Drew Smyly-Rays-SP
Drew Smyly went 7 IP and gave up 0 ER on 4 H, 1 BB, and 10 K in the win against the Orioles. Drew Smyly has been an interesting case this year. He pitched well early on and then partially tore his labrum and was thought to be out for the season. He has made three starts since coming off the DL and the results have been mixed. He has given up 8 ER over 14 IP prior to yesterdays masterpiece. At this point in the season, he does offer upside, but I wouldn't expect much from him or the Rays. Heading into next season he will be an interesting player provided that he is healthy. He has shown the ability to get strikeouts and pitch well when healthy. He travels to Detroit next time out, which is a tough spot for him.
Marco Estrada-Blue Jays-SP
Marco Estrada went 7 IP and gave up 2 ER on 5 H, 1 BB, and 2 K in the win against the Indians. Estrada has proved me wrong this year. I thought he would have been a disaster in the Rogers Centre with his HR problems, but he has posted a 3.16 ERA (4.06 FIP). His solid results are due to a HR/FB rate that is well below his career average. He gives up 50% FB, which it is only a matter of time until his HR/FB ratio normalizes and we see his ERA rise with it. I don't know if it will happen this year, but counting on him to keep his HR problems in check for another season in the Rogers Centre, is a bad bet. He gets the Red Sox at Fenway in his next start.
Johnny Cueto-Royals-SP
Johnny Cueto went 6 IP and gave up 4 ER on 9 H, 0 BB, and 2 K in the loss to the Tigers. Johnny Cueto has not been as dominant as last year, but this should have been expected after he posted an ERA a full run lower than his FIP. This season he has a 3.04 ERA and 3.28 FIP. His strikeouts have dropped below 8.00 K/9, which isn't good, but he maintains success by limiting hard contact and base runners. The rest of the way Cueto should continue to pitch well, but I would rank Cueto in the next tier down after the aces, for next year. He gets a nice matchup with the White Sox next time out.
DFS Value Plays of the Day
Kevin Gausman-Orioles-SP
Kevin Gausman is not a cash game play due the fluctuations in his strikeout rate, but he does have the upside to be a GPP play. He gets to the face the Tampa Bay Rays who have been just dreadful against RHP this year. They have a .297 wOBA. 91 wRC+, and 21% K. This puts Gausman on the radar for GPP's. DraftKings Value: $6,200
Rougned Odor-Rangers-2B
Rougned Odor has a .328 AVG with 7 HR and 19 RBI in the second half. He has a .348 wOBA and .202 ISO against RHP. He gets matched up with Andrew Cashner, who at this point is nothing more than a league average pitcher. He has given up a .383 wOBA to LHB. If Odor is at the top of the Rangers order, he is a must play. DraftKings Value: $3,100
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