Yan Gomes- C- WAS- Idea- Gomes posted a slash line of .288/.363/.477 against southpaws in 2018. Drew Pomeranz was .301/.401/.546 against RH hitters. Pomeranz allowed 12 homers in 57.1 IP against them, all the homers he gave up last year. If Gomes gets the start, this is a matchup in his favor. Value Play- Draft Kings salary $3600
Ender Inciarte- OF- ATL- Stats- Inciarte has tended to have slow starts in his career, with a career second half slash line of .315/.361/.432 far above his first half numbers of .259/.312/.347. His early sub-Mendoza Line average this season is also being dragged down by a terribly unlucky (entering last night) .205 BABIP. Inciarte has also found himself placed well down in the order due to his early season slump. Regression to the mean will be his friend. This could be an opportunity to buy low.
Sonny Gray- P- CIN- Hot- Gray has pitched well this season, posting a 2.79 ERA, 2.62 FIP, 10.24 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, and 0.93 WHIP with 2 QS in his 4 starts. The one thing he hasn't done is win. Yesterday, Gray's record went to 0-3 after the Dodgers got a 3-2 victory over the Reds. Cincinnati has been shut out in 2 of his starts and he had to come out of his last outing after getting hit with a line drive after 4 IP in a game won 5-0 by the Reds. Gray was inconsistent with the Yankees in 2018, but is far more dependable in the early going this year. The change of scenery seems to have agreed with him and wins will follow.
Austin Barnes- C- LAD- Rise Value- Barnes has stepped up his game since taking over the starting backstop role full time when Russell Martin was injured. His .244 average is depressed somewhat by his .250 BABIP. Barnes still has excellent plate discipline, with a Batting EYE of 1.13. He has hit 2 homers in 52 PAs. Barnes is looking more like the player who had a breakout campaign in 2017. He enjoyed a .329 BABIP that year to finish with a .289 average so some regression to the mean will help in that area. Martin will probably not get much playing time on his return.
Marcell Ozuna- OF- STL- Hot- Ozuna stayed on fire yesterday. Although he only got one hit, it was his 5th homer in his last 4 games. Ozuna also drew a walk, which increased his OBP to .343. He only has a .263 BABIP. Considering his career mark is .323, there is room for regression to help him increase his average, which currently stands at .290. Ozuna has increased his FB% from 34.9% last year to 40.5% but his Hard% has stayed steady at 45.2% so more balls are going out. As good as he is now, Ozuna's value may continue to climb.
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