 weeks of the 2009 Baseball Season are history and as typical there are quite a few players who are struggling and a quite a few who are posting MVP type numbers...but who deserves to be where?  Welcome...

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    The UMA draft strategy - Unappreciated Mound Aces

    Recently I had a discussion with an industry colleague on the trend and effectiveness of passing on the top pitchers in this years draft, despite their discounted prices. I feel that this is a trend that needs to be...

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    Runners Stranded Percentage - 2009 Edition

    Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with Stranded Percentages of...

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    Consistency Factor

    Consistency Factor Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head to Head league, you probably already know the importance...

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    Technical Indicators - Outfielders Part I

    Here's a sweep through some of our handy indicators for the Outfielders. There will be more to analyze in the coming days due to the size of the position. The only position left after this one will be that of...

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    Technical Indicators - 3rd Basemen

    Technical Indicators 3rd basemen Rodriguez, Alex ARod with juice .615 SLG/1.010 OPS...Arod off juice .572/.973...still a darn good player. Wright, David A better hitters background, but Citi Field has TALL walls. Numbers may stagnate in the power department. Longoria,...

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    Preseason Projection Notes February 19th

    Hi Folks, Lets go straight to some highlights coming from the camps. Ken Griffey Jr is all about revivals, he signed with the Mariners yesterday. Griffey doesn't have much superstar production left in the tank, but at DH he...

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    The Masters of Inconsistency

    A few years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an indication of a batter's quality games or...

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    2009 Technical Indicators - Catchers

    Hi Folks, This morning we take a swing at the top tier catchers in this year's fantasy draft.  Since there is a finite number of positions that must be filled in most fantasy baseball leagues, catchers are and have...

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    Technical Indicators - 2009 Starting Pitchers Part II

    Hi Folks, Here's a second swing at a few key technical indicators that are shaping our 2009 pitcher projections.  These along with other player notes can be found in the notes section in the player projections software. In no...

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    Deserved Wins

    Deserved Wins:  One of our simplest Sabermetric formulas is Expected or Deserved Wins. We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts multiplied by a factor of .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (a Quality Start as...

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    Technical Indicators - Starting Pitchers 2009 Part 1

    Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes where I post a some of the technical indicators that influence our 2009 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes as we kick off the 2009 campaign....

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    2008 Second Half Rankings - Pitchers Edition

    Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/02/08)Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second half "positive trends" are due to...

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    2008 Second Half Rankings - Hitters Edition

    With the half way point officially upon us, it's a good time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2008. Subscribing to the regression to the mean...

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    Under/Over Performing Pitchers May 2008

    In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =...

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    Under/Over Performing Batters

    Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves to be...

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    Preseason Projections Blog - March 28th

    Player Blurbs written by Michael Leone Eric Byrnes – Last year Byrnes had one of the best fantasy seasons among outfielders, but don’t buy into the hype just yet. His singles average was 43 points higher than his three year...

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    Preseason Projections Blog - March 28th

    Preseason Player Projections - March 28, 2008| article by Michael Berman What do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept Nationals 1B...

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    Runners Stranded

    Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with...

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    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II

    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II Thursday we looked at the pitchers from 2007 who benefited from an ERA which was better "than deserved". This sabermetric formula is based on a statistic developed by researchers Dwight Gill and...

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    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA

    As many of you already know, Fantistics uses sabermetric theories to create it's player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One of my favorite forecasting models that we monitor here at Fantistics is...

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    Projection Indicators - Outfielders Part II

    Hi Guys, Here is another round of analytic notes. Again, many of the definitions for the indicators I am mentioning can also be found in our charting area as well.  This morning we take our second swing at the...

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    The Luck of the Bounce - BHIP%

    The luck of the bounce - Balls Hit into Play Success % Balls Hit into Play Success %: defined as the number of balls hit into play that are registered as hits against a pitcher. Much has been written...

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    The Masters of Inconsistency

    The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last season we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an...

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    Deserved Wins - Quality Starts Need Support

    Deserved Wins:  We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts *  .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (As a reminder, Quality Starts is defined by Bill James as a start where the pitcher has gone at...

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    Consistency Factor - Vital Draft Day Intelligence

    Here's an update on an indicator we developed last season: Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head...

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    Technical Indicators - First Basemen

    Here's a look at the first basemen and some of the indicators used in developing their 2008 projections (these notes can be found in the software as well). In no particular order: Delgado, Carlos Eroding skill set, but decent...

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    Technical Indicators - Starting Pitchers Part 2

    Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,...

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    Technical Indicators - Starting Pitchers Part 1

    Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,...

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    Mock Draft Simulator

    Get your Mock on...our new Mock Draft module may become one of the most addicting fantasy tools that you've ever utilized. Fantasy GMs can now simulate a fantasy draft before draft day while utilizing their specific scoring rules. More...

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    Second Half Rankings - Pitchers Edition

    Second Half Rankings Hitters Edition Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/07/07) Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second...

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    Under / Over Performing Pitchers

    In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =...

  • Entertainment
    April's Under/Over Performing Batters

    April's Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is almost in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves...

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    Pre Season Pitcher Box Scores

    Preseason Pitcher Box Scores

     

    It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is underway and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the early preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially veteran pitchers, sometimes try new things during the early games of the spring. I typically pay particular attention to the players coming off of an injury or young pitchers trying to make the rotation:

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    Player Projections Blog - March 26th

    The D-backs Edgar Gonzalez has pitched extremely well this spring, since March 9th. Gonzalez has pitched 19 Innings, while only allowing 14 baserunners, 3 Earned Runs on 12 Ks. During his  5 year minor league career Edgar posted unspectacular...