Dan Straily-Marlins-SP
Dan Straily went 6.1 IP and gave up 0 ER on 4 H, 0 BB, and 8 K's against the Braves. Straily through 14 starts has a 3.58 ERA (4.59 xFIP). His skills have ticked up this year, which is a good sign coming off a very fine season a year ago in Cincinnati. Straily is striking out a career high 24% of batters, which is backed up by his 11% swinging strike rate. Straily is a fly ball pitcher but this year he has done a good job of limiting damage by getting 16% infield fly-balls. Straily pitches in a great home park for his skill set and has just enough swing and miss stuff to be viable in all league formats.
Matt Carpenter-Cardinals-1B
Matt Carpenter was 2-3 with 1 HR, 1 BB, and 2 RBI against the Orioles. Carpenter is hitting just .250 with 12 HR and 38 RBI. He has been hot as of late hitting .444 with 1 HR and 6 RBI over his last seven games. Carpenter was recently moved to the leadoff spot which is going to hurt his RBI opportunities but that should be offset by an increase in runs scored. Statistically, Carpenter has been at his best when out of the leadoff spot compared to any other batting position. His skills suggest that he is better than a .244 hitter. His 20% strikeout rate is below average and his 10% BB rate is above average. His ability to make hard contact (44%) is also well above average. Carpenter could be in line for a huge finish to the season.
Aaron Nola-Phillies-SP
Aaron Nola went 6 IP and gave up 5 ER on 9 H, 2 BB, and 6 K's against the Diamondbacks. Nola through nine starts has a 4.76 ERA (3.95 xFIP). His skills suggest that he is better than his 4.76 ERA. Nola's strikeout rate is league average at 22% but his 10.2% SwStr suggests that there could be room for growth in his strikeout rate going forward. He is also getting 49% GB which paired with his excellent walk rate means that there shouldn't be many guys on base going forward. Nola is a buy low candidate based on his skills and potential going forward.
Cody Bellinger-Dodgers-1B
Cody Bellinger was 1-5 with a strikeout against the Reds. He is hitting .253 with 18 HR, 54 RBI, and 4 SB. Bellinger's triple slash line is .253/.333/.624. The power is legit and he has legitimate 30+ HR upside. He does have serious swing and miss issues (31% K) due to his approach at the plate but it is also what makes him successful. As long as he holds his 11% BB rate he is going to remain a very valuable fantasy asset. He has proven that when the timing is down with his swing he can have stretches that very few can match. Over his last seven game he his hitting .304 with 6 HR and 9 RBI. Bellinger is going threaten a 30 HR/10 SB season despite missing a nearly a month prior to being called up.
DFS Value Play
Jedd Gyorko-Cardinals-3B
Jedd Gyorko will have the platoon advantage against LHP Wade Miley. Gyorko will also have a plus lineup spot hitting cleanup which will put him in a position to drive runs in. Miley's strikeout rate goes way down against RHB as well as his walk rate going up. He is also giving up over an HR an inning and 35% Hard contact. Fanduel: $2,900
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