Peter
Moylan
could be Bobby Cox’s first option for saves as Rafael Soriano
faces a potential
suspension this weekend (work on Soriano’s appeal of his
4-game suspension is due
today). In 89 IP this year Moylan is 5-3 with a save. He has a 1.82 ERA
and
.201 OBA, propped up by a very favorable .232 BHIP%. His ERA has been
helped as
well by a favorable 79.9% strand%. But of more assistance is his 2.4 GB
ratio
which helps with his marginal 6.2/9 K rate and scary 3.1 BB rate. The
bottom
line is that is he is handed a save opp this weekend, Peter is a better
than
even bet to convert it. If one save would make your year Peter may
provide one.
Franklin
Morales
went 5 IP on Thursday, limiting the Dodgers to 3 runs on 4 hits and a
walk
while fanning 5. He did hang around long enough to post his 3rd win
of the year, and he now stands at 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA. That ERA is
definitely
the bright side of the picture as Morales has benefited from a
favorable .272
BHIP% and a 78.2% strand %. His high walk rate (3.4/9) and low K rate
(5.7) are
warning signs as well, but his healthy 1.8 GB ratio helps mitigate
those
limitations. The point is to keep in mind that Morales’
success to this point
in the majors comes with some caveats.
Bud
Black says that if needed, he will bring Jake Peavy back on
three day’s rest this
Sunday if the Padres need to win that game to make the postseason.
There is not a large enough sample over the
last three years to draw any conclusions about Jake on less than 4 days
rest,
but there is no evidence to suggest that he is a bad play if he pitches.
Joel
Pineiro
threw 8 shutout IP at the Mets on Thursday allowing them just 3 hits
and a walk
while striking out 6. He gets the win, improving to 7-5 while his ERA
drops to
4.33 … Huh? … THAT Joel Pineiro? He is 6-4 with a
3.96 ERA as a starter this
season after coming over from the Red Sox at the trade deadline. I
guess Theo
wasn‘t so far out of line giving Joel $4M this winter
… I mean he turned out to
be right … right? Sort of? Wandy
Rodriguez
put a nice finish on a solid season by going 7 IP against the Reds on
Thursday,
holding them to 2 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks while striking out 6. His
last 6
starts are a good example of who he has been this year, 3 QS, 2
disaster
starts, and a non-QS. He has been all over the map. The big thing to
carry
forward from here is that Wandy was 6-3, 2.94, with a .220 OBA at home
this
year and 3-10, 6.37, .287 away. That split was level in his previous
two season
so I’m not sure how to much stock to put into the concept.
Wandy has shown
flashes of being a quality starter at times but he can bite you on any
given
night as well.
How
good has Jimmy
Rollins season
been? .295, 136 runs, 30/30, perhaps 30/40 … out of the SS
position? Maybe what is overlooked in this is that he has 704 ABs after
his 1-
for -4 with his 38th SB last
night. That is two shy of breaking Willie
Wilson’s record 705 ABs for the Royals in 1980. ABs are good.
Most offensive
columns are cumulative so simply getting to the plate often has value
in and of
itself, especially in head to head leagues. Even given a very good 2006
we
still will spend the spring trying to figure out if Jimmy can repeat
his 2007
season in 2008. That is going to be a tall order and it is likely that
he will
be overvalued in most leagues as owners pay for 2007 when they are
buying 2008.
Will he be a good value on a draft day next year? Join us again next
time …
same bat time … same bat channel.
Micah
Owings went
6.1 shutout IP on Thursday against the Bucs, allowing 4 hits without a
walk
while striking out 4. He levels his record to 8-8 with a 4.30 ERA. Oh
ya, he
was 4- for -4 at the plate as well and he pitched this game on an
hour’s notice
after Bob Melvin decided to push Brandon Webb a day due to weather
concerns. I
take full credit for this as Micah is 3-3, 2.98 since I released him in
early
August. You are welcome.
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