Chris Coghlan- CHN- Hot- Coghlan has gotten some favorable luck this month. Befroe yesterday's 4-for-4 performance his BABIP for September was .378. Yesterday he raised his average 8 points and his BABIP went up 5 points in a single day. That's pretty extreme given the time of the year. Coghlan's BABIP stands at .336 for the season and his average is at .283. Both numbers are higher than his career norm so looking to 2015 he is likely to suffer a regression.
J. P. Howell- LAN- Cold- It's been over 3 years since we posted an analysis blurb on Howell. Now it's happening because he had an uncharacteristically poor outing yesterday, giving up 4 runs while recording 2 outs. His ERA jumped from 1.53 to a still respectable 2.27. Howell really deserved more attention this season, particularly for leagues that count holds. He has posted 27 holds, more than in the last 3 seasons combined. He has been a steady left handed reliever, accumulating near or over 50 IP in each of the last 3 seasons. Howell has had some control issues, walking 25 batters in 47.2 IP this season and a total of 45 in 112.1 total IP over 2012 and 2013. He can be expected to be a solid southpaw reliever again in 2015.
Edinson Volquez- PIT- Hot- Volquez threw 7 shutout IP yesterday but ended up with a no decision as the Brewers scored in the 9th and won 1-0. He gave up 3 hits and walked 3 while striking out 6. Volquez is still enjoying good luck this season and the difference between his ERA and FIP grew to 1.12, with an ERA of 3.15 and FIIP of 4.27. Volquez has showed better control this season, as he has for the past few years, with his BB/9 dropping from 5.38 in 2011 to 5.17 in 2012 to 4.07 last season to 3.39 this year. His K/9 has also consistently dropped, though, from 8.61 in 2011 down to 6.30 in 2014. This has made his .263 BABIP a larger factor in his success. That can't be counted on next year. Volquez is a risk to revert to his mediocre self in 2015.
Emilio Bonifacio- ATL- Hot- In his first start in almost a week, Bonifacio went 2-for-3 with a walk, 2 steals and a run. He has a hit in each of his last 4 starts, dating back to September 9th, but he has only had two pinch hitting appearances and two pinch running appearances besides those games in that span. Bonifacio has had some bad luck since joining the Braves, carrying a .304 BABIP for them into yesterday's game. His career mark is .331. With a total of 24 steals on the year, Bonifacio should still have fantasy value in 2015.
Rafael Ynoa- COL- Rookie- Ynoa is hitting .400 in his first 40 major league PAs. This is after hitting .297 at AAA over 473 PAs. Ynoa seemingly came out of nowhere to get on the prospect radar after spending 6 years in the minors through 2013 and reaching AA. The difference this year is some favorable luck. At AAA Ynoa had a .353 BABIP and has one of .444 in his brief time in the majors. This doesn't put him in prime position for significant fantasy production next season.
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