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Fantasy Baseball Projections

 
Paul Sauberer
Aug 9, 2008

Denard Span- MIN- Hot- Span had his second straight multi-hit game, going 2-for-4 with a walk, 2 stolen bases and 2 runs scored. He has been enjoying a .299 BHIPx, but it would be expected that his would be above average, given his speed. Span’s 1.00 Batting EYE is an indication that his success is not a mirage.

Ian Kennedy- NYA- Cold- A 2-for-9 stretch would be bad for a hitter. When talking quality starts for a pitcher, it’s completely unacceptable. That’s where Kennedy stands after last night’s debacle. The control he shows at AAA (14 BB and 49 K in 54-1/3 IP) completely evaporates when he comes to the majors, where he has walked 26 and struck out 27 in 39-2/3 big league innings. Kennedy has to improve, and soon, to avoid the tag of AAAA player.

Travis Hafner- CLE- Inj Update- Hafner’s latest strength test showed that his right shoulder has 75% of the strength of his left. That allowed the DH to graduate from hitting on a tee to taking soft toss swings. He had 2 sets of 15 from hitting coach Derek Shelton. Once Hafner can take 60 swings without discomfort, he will start hitting live BP. Then he will be ready for a rehab assignment and then back to the Cleveland lineup. It may be too late to salvage Hafner’s fantasy value for the year, particularly when the Indians are looking at a best case scenario of his injured shoulder being at 85%.

Mark Buehrle- CHA- Hot- In each of the past 3 seasons Buehrle’s performance dipped significantly in the second half of the year. After getting hammered for 22 hits in his previous 2 starts, it looked like this trend would continue. However Buehrle bounced back with a strong outing against the Red Sox, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits and 2 walks while striking out 8. One factor that may help him turn around his recent tendency to fade is a lighter workload. Buehrle has only thrown over 110 pitches once this season. Last year at this time he had tossed 9, including a stretch of 6 in a row. The results did not show up immediately, but that may have been a major factor in Buehrle’s slide, something he doesn’t have to deal with this year.

Jeremy Guthrie- BAL- Hot- Guthrie tossed his 3rd consecutive quality start, holding the Texas offense to just 1 run on 5 hits and a walk while striking out 4 in 7 IP. He has enjoyed some good luck the past couple of years, with a .268 BHIP% in 2007 and a .257 mark this season. Guthrie threw 114 pitches last night, but at 29 years old, his risk factor from overuse is diminished. He has exceeded the 110 pitch plateau 8 other times over the past 2 seasons and followed those outings up with a quality start all but once.

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Rating: 2.8/5 (2892 votes cast)

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Rating: 2.8/5 (2892 votes cast)

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Aug 9, 2008
Paul Sauberer @paul

Paul Sauberer is one of the original Fantistics Analysts. Paul is a diehard fantasy baseball fan with political aspirations. Paul's earliest baseball memories are of the expansion Senators in the 1960s and his father buying him an entire box of 1969 Topps baseball cards. The Senators are no longer and the cards are definitely no longer in mint condition, but Paul's love of baseball continues. He transferred allegiance to the Orioles after the Senators left town and enjoyed the glorious times of the Birds in the 1970s. During that time, he also discovered table top baseball games (before "Rotisserie" meant anything outside of something to do with food) and that has led to decades of crunching numbers and following major league performances. Paul reacquainted himself with the Senators, now the Texas Rangers, while going to college in Texas and remains a Rangers' fan today, even after living on Long Island for 14 years with his wife and two children. Paul knows his baseball!

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