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Fantasy Baseball Projections
Player Commentary

 
David Regan
Apr 12, 2016

Noah Syndergaard (SP-NYM) - Syndergaard was my highest-rated Mets pitcher coming into the season, so I liked him quite a bit, but now other than Kershaw and Scherzer, I might not rank any other pitcher higher in terms of rest of season value. Syndergaard held the Marlins to a run on seven hits over seven innings Tuesday, walking one and striking out 12. He threw an amazing 72 of his 99 pitches for strikes in lowering his ERA on the season to 0.69 in 13 innings. Oh, and his K:BBG isn't too bad either at 21:2. Pitch data had his slider (not his fastball) at an elite 91-92 mph on the evening, with the fastball touching several digits higher. Synergaard, who also had 26 strikeouts in 19 playoff innings last year, is already an elite starter, and I anticipate him making a run at a Cy Young award this year. In DFS leagues, he's going to be priced well into the five figures, but if you can hit on a couple cheap hitters, you'll do well tapping him as your pitcher.

Jeanmar Gomez (RP-PHI) - When asked whether Gomez was his closer on Sunday, manager Pete Mackanin refused to commit, but I will - he's the closer and everybody already knew that. Gomez notched another save Tuesday and has now saved 100% of the 3-5 Phillies' wins this year, just showing you that closers on bad teams are still of value. Gomez is far from your prototypical closer, averaging just 90.8 mph with his fastball and carrying a 5.4 career K/9, but saves are saves, and even if Gomez doesn't sniff the top tier of baseball's 30 closers, he can still have plenty of value. David Hernandez is next in line after recovering from an awful first appearance of the season, but for those of you who used a big chunk of FAAB on Dalier Hinojosa, better luck next time.

Chase Utley (2B-LAD) - Utley is off to a surprisingly productive start, batting a solid .300/.382/.433 through seven games. He's yet to homer or steal a base, so his value continues to be somewhat limited, but a third of his nine hits have gone for extra bases, so there's something to like here, particularly given he's been batting leadoff. Utley though was out of Tuesday's line with Howie Kendrick's return from the DL, and it's unclear how Dave Roberts will distribute playing time. Utley and/or Kendrick could see some time at third base when Justin Turner needs a breather, and with three Dodger outfielders on the disabled list, Howie Kendrick could also see the occasional start in left field according to comments Roberts had before Tuesday's game. That all said, perhaps Utley won't be losing as much playing time as I first anticipated. For DFS players, just don't use him against LHP, against who he hit just .186 last year.

Juan Nicasio (SP-PIT) - Nicasio got a lot of run in drafts as a potential breakout performer for a couple reasons. First, he went to an organization with a pitching coach (Ray Searage) who has a guru-like reputation. Second was his spring numbers - 15 innings, 10 hits, no runs, 24:5 K:BB. So how did his first start go? 6 IP, 1 ER, 7:0 K:BB. Then on Tuesday he appeared to turn back into Juan Nicasio, allowing four runs on six hits with five walks over just three innings to the Tigers. Nicasio did strike out four, but his ERA now sits at 5.00 over two starts, frustrating fantasy owners who had started to rely on him. Nicasio has been up and down with his control (4.9 BB/9 last year) throughout his career, so the walks aren't a huge surprise, but going forward, expect continued inconsistency.

Starling Marte (OF-PIT) - Marte went 2-for-4 with a double and his second homer of the season in Tuesday's game against the Tigers. Marte drove in two and is now batting .333/.389/.576 and has now moved into the cleanup slot. The Pirates don't have a whole lot of power bats, but could Marte take that next step and approach 25-30 home runs? That may be a bit aggressive given his 19 last year were a career-high, but Marte is now in his age-27 season and in his first 57 games last year, Marte went deep 12 times before injuries (hand, etc.) slowed his power output. Marte's sub-5.0% BB% is also a concern, but if he can stay healthy, 25 home runs isn't out of the question, and hitting in the middle of the lineup could allow Marte to approach 100 RBI. He's swiped 30+ bags in each of the last three seasons, but that could take a hit if he's not hitting at or new the top of the lineup. That's the trade-off for the improvement in his HR and RBI numbers.


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Player Commentary
Apr 12, 2016
David Regan @rotoregan

Fan of Dodgers, Rams, and Lakers.

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