Jonathan India- 3B- CIN- Hot- India went 2-for-4 with a homer, double, and walk yesterday. He has collected 2 hits in 4 of the last 5 games where he started, with 2 homers, 4 runs, 3 RBI, and a steal. India has walked 4 times and struck out twice in his last 6 games (one was a PH appearance.) He hasn't struck out in his last 5 games and his K% is down to 19.9% while his BB% is up to 10.8%. This recent stretch is reminiscent of India's hot start to the season and he also had a three-game stretch in the middle of last month when he collected 5 hits, including 2 homers. The rookie has shown a propensity to be streaky and right now he's on a hot one. The cold streaks between the hot ones have seen him go 6-for-33 and 6-for-56 so when he's been cold he's been frozen.
Josh Harrison- 2B- WAS- Cold- Harrison went 0-for-2 with a walk and 2 HBPs yesterday. The OBP was impressive thanks to getting plunked twice, but it was his 4th straight game without a base hit. Over Harrison's last 11 games he has gone 4-for-38. He has seen his average drop from .307 to .261 in that span. There was some regression to the mean going on. Harrison's BABIP was .337 on May 24 and is now at .281. With a career mark of .337, there is now room for positive regression. His HardHit% overall is 33.3%, which would be a career high if he can maintain it. It was at just 29.6% when the cold streak started so between that and an overcorrection in BABIP a bounce back can be expected.
Alec Bohm- 3B- PHI- Cold- Bohm went 0-for-3 with a strikeout. It was the 9th time in his last 14 games that he failed to hit safely. He is now slashing .212/.255/.305. There are two main things that are negatively affecting Bohm's performance. The first is his BABIP. It is at .277, while it was .410 in his rookie season of 2020. The .410 is not reasonably sustainable but there is still room for regression to the mean to work in Bohm's favor. That's a factor that he can't control. The other thing is a jump in his K% from 20.0% last season to 28.2% so far this season. That is something that Bohm hasn't done his best to improve. He has struck out 18 times in his last 14 games, which has helped keep him mired in a cold streak. Bohm's Exit Velocity has actually increased from 90.2 in 2020 to 92.1 this season and his HardHIt% has risen from 46.8% to 48.3%. His Contact% is also essentially unchanged, going from 51.6% to 50.6%, even with the higher K%. It boils done to whether Bohm can recover plate discipline in the form of avoiding strike outs. Between regression to the mean and good things happening when he makes contact, there is potential for a significant surge in production.
Willy Adames- SS- MIL- Hot- The trade to the Brewers seems to be sitting well with Adames. Yesterday he hit his 3rd homer in 14 games with Milwaukee. After slashing .197/.254/.371 with Tampa Bay in 41 games he is slashing .271/.363/.500 with the Brew Crew. Regression to the mean has been Adames' friend since he was dealt. His BABIP was .276 at the time of the trade and is up to .292 now. With a career mark of .340, there is room for more positive regression. Adames has an overall Exit Velocity of 88.7, pretty close to his 88.1 career mark. His HardHit% of 43.4% is higher than he has ever ended a season. He is also getting the ball in the air, with a 44.2% FB% well above his previous high of 31.5%. The trends look like Adames will provide power and his average will continue to improve.
Tyler Rogers- RP- SF- Hot- Rogers picked up his 8th save of the season last night. It wasn't easy as his teammates committed two infield errors behind him. Rogers allowed an unearned run and one hit while striking out one. He has 3 blown saves but two of them were in the first week of the season. Rogers has a sidearm/submarine delivery that doesn't result in many strikeouts (4.55 K/9) but gets a lot of ground balls (69.2% GB%.) It seems to work for San Francisco. The first-place Giants are performing above expectations and Rogers should continue to get his save opportunities.
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