Andrew McCutchen- OF- PIT- Stats- McCutchen went 1-for-3 with a walk yesterday. The hit was his 2000th for his career. In 2023 McCutchen is slashing .265/.381/.423 with 8 homers and 7 steals. His Statcast numbers are fairly close to those he had in 2022. The difference is that his results are a little bit better than would be expected while last year they were worse. In 2023 McCutchen has an xBA of .257 and his xSLG is .416. In 2022 he had an xBA of .252 with a result of .237 while his xSLG was .406 while his SLG was .384. McCutchen's overperformance this year is not as great as was his underperformance last year. Regression won't be a big hit to him if it comes.
Owen Miller- 1B- MIL- Hot- Miller went 2-for-5 with a double and RBI yesterday. He is now slashing .315/.352/.452 with 4 homers and 9 steals in 179 PAs. Miller is being used in a super utility role by the Brewers. He is starting most games and has appearances at 1B, 2B, 3B, LF, RF, and DH. Miller has been helped by a .363 BABIP as demonstrated by his xBA of .280. With the steals he has accumulated and his versatility, Miller has value, even if his average regresses some.
Patrick Bailey- C- SF- Rookie- The switch-hitting Bailey has ousted Joey Bart from the "hot young catcher" position for the Giants. Bailey is slashing .298/.322/.526 with 2 homers in 61 PAs. He has benefited greatly from a .417 BABIP. It's a limited sample size, but Bailey still has an xBA of .313 despite the inflated BABIP. His xSLG of .524 is practically indistinguishable from his results. His Chase rate of 29.9%, SwStr% of 11.1%, and HardHit% of 47.5% are a solid combination. His K% of 31.1% and BB% of 3.3% are not great. At AAA Sacramento before his promotion Bailey had 60 PAs and a slash line of .216/.317/.353 while owning a .257 BABIP. He also had 60 PAs at AA Richmond and slashed .333/.400/.481 with a .410 BABIP there. Bailey looks like his current pace may not be sustainable in the long term.
Martin Perez- P- TEX- Cold- Perez was touched for 7 runs on 10 hits in 3.1 IP against Tampa Bay yesterday. He walked 3 and struck out only 2 while throwing 45 of 75 pitches for strikes. This was the second poor outing for Perez in his last 3 outings. There may have been some regression happening. His xFIP was 4.75 coming into yesterday while his ERA was 3.97. Now Perez has an ERA of 4.67 and xFIP of 4.84. Last year he had 4 games where he allowed 5 ERs or more. Yesterday was the 3rd time Perez hit that level this season. He had a 2.89 ERA and 3.80 xFIP last year because the really bad games were kept rare. Perez has thrown 5 quality starts in 13 outings this year and came close another 4 times. Those were his first starts of the season where he didn't allow many runs but just didn't last long enough. Perez seems to be either very good or very bad. In 2022 the very good was far more frequent. There isn't any pattern of quality of opponent to his performance. He's still worth running out there but more days like yesterday will change that equation.
Joey Meneses- OF- WAS- Stats- Meneses is slashing .307/.351/.398. He only has 2 homers in 268 PAs after slugging 13 in 240 PAs for Washington in 2022. His EV and HardHit% are down slightly but his Barrel% has dropped from 9.9% to 5.5%. His 25.5% HR/FB in 2022 was likely unsustainable. Meneses has seen his GB% rise from 44.8% to 49.7% so he isn't giving himself as many opportunities for fly balls to go out. His K% has gone down from 21.7% to 17.9% and his Chase rate and SwStr% are essentially unchanged from 2022. He is a player that will be helped by regression and could be poised for a big finish to 2023.
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