Prospect Central Week #3
to Prospect Central
for Week #3. Today we will look at some players doing it …
or not doing it … or
sort of doing it, on the MLB level. Today it is a mixed bag of top
and/or guys who you have heard a lot about, and/or guys you have been
about for a while, and/or guys you may not have known existed last
week. Oh and we
even wish a Prospect Central Happy
Birthday to a prospect today!
Travis Buck - Oakland
- Bats Left -
product was a 1st round Supplemental Pick in the 2005 draft, the 36th
overall, and he was raking last summer at Hi-A Stockton and AA Midland
falling to what was eventually diagnosed as a sports hernia.
to his original injury
last July, which ended his minor league season, Travis was hitting .302
Midland with 27 XBH in 212 AA ABs. That is an incredible XBH rate but
problem was that only 4 of those XBH were homeruns. He had 23 XBH in
126 ABs last year before moving up to Midland,
while hitting .329. Again, that is an incredible rate as well, but only
those XBH were homeruns.
you add in his 57 Ks
and 48 BBs over those 338 2006 ML ABs, you can clearly see a contact
with great plate command. That command comes from his incredibly quick
that allow Travis take an extra look without fearing fastballs. Travis
the ball where it is pitched and doesn’t fear
pitcher’s counts. He is confident
with those great hands, and the strike zone, and in that regard he may
well be ready for the opportunity with the big club that Dan
has afford him.
problem is that his arm will
not allow him to play RF and he doesn’t have the speed for
CF. That leaves him
as a left fielder and so far the corner-outfielder power that scouts
for him is late to the party. Travis
hit just 29 homers total in three college seasons and 497 pro ABs. To
point, at the major league level, he has not lifted the ball at all and
not unreasonable to wonder when he’s going to start turning
some of those
doubles into homers.
projected to make the majors some time this summer so even if he is
because Johnson is hurt he could very well stick. Travis is a
Billy Beane player but from a fantasy standpoint he will need to
latent HR stroke so that he can settle into an Rbi position in the
order and be productive across a couple of scoring columns. If those
don’t come he’ll end up being a luke-warm fantasy
Term Fantasy Grade –
AB OBP SLG AVG
HR RBI XBH SB BB SO
22 14 3 19 19
3 1 5
AA 212 .376 .472
22 27 9 22 39
26 23 2 14 18
John Danks - Chicago
Pitcher – Throws
Left – 4/15/1985
Danks celebrates his
birthday today as a member of the Chicago White Sox rotation, at least
The now 22-year-old LHP is one of those prospects that will mess you up
only dig as far as his season totals.
last year for example.
He finished making 13 starts in 14 appearances for AAA Oklahoma posting
record with a 4.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. So-so, right?
followed 13 equally
so-so starts at AA Frisco where he went 5-4, 4.15, 1.38. That won’t leave
you terribly excited. But in
AA he was hit around in April to the tune of .397 (OBA) allowing a .738
and 1.185 OOPS. He gave up a .2.23 WHIP that month and 2.6 HR/9 in 27.1
came May (21.2) and the
results were considerably better … .190/.380/.636, a 1.02
WHIP, and 1.66 HR/9.
As is customary, June followed that and John got even better in 24.2
held opponents to .231/.341/611 with a 1.05 WHIP and just 0.36 HR/9.
he whiffed 10.8/9 while walking
2.8/9. So you see his total AA line simply didn’t tell the
similar pattern emerged
in AAA where after a .283/.609/.962 July, allowing a 1.54 WHIP
and 2.78 HR/9,
John settled down in August. His opponents hit .222/.389/.584 with a
and 0.33 HR/9.
command suffered at 4.3 BB/9 overall, and even 3.9 in
August, but he maintained a strong 9.2/9 K rate overall.
throws a fastball
(91-94), change and curve with relatively equal skill although his
may still be his best pitch. He’s been working on adding a
2-seam fastball to
mix things up a bit more. John’s pitches are fully installed
and fairly good.
At 22, with a 6-1, 200 frame you can reasonably expect him to add
or two to his fast ball and that would probably make a big difference
is also a variable
on two levels. First, if he could get closer to 3 BB/9 at the major
level that would be a help as well. That may come with maturity. He is
he tends to get up in the zone and his fastball is not good
enough to live there. He needs to stay down and that would even help
some much-needed groundballs.
is a tenant-at-will in
the White Sox rotation, and his hold on that job is less than totally
stable.But the White Sox would do well to keep in mind that he tends to
after struggling with level jumps. If they show some patience with the
will probably reward them.
will need to control
the walks and homers to be viable, but he can be much better than that
just a reasonable bump in velocity and command. His ceiling is probably
a #2, but the question is whether he’ll be a good #2 or not.
Term Fantasy Grade B-
Level W L ERA
WHIP G INN
4 5.24 1.60
13 55 62
4.3 7.9 0.8
2 2.17 1.06
14 49.2 38 2.6 11.7
10 5.49 1.54
18 98.1 117
3.1 7.8 1.1
3 2.50 1.15
10 57.2 50 2.5 8.3 0.8
4 4.15 1.39
13 69.1 74 2.9 10.7
5 4.33 1.44
14 70.2 67 4.4 9.2 1.4
Taylor Tankersley – Florida
Pitcher – Throws Left
like Craig Hansen in Boston,
considered the closer of the future for the Marlins almost as soon as
drafted out of Alabama
in the first round of the 2004 draft. The 6-1, 220 lefty is less than
overpowering which along with his southpaw delivery puts him two
right out of the gate.
Tankersley does do well
is mix up his fastball and slow slider/curve hybrid to keep hitters off
balance. He also uses a decent change to keep RHH off the scent. His
lacks consistency as well due to a delivery that seems (based on
hard to repeat. He tops out at 92 with the fastball but he comes up
quite often. It may be that very lack of consistency however that
to hold opponents to a .125 OBA in AA Carolina last summer in 28 IP and
41 MLB IP with the Marlins last year.
seemingly does not have
the stuff to support his 12.7/9 K rate in the minors last year or his
rate with the Marlins but you can’t argue with the numbers.
That’s a closer-level K rate to go along with his
year with the
Marlins however, he walked 26 in 41 IP, a 5.4/9 BB rate. Along with the
33 hits allowed,
we are talking about a 1.44 WHIP. That won’t fly. He was better at AA
walking 14 (4.4/9) but
that BB rate is way too high as well. It’s obviously not a
matter of jitters, Taylor has some
significant command issue that need to be handled.
issues will keep him
from serious consideration as the primary closer for at least a bit.
But it was
shoulder issues that compelled the Marlins to covert him to a reliever
first place, and he started out the year on the DL with a barking
is something to watch.
thing to watch is Jorge Julio and Henry Owens.
If they cannot handle the closing duties, that may force the Marlins to
go to Taylor
before he’s had a
chance to hone his command. He is the best reliever the Marlins have
from a talent standpoint which makes him a closer candidate by default.
convinced that’s his true destiny, but I’m just as
convinced that may not
matter to the Marlins.
Term Fantasy Grade – B-
Level W L ERA
WHIP G INN
BB/9 K/9 HR/9
1 3.38 1.11
7 5.18 1.50
3.4 8.6 1.6
0 3.38 1.25
3.4 7.1 0.4
1 0.95 0.89
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