Steven Matz went 7.1 IP and gave up 0 ER on 1 H, 2 BB, and 8 K's against the Padres. Matz now has a 3.40 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 23% K. Matz no-hit the Padres through 7.1 innings. He had been struggling in the second half prior to this start (4.34 ERA). The good news is that his strikeout rate has actually gone up while his walk rate has gone down. He has been hurt by the longball (1.24 HR/9) and BABIP (.354). Matz will continue to be one of the better pitchers in the league down the stretch. There is no need to worry as the underlying skills are still excellent for the young left-hander. He has a nice matchup against the Giants in San Francisco next.
Trea Turner-Nationals-2B, SS
Trea Turner was 2-5 with 2 runs scored against the Braves. Turner is now hitting .319 with 3 HR, 14 RBI, and 10 SB in just 27 games. He is an aggressive hitter that has shown the ability to make contact (20% K). He has posted a .345 OBP, which is extremely important because he has elite speed. If he can continue to get on at a .345 clip, he has the ability to steal another 10+ bases down the stretch. Dusty Baker has been playing him consistently and batting him leadoff, which will allow him to score runs. This is important because he will be more than just a stolen base threat.
Tyler Chatwood went 4 IP and gave up 4 ER on 6 H, 5 BB, and 4 K's against the Phillies. Chatwood now has a 3.75 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and 16.2% K. The good news for the Rockies is that Chatwood has pitched extremely well this year. The bad news for us in the fantasy community is that he has a below average strikeout rate. He needs to have above average ratios (ERA, WHIP) to counter the lack of strikeouts and Coors is never going to allow him to do that. He is having success by inducing a lot of weak contact (56% GB). He has been a disaster at home (5.43 ERA) and exceptional on the road (1.30 ERA). Unfortunately, next time out he will be at home against the Cubs, which is a matchup to completely avoid.
Tanner Roark went 7 IP and gave up 1 ER on 5 H, 2 BB, and 3 K's against the Braves. Roark now has a 2.81 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 20.3% K. Roark has pitched really well since making his way back into the Nationals rotation. However, his underlying skills don't line up with his traditional stats (4.10 SIERA). The good news is that he has the ability to induce weak contact (51% GB and 25% Weak). This will allow him to be successful with a below average strikeout rate (20% K, 8% SwStr). Roark has a plus matchup against the offensively challenged Braves next time out.
DFS Value Play
Danny Espinosa gets a huge upgrade in park going to Coors Field. He will also have the platoon advantage against LHP Jorge de la Rosa. Espinosa has a .315 wOBA and .269 ISO against LHP. The Nationals are projected for 5.4 runs, which means extra AB's for Espinosa. DraftKings: $4,600
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