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The Rockies premier RHB Troy Tulowitzki tops our play list today but it's value plays like Jordan Pacheco, Jason Kubel and Nick Swisher who could really help you bring home the top prize today!
Today's featured DFS site is Fantasy Feud. Click HERE for a first time deposit bonus!
Before we get into today's recommendations, it is important to remind everyone to understand your scoring format and the pricing of the individual players on the site you're playing. These vary from site to site and all daily sites price their players differently, which could make someone a must start on one site but not another. It is also important to double check starting lineups as news often breaks after this column is written. In the space below I will break down the best plays by position and make notes as to which type of formats to utilize players. If you are new to the daily fantasy baseball scene, there are daily fantasy websites which offer one day contests. These contests are mostly salary cap games where you can take any players you want as long as you stay under the cap and meet the positional requirements and all are points-based (not roto). Please feel free to e-mail me at mleone@fantistics.com if you have any further questions regarding daily fantasy baseball.
Weather: The only game with concerns at this point is STL-CIN where there are 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms throughout the day.
First Base:
Best Values:
Nick Swisher (CLE) - Same story as Santana as Swisher is priced way down because of a potential matchup with Anibal Sanchez but instead is getting a rookie LHP. Swisher has always been better from his natural side (.348 wOBA vs. LHP) and he's priced just over $51,000 on Fantasy Feud; a very cheap price for a clean-up hitter in a good offense.
Shortstop:
Top Play:
Troy Tulowitzki (COL) - Sunday is a day I will be paying up for Tulowitzki. We've talked about Clayton Richard's immense struggles against RHB's, especially this year, and Tulowitzki has a career .413 wOBA at home against LHP. He also has an immense history against Richard as he's gone 8-17 with 3 HR's and 5 BB's compared to just 1 K (.471/.591/1.000). I plan on playing the high price for Tulowitzki across the industry on Sunday. The only risk is that Tulo gets a maintenance day on Sunday which we always have to monitor lineups for.
Third Base
Best Values:
Nolan Arenado (COL)/Jordan Pacheco (COL) - I like both COL 3B quite a bit on Sunday. You already know my distaste for Clayton Richard and Pacheco has a career .398 wOBA at home against LHP, while Arenado has a solid .238 ISO against LHP in his brief career. Arenado is more assured of AB's throughout the game as his defense doesn't get subbed out, but Pacheco is the better pure hitter against lefties. Both are great plays and on many sites I'd let price dictate which one I chose.
Outfield:
Top Plays:
Carlos Beltran (STL) - Bronson Arroyo has given up a .363 wOBA and 1.8 HR/9 to LHB's since 2010. Carlos Beltran has been the 2nd most effective Cardinal against RHP since 2011 with a .374 wOBA and it trails, only modestly, Matt Carpenter's .377 wOBA. Beltran does have the advantage in this matchup as a bigger component of Beltran's wOBA is the power (.207 ISO) and Arroyo is more susceptible to LH power than patience (6% BB% allowed). Beltran has the highest ISO of any Cardinal against RHP in the last few years and he's collected 7 XBH's in 29 AB's against Arroyo in his career. He's another great top play option.
Best Values:
Gerardo Parra/Jason Kubel (ARZ) - Parra is significantly more expensive than Kubel on most sites which makes Kubel the better value option between the two but he has some health question marks. You'll want to get some ARZ left-handed bats in your lineup on Sunday as the Giants starter Chad Gaudin has given up a .383 wOBA to LHB's since 2010. Kubel has been more effective against RHP (.352 wOBA) than Parra (.343 wOBA) over the last few years while both players have strong individual history against Gaudin in a meaningless 10 AB sample. I like both plays quite a bit but will be anxiously monitoring whether Kubel is in the lineup as he's the better value on most sites.
Starting Pitchers:
The Studs:
Felix Hernandez (SEA) - The Yankees lineup is getting healthier and better but Hernandez seems to really get up for these matchups with the Yankees. He's had 9 starts against them over the last three years and he's posted a 2.35 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 7.96 K/9. Hernandez is posting the best xFIP of his career (2.50 xFIP) thanks to his best K% and lowest BB% of his career. At home, I expect Hernandez to be on his game on Sunday. He's the stud I'm most willing to pay up for.
Check out some of the big DFS Baseball Contests going on tonight:
Sign up on DraftStreet and enter today's $109 Qualifier for their Baseball Championship which has a $400,000 prize pool.
FanDuel is running a $25 Qualifier on Tuesday for the Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship. The Qualifier winner gets a trip to Las Vegas and a shot at a $200,000 grand prize.
Enter Tuesday night's StarStreet $109 PFBC Qualifier to win a trip to the Playboy Mansion and a shot at a $75,000 grand prize.
Enter today's DraftDay satellite leagues that give you an entry to their Big League Blast Qualifiers and a chance to compete for $200,000 in prizes including a $50,000 grand prize
Check out DailyJoust's daily Qualifiers for their $50,000 SuperJoust.
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