Trey Mancini- OF- BAL- Hot- Mancini extended his current hitting streak to 7 games by going 1-for-3 last night. He also walked and hit his second homer o the season. Mancini is 16-for 40 for the month of May. The homer last night was his first extra base hit of the month. His BABIP of .348 is high compared to his .319 so negative regression could be in the offing. Mancini's EV of 90.1 and HardHit% of 47.7% indicate that his 20+ homer power is still part of his skill set. He has also been very consistent. Mancini has only gone hitless in consecutive games once this season. Regression in his average should be made up for in increased power.
Francisco Lindor- SS- NYM- Stats- Lindor has had mixed results this season. His slash line of .229/.313/.389 is close to but worse than his .230/.322/.412 of 2021. Lindor has hit 5 homers in 149 PAs, below his rate of last season when he slugged 20 in 524 PAs. Lindor's 4 steals so far is ahead of his rate of last year, when he swiped 10 bases. However, he has been caught twice already after having only 4 CS in 2021. Looking at some other numbers, the prospects for Lindor don't look good. His Statcast numbers have all regressed. Lindor has seen his EV drop from 90.7 to 88.6, Barrel% from 8.2% to 5.8%, and HardHit% from 44.1% to 35.9%. Lindor has a 43.7% GB% and 37.9% FB%, both worse than last season. Lindor's plate discipline is off as well. His Swing% id down from 47.1% to 45.1%. It appears that he is looking at more strikes go by, as his SwStr% dropped from 10.5% to 8.5% but his CStr% rose from 13.9% to 16.9%. Lindor is not anywhere near the value he provided prior to the COVID year of 2020.
Steven Souza, Jr.- OF- SEA- Rise Value- Souza hit 30 homers for the Rays in 2017. Since then, injuries have done a number on his playing time. Now, at age 33 he is back for another shoit at MLB. At AAA Tacoma Souza slugged 5 homers in 96 PAs and slashed .267/.417/.533. He had a 19.8% BB%. Souza is a "three true outcomes kind of guy, with the homer potential as well as a 10.6% BB% and 31.6% K% in his MLB career. He would be a low risk, high reward potential pickup If you are looking for homers. If your league counts OBP, he wouldn't kill you.
Javier Baez- 2B- DET- Cold- Baez is 6-for-46 in his last 12 games after going 0-for-4 last night. That gives him a slash line of .213/.253/.330 for the season with just 2 homers in 95 PAs. In 2021 Baez slugged 31 homers while slashing .265/.319/.494 and adding 18 steals. He has yet to attempt a steal in 2022. Baez has dealt with some injuries this season which may have had an impact. He also has a .265 BABIP, well below his .333 career mark. This has had an effect on his average as he has cut his K% down to 24.2%, down from 33.6% in 2021. Baez also has a 52.2% GB%. Despite having his K% fall, his SwStr% has risen to 23.3% and his Contact% has dropped from 62.2% to 57.4%. While his EV has risen slightly from 90.1 to 90.4 Baez has seen his HardHit% has dropped from 45.0% to 37.3%. He should have seen effects from his thumb injury dissipate by now, so it looks like there is something else making his value decrease. Better luck will help his average, but the power and speed haven't showed up.
Danny Jansen- C- TOR- FYI- The injury-plagued Jansen may be returning form the IL today. Last season he kicked his power game up a notch, slugging 11 homers in 205 PAs. He slashed just .223/.299/.473. In the minors Jensen did flash some average. With a .231 BABIP in the majors some better luck could help that. The main factor is whether Jansen can stay healthy. He also has a lot of competition for the "catcher of the future" role from Alejandro Kirk, who is slashing .274/.351/.333, but only 1 homer in 97 PAs.
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