Adam Wainwright- P- STL- Stats- Wainwright's start got pushed to today with the rainout yesterday. He has pitched on 5 days' rest in 9 of his 13 starts this season and that might help explain why he has put up a decent year so far. While Wainwright's 3.95 ERA is higher than the 3.15 he posted in the abbreviated 2020 season, his xERA of 3.74 is a good deal better than last season's 4.52. Wainwright has also increased his K/9 from 7.40 to 8.25. Atlanta does have the 6th best team OPS in the majors against RHP, so it may not be extremely easy for Wainwright, but he has thrown 4 quality starts in his last 5 outings and 3 of those have gone at least as long as the 7 innings scheduled for the first game of the twin bill.
Joe Ross- P- WAS- Cold- Ross entered yesterday's start with a 4.19 ERA and had thrown quality starts in his previous two outings. He got torched by the Mets in the opener of yesterday's doubleheader, allowing 5 runs on 6 hits and striking out 5 in 5 IP without walking anyone. Two of the hits he allowed were homers. Ross saw his ERA climb to 4.54. Even that has had some favorable luck built into it as his FIP is 5.08. Ross has been very inconsistent in 2021. He has tossed 4 quality starts in his 13 turns in the rotation. He has pitched well in some of the others, but hasn't lasted long. Ross has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 starts in which he has pitched between 4 and 5.1 IP. Twice, though, he has allowed 8 or more runs. Homers have been a plague for Ross. His HR/9 now stands at 1.74. There just isn't enough dependability with Ross to make him valuable ion a head-to-head league and his overall numbers are likely to slide as the season goes on. His career numbers actually show an improvement between the first and second half, but there are multiple season where he pitched little or nothing in the second half.
Mike Yastrzemski- OF- SF- Hot- Yastrzemski went 2-for-4 yesterday, the third time in his last 5 games he has collected multiple hits. One of the hits was a homer, his 8th of the season. Yastrzemski is hitting .313 for the month of June. There is regression to the mean happening as his BABIP is up to .273. With a career mark of .323 there is still room for a lot more positive regression. This bodes well for an increase to Yastrzemski's current .233 average. His Statcast numbers are in line with what he has posted in the past two years, so it looks like Yastrzemski has just experienced a run of bad luck here in the first half of the season.
Tommy Pham- OF- SD- Hot- Pham went 3-for-5 yesterday and scored 2 runs. All of his hits were doubles. Pham has gone 14-for-32 with 2 homers, 4 doubles, and a steal since June 12. He has raised his average from .218 to .251 in that span. Pham is now slashing .251/.377/.389 on the season with 6 homers and 11 steals. His BABIP shows evidence of regression to the mean as it has increase from .273 to .311 in his hot streak. Pham's career mark is .331 so the positive regression may not be over. His 90.6 Exit Velocity is slightly below his career average of 91.3 and his HardHit% of 46.7% is slightly higher than his career 46.3%. Pham is likely to help in the average and steals category and will contribute some in homers as well.
Willy Adames- SS- MIL- Hot- Adames continues to enjoy being a Brewer. Last night he went 4-for-5 with 3 doubles and a homer that gave the Brewers the lead in the 9th. In 27 games with Milwaukee Adames is hitting .292 with 4 homers and 10 doubles in 105 PAs. His Exit Velocity and HardHIt% are close to what they were in Tampa Bay but his BABIP has increased from .276 to his current .317. Adames has a career mark of .340 so more positive regression may be ahead.
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