Matt Olson, 1B, ATL
Olson hit his fifth home run of the season on Tuesday. He added an RBI double and a walk, finishing the night 2 for 3 with four RBI. After leading the league with 54 dingers in 2023, Olson's 2024 campaign has started very slowly. However, the 30-year-old has still been hitting the ball extremely hard. His 57.1% Hard-Hit%, 94.3 Avg Exit Velo, and 15.3% Barrel% all rank in the top 7th percentile. Olson is hitting line drives at a career-high 24.5% clip and his 31.6% GB% is well below his career mark of 37.0%. His 28.0% Whiff% and 25.8% K% are both high, but that's typical of Olson. I would expect his hard-hitting ways to get him back on track sooner rather than later. He is a prime buy-low candidate as fantasy owners may be losing patience with their struggling top-end draft pick.
Reese Olson, SP, DET
Olson blanked the Marlins across 8.0 innings but did not factor in the decision as the Tigers also failed to plate any runs. So, the 24-year-old remains winless on the season despite owning a tidy 2.09 ERA across eight starts. Olson took advantage of a weak Marlins lineup, fanning six and surrendering just three hits. He collected 13 whiffs on 45 swings, which comes to a 29.0% clip, a shade higher than his 27.6% Whiff% coming in. He was still hit relatively hard (89.4 Avg Exit Velo), which has been a theme this season. Olson came into Tuesday's contest with a 90.6 Avg Exit Velo that ranked in the 13th percentile and a 45.5% Hard-Hit% that ranked in the 15th. He has kept the ball on the ground (53.6% GB%, 86th percentile); and with a 32.8% O-Swing% and 12.5% SwStr%, he has deceptive stuff. However, considering the hard contact, fantasy owners should expect his ERA to find its way somewhere between where his xERA (3.31) and xFIP (3.77) are currently at, which would still be nothing to scoff at.
Bryson Stott, 2B, PHI
Stott's new patient approach is starting to pay off for the fantasy owners who were patient enough to hang onto him during his early season scuffle. He went 1 for 2 with an RBI single and three walks on Tuesday afternoon. Stott is batting .436 (17-39) with eight XBHs (3 HR) and 14 BBs over his last 13 contests which has him climbing up the Philly lineup. He batted third on Tuesday with Bryce Harper sitting due to injury. Stott's career-low 25.8% O-Swing% and 41.3% Swing% have led to a massively improved 14.9% BB% (career 7.5%), which currently ranks in the top 10% of the league. The 26-year-old is getting on-base aplenty and does a little bit of everything in a solid lineup in Philadelphia, making him a stellar fantasy option, particularly in roto leagues.
Aaron Nola, SP, PHI
Nola hurled a complete game shutout against the Mets on Tuesday afternoon. He was perfect through the first five frames before Tyrone Taylor broke through with a single to start the sixth. Nola surrendered four hits in all, walked none, and fanned eight across the 109-pitch beauty. The 30-year-old leaned heavily on his knuckle curve, which has been his most effective pitch this season. He generated 13 whiffs across 58 swings, 11 of which came on the curveball. Nola has been fantastic since his rocky first start against the Braves. For the season, he is 5-2 with a 3.10/2.30 ERA/xFIP and 8.53 K/9. If the outlier against Atlanta is removed, Nola's ERA is at 2.35 across 53.2 innings.
CJ Abrams, SS, WSH
Abrams went 0 for 8 with a walk across the Nats two games in Chicago on Tuesday. The young speed merchant started the season fantastically but has fallen off as of late. Abrams hit .297 with 16 XBHs (7 HR) and six steals through his first 115 plate appearances. In his last 59 plate appearances, he has two XBHs (zero HR) and two swipes while batting .200. Growing pains are to be expected with the free-swinging 23-year-old. Positively, Abrams has excellent expected numbers (.385 xwOBA, .318 xBA, .518 xSLG). However, his Avg Exit Velo, Barrel%, and Hard-Hit% are all middling, while his 39.8% Chase% is dreadful.
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