DFS Picks:
Chris Carter (1B-HOU) - Chris Carter will be an extremely high-risk high reward player on Friday. Carter and the Astros are set to take on Justin Masterson in Boston. At home, Masterson has allowed 15 walks in 20 innings and has a 6.30 ERA. Considering Carter's 13.1% BB rate and .213 ISO, this could be an interesting matchup. Masterson's average fastball is 87 MPH and his K rate sits a rather disappointing 6.69 K/9. This certainly boosts Carter's DFS value. For a power hitter like Carter, an average fly ball to left could easily reach the Fenway bleachers. Even if he doesn't rock one, Carter should still score due to his tendency to walk and Masterson's 65% strand rate. DraftKings Value Pick $4,200
Jesse Chavez (SP-OAK) - Jesse Chavez is quickly establishing himself as a fantasy must have. On Friday, Chavez will take on the second lowest scoring team in the MLB, the Mariners. This season Chavez has a 3.02 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. At home, his numbers are even better. In Oakland, Chavez has a 2.16 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He also averages 7.34 K/9. This K rate should come in handy considering Seattle's 8.14 K/9. Admittedly Chavez isn't a guaranteed win, but he should still put up good numbers for an affordable DFS price. DraftKings Value Pick $7,000
Jeremy Guthrie (SP-KC) - Jeremy Guthrie isn't the greatest pitcher, but he's usually good for a quality start at home. On Friday Guthrie will take on the Twins. Away from Target Field, the Twins hit 52 points lower and score 0.836 runs fewer per game. In Kansas, Guthrie is a slightly above average pitcher, whose 3.95 ERA and 1.27 WHIP could easily lead to a win. Over his last five starts, Gutherie has pitched at least five innings all five times, and has surrendered more than three earned runs only once. With the Royals shutdown bullpen, all Guthrie has to do is hold the lead through six. If he can do that, then he is guaranteed a win. DraftKings Value Pick $4,900
Stack of the Day:
Detroit Tigers - Andrew Hutchison is the worst 8-1 pitcher I've ever seen. Away from Toronto, Hutchison's ERA is 8.92. In comparison, his home ERA is 2.12. Usually when a guy has splits this these they even out a little. However, Hutchison is nowhere near reaching a respectable road ERA. Hutchison's awful road ERA can be attributed to his lack of control away from Toronto. Compared to a 1.94 BB/9 and .218 BAA at home, Hutchison has a 3.64 BB/9 and .356 BAA on the road. With numbers like these, you have to consider a Detroit stack on Friday. Up and down the lineup, Detroit's power hitters should take advantage of Hutchison's 1.94 HR/9 on the road. They also will probably exploit his .321 BAA righties. If Hutchison has a great game, then kudos to him, but the odds aren't in his favor.
Add Drop:
Matt Moore (SP-TB) - In his first game back from Tommy John surgery, Matt Moore was less than impressive. He allowed four earned runs in 4.2 innings and only struck out four. Despite this rough outing, Moore is a must own in fantasy leagues. In his five-year career Moore is 29-17 with a 3.53 ERA and an 8.8 K/9. Against the A.L. East specifically, Moore is 15-9 with a 3.70 ERA. The majority of Moore's struggles came in his rookie season when he went 11-11 and posted a 3.81 ERA. The following year, Moore went 17-4 with a 3.29 ERA. Don't write Moore off because of one bad start. He was well on his way to becoming a premier pitcher before his surgery, and should be back on track after a few more starts.
"This is just a small sample our daily analysis, join our member area for more premium content: http://www.fantistics.com/join/join.php3"
Follow me on Twitter @swallach27
Time Frame: Season
