Scott Feldman: It has been a breakout year for Feldman, 16-5 with a 3.65 ERA, but he has one of those skill sets, 5.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, and a 48% GB% that doesn’t exactly inspire confidence that he can come close to those numbers next year. His past work, 2007/2008 K/9’s 4.4/4.4, BB/9’s 7.4/3.3, and GB%’s 59%/44% further reinforces that lack of confidence in Feldman. If his luck turns, .263 BHIP% and a 74% Strand Rate, his lack of dominance and shaky control, means there will be a lot of balls in play with runners on base. Throw in an unforgiving home park and it could get real ugly quickly for Feldman. He will be way overvalued going into 2010, so let someone else assume the risks.
Dustin Pedroia: Pedroia’s power, 2008/2009 AB’s 653/566, Doubles’ 54/44, Home Runs’ 17/13, and speed, 20 for 21 in steals last year vs. 17 for 24 this, is off from last year. However, he has actually improved his awesome approach at the plate, 2008/2009 BB%’s 7%/10% and Ct%’s 92%/93%. With his FB% improving, 2008/2009 FB%’s 36%/41%, and hitting the magic age of 27 in August of next year, don’t be surprised to see his power output surpass his 2008 level. He is prime keeper material in any format.
Jhonny Peralta: At the age of 27, when he should be making gains, Peralta took a step back in almost every important category, 2008/2009 AB’s 605/523, Doubles’ 42/33, Home Runs’ 11/23, BB%’s 7%/8%, and Ct%’s 79&/77%. The loss of power can be attributed to a career high GB%, 2007/2008/2009 GB%’s 47%/44%/51%. He will still be only 28 years old next year, so the power can return, but he looked a lot better going into this year than he will going into next season.
Magglio Ordonez: In just three years, Ordonez’s power has gone from a big-time slugger to the equivalent of a light hitting shortstop, 2007/2008/2009 AB’s 595/561/412, Doubles’ 54/32/19, and Home Runs’ 28/21/7. An increasing GB%, 2007/2008/2009 GB%’s 42%/44%/52%, shows that Ordonez is aging worse than most players. He will be 36 years of age next season and there are no signs that he can turn this rapid decline around. This is not someone that you want on your fantasy radar next season.
Alexei Ramirez: While Ramirez has improved his approach at the plate in the second season, 2008/2009 BB%’s 4%/8% and Ct%’s 13%/12%, it has come at the expense of his power, 2008/2009 AB’s 480/497, Doubles’ 22/12, and Home Runs’ 21/15. So which Ramirez should we expect next year? Based on his age, he turns 29 on September 22nd, pitchers being more familiar with him, and his GB%, 2008/2009 GB%’s 47%/46%, we are more likely to see the 2009 version of Ramirez in 2010.
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