Matt Olson- 1B- ATL- Cold- As in 2024, Olson is getting off to a slow start. After going 1-for-4 yesterday he is slashing .196/.339/.326. His EV of 94.0 and HardHit% of 54.5% are higher than in 2024. What's hurting him at this point is a GB% of 54.5%. That leads to his LA of 6.8. For his career, Olson has a GB% of 37.2%, so we are probably seeing a small sample size effect here. Olson was projected to slash .270/.350/.496 with 30 homers in 564 ABs this year. He is a "buy low" opportunity if his owner is pushing the panic button.
Elly De La Cruz- SS- CIN- Stats- De La Cruz has seen his Chase Rate go up slightly this season to 30.4%, but his Contact% is also up (to 88.2%) and his SwStr% is down (to 11.4%.) Yet after going 0-for-4 yesterday he is slashing .236/.288/.400. De La Cruz has walked at a 6.8% BB% pace, a drop from his 9.9% in 2024. His EV is a healthy 95.1 and his HardHit% is at 58.3% and he has a 19.4% Barrel%. De La Cruz has a BABIP of .297, well below his career mark of .349. It looks like he isn't suffering from anything regression to the mean can't cure.
Ke'Bryan Hayes- 3B- PIT- Stats- Hayes did walk twice, but didn't get a hit yesterday. He is slashing .229/.327/.354 in 55 PAs. His EV, Barrel%, and HardHIt% are all up over last year. Hayes has a K% of only 14.5%. There are some signs that he could resuscitate the promise he showed so he could be considered a sleeper now. We are looking at a small sample size, though.
Nathaniel Lowe- 1B- WAS- Hot- Lowe doubled in a pinch hitting appearance last night, driving in 3 runs. He has done well moving to Washington, slugging 3 homers and knocking in 12 runs in 50 PAs. Lowe has also struck out 40 times, so there is some all or nothing going on. This is likely a small-sample size effect. He has a 9.2% SwStr% so his free swinging is out of character. Lowe was projected to slash .273/.355/.415 with 16 homers and 71 RBI in 537 ABs. The outliers in his early-season performance are not likely to continue and he should settle down to his solid self.
Jose Quintana- P- MIL- Hot- Quintana didn't sign with the Brewers until late in Spring Training so got a late start to his 2025 MLB season. His debut was a success, as he threw 7 shutout IP, allowing just 2 hits, walking no one, and striking out 2. Quintana was strong but was projected to regress some from his 3.75 ERA in 2024. His 4.26 projected ERA to go along with projections of a 1.33 WHIP and 143 Ks in 165 IP put him in "meh" territory. Last night's start was strong but may not carry for long.
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