Jamie Moyer- PHI- Hot- Moyer gave up 1 run on 2 hits in 8 IP last night, walking 1 and striking out 5. He has enjoyed good luck this year, with a .236 BHIP, but he has also made some of his own luck, Moyer, who has been in the majors since the Reagan administration, owns a 1.71 BHIP. With control like that, regression to the mean won’t be as painful as it otherwise would be.
Michael Stanton- FLA- Hot- Stanton looks like he might be getting untracked. In his last 4 games he has gone 5-for-17 with his first major league homer. He is still pressing (7 strikeouts) but at least he is seeing balls fall again after going hitless against Texas last week. Stanton has enjoyed good luck so far in his brief major league career (.407 BABIP) but his K% is so high (47.1%) that it isn’t affecting as many at bats as it will once Stanton makes more contact. Regression to the mean won’t hurt him that badly.
Luis Atilano- WAS- Rookie- Atilano snapped a 3-game losing streak, beating the Royals last night, allowing 1 run on 6 hits and no walks while striking out 5 in 5.1 IP. Atilano’s appearance was probably shortened by a 49-minute rain delay in the 4th, but he has shown a tendency to have stamina issues. He has only pitched more than 6 IP in 2 of his 12 starts. On the plus side, it has kept Atilano’s pitch counts down. The losing streak started with a 114-pitch effort, his only start above the 110-pitch level . Hopefully the Washington brain trust took note and will continue to use him conservatively. If so, then with his improving control (6 BB in his last 31.2 IP) and a favorable home park, Atilano could have some value in most leagues the rest of the way.
Ryan Ludwick- STL- Cold- Ludwick has been in a cold spell for his last 10 games, going 6-for-35 in that span with only 1 homer. He has not gotten desperate enough o swing at everything yet, only striking out 5 times, but Ludwick has only drawn one walk in that stretch. On the bright side, this may just be some regression to the mean happening. His numbers are now very similar to last year, with the exception of a higher slugging percentage. In the end, Ludwick is back on track to finish out close to the ,287-24-104 he was projected for in the preseason.
Jose Tabata- PIT- Cold- Tabata’s average is now at the Mendoza line after an 0-for-5 against Texas. The rookie is suffering from some horrendous luck at the start of his major league career (.211 BABIP) so it’s way too early to judge him. Tabata does already have his first major league homer out of the way, is getting playing time, and has a solid .67 Batting EYE. Look for his numbers to increase as his luck evens out.