Carlos Rodon-White Sox-SP
Carlos Rodon went 6.1 IP and gave up 2 ER on 8 H, 1 BB, and 8 K's against the Indians. Rodon came into the game with a 4.28 ERA (4.15 SIERA) and left with a 4.16 ERA. Basically his underlying skills back up his current level of production. SIERA believes that Rodon has an average strikeout rate (21.6%). We know that Rodon has great stuff, but that hasn't translated into an elite strikeout rate. Rodon's swing strike rate has declined significantly, which is the reason for his average strikeout rate. Rodon also has an average groundball at 46.6% and an average walk rate at 8.5%. Rodon at this point in his career is nothing more than a league average pitcher. However, he does entice people with his upside, so in re-draft leagues you might want to consider moving him this year for someone with better rest of season projections.
David Price-Red Sox-SP
David Price went 8 IP and gave up 1 ER on 8 H, 0 BB, and 7 K's against the Mariners. Price came into the game with a 4.52 ERA, but a 3.34 SIERA. Why is SIERA bullish on Price? For starters he has an above average strikeout rate (26.9%) and good control (6.3% BB). He is getting a career high SwStr (13.2%), which means that his stuff is as good as ever. Look for Price to slowly bring that ERA under 4 and closer to his SIERA. Price has a matchup in Texas with the Rangers, which is a good matchup.
Taijuan Walker-Mariners-SP
Taijuan Walker went 5 IP and gave up 0 ER on 6 H, 1 BB, and 3 K's against the Red Sox. Walker had a minor foot injury coming into the game, but look fine from that perspective. Walker has pitched well for the Mariners this year (3.69 ERA). He has a league average strikeout rate (22%) and has good control (5% BB). He has upped his ground ball rate to 44%, which will help him limit hard contact and get out of jams. Walker is lacking an elite out pitch, which he could use to put hitters away. He has the raw stuff to be an elite strikeout pitcher, but his SwStr is average due to the lack of a true out-pitch. Expecting more out of Walker this year looks less likely, but he still has nice potential long term. A matchup with the Cardinals next week is not a good one as the Cardinals are one of the best teams in baseball against right-handed pitching.
Evan Gattis-Astros-C,OF
Evan Gattis was 2-4 with 2 R, 2 RBI, and his 11th HR. Gattis is slashing .207 with 11 HR and 28 RBI. The good news about Gattis is that he is flashing his plus power. Gattis is hitting the ball hard (34%), in the air (38% FB), and pull side (50%). He is still striking out too much (26%), but he has upped his walk rate to 8%. Gattis gaining catcher eligibility is huge for his value going forward. A catcher with power is very hard to find and the position as a whole has been very disappointing.
DFS Value Play
Ryan Raburn-Rockies-OF
Ryan Raburn has been good at one thing over his career, which is crushing LHP (.354 wOBA, .212 ISO). He gets a huge downgrade in park moving to MIA, but he has a plus, plus matchup with Justin Nicolino. Nicolino pitches to contact (11% K) and gives up a ton of hard contact (37%). DraftKings: $3,500
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