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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-May 25th, 2014

Wei-Yin Chen -Orioles-SP Chen went 5 innings and gave up 3 ER on 11 H, 0 BB, and 6 K in the win against the Astros. Chen has exceeded expectations so far in 2015. He has a 3.13 ERA over 54.2 IP. However, his 4.19 SIERA suggests that the good times might not keep coming. Chen is benefiting from an extremely low .234 BABIP. Chen is getting more flyballs, but he is not missing a ton of bats (8.4% SwStrk), therefore his BABIP should regress back towards his career average, which is around .300. When that happens we should see a spike in his ratio stats like ERA and WHIP. Chen has a decent matchup next time out against the...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Report- May 26, 2015

Daniel Murphy- 2B- NYN- Idea- Murphy took a slash line of .283/.336/.433 against RHP. The Mets are facing Jerome Williams, who has a slash line of .307/.366/.43 against LH hitting. Murphy is a good bet to extend his 5-game hitting streak. Value play- FanDuel salary $2800 John Axford- RP- COL- Hot- Axford picked up his 7th save of the season allowing a walk in a scoreless 9th inning. Most importantly he continued his streak of homerless IP to start this season and is up to 11. Having Axford pitch in Coors Field was a scary thought but eh has risen to the challenge. It's looking like his homer happy pitching on 2012 and 2013 might have been the aberration. Axford...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - May 25th, 2015

Billy Burns - Burns had two singles, a homer, and a steal in the 7-2 victory over the A's on Sunday, and he's now hitting 309/356/395 through his first 81 ABs of the year. Burns has the LD rate to justify at least a reasonable AVG...the hard contact numbers (only 12.7%) make me a bit skeptical that the .300 level can be maintained, however. The speed is certainly for real though, and that alone should justify a pickup in almost all formats. Judging from how the playing time has been apportioned this month, Burns has moved a bit ahead of Sam Fuld in the pecking order in the Oakland OF, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him hold onto...

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Sam Wallach

Sam Wallach

N.L. Player Report May 25th, 2015

DFS Picks: Brandon Belt (1B-SFG) - Brandon Belt is a great candidate to hit for extra bases against Kyle Lohse on Monday night. This season, Lohse has been anything but effective at home. In 26.2 IP at Miller Park, Lohse has allowed six home runs and 21 earned runs. Cue Brandon Belt, who has been hitting the daylights out of the ball. Belt is hitting .346 against righties this season, and has 77 extra base hits against righties over the past three seasons. Belt's attempt for extra bases should be aided by Miller Park's top ten park factors in runs, hits, doubles, and home runs. If that doesn't help, Lohse's 0.92 GO/FB ratio should. Miller Park isn't exactly a big...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

May 24th NL Player Analysis

Matt Harvey, New York Mets - The Pirates tagged Matt Harvey seven runs over four innings in the worst start of the righties career. He allowed eight baserunners, two walks and six hits, and surrendered two homers. Obviously we have nothing to worry about here with Harvey, he's in the conversations for the best starter in baseball and his peripherals are exactly in line with his dominant 2013 half season. His hard contact rates are the exact same, and he's even improved at stranding runner to 2013 as well. Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals - Stephen Strasburg got through ha few innings against the Phillies before they tagged for five earned as he took his fifth loss of the season. As...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - May 24, 2015

Luke Gregerson Gregerson had a nice easy save on Saturday, a nice sight for his owners. Gregerson set down the Tigers in order with a pair of strikeouts to boot. Gregerson had given up multiple baserunners in each of his last four outings, and couldn't finish the ninth in his last appearance. Gergerson's numbers for the season are still a bit sketchy (4.30 FIP, 7.71 K/9), but Saturday did wonders for his owners (and coaches) confidence in the Houston closer. That being said, Chad Qualls is still a very quality handcuff to have, as he has snagged four saves of his own with the Astros winning games left and right. Back to Gregerson though, his strikeout rate has been dropping...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

MyFantasyFix DFS - 5-24-15 - Start With Kris Bryant

Good morning everyone! Each weekend, we publish our free analysis of the daily plays position-by-position. If you haven't already tried out Daily Fantasy Baseball, now is the perfect time to take it for a test spin. The beauty of Daily Fantasy is the short-term time commitment (one-day games) and the opportunity to win real money fast. To help aid you in the lineup construction process, below is a free sample of the type of daily content that is published over at Fantistics' sister site, MyFantasyFix. I always recommend starting to build your roster around your favorite pitcher of the day and fill out the rest of the lineup spots based on relative value-to-cost. To make this easier, below you'll find...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis - May 22nd, 2015

Ian Desmond-Nationals-SS Ian Desmond was 1-3 with walk and a RBI in the win against the Phillies. Desmond is slashing .246/4/13 with 1 SB. Desmond has gone 20/20 the past three seasons and is in a contract year. Desmond was miserable in the field to start the season and this affected his hitting. Recently, Desmond has started to pick it up and has hit .364 with 2 HR and 6 RBI over his last 7 games. Everything looks pretty much normal for Desmond compared to his career numbers, minus the increase in groundballs from 50% to 58%. That is going to affect his power numbers and for whatever reason, Desmond is not running in 2015. If Desmond takes a hit...

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Kyle Elfrink

Kyle Elfrink

Week 8 Waiver Targets by Kyle Elfrink

So, have we found any true difference-makers in 2015? Hitting-wise, the waiver wire has not provided many saviors. If you cycle around the infield, going position-by-position, you won't find a parade of great gets. At catcher, Caleb Joseph, is the best thing going, but he's set to ride the bench in about a month once Matt Wieters returns. Over at 1B, there's nothing that has emerged off the waiver wire. Moving to 2B, Devon Travis was an early revelation before fading and now coming up injured. Danny Espinosa has offered some pop and every day play. Washington also offers Yunel Escobar over at SS and 3B. No one was in on him coming into April and he's rounded up a...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player Report- May 23, 2015

Chris Young (SP-KC): The Chris Young train continued to roll on Friday night, as the lanky Royal tossed 6 scoreless innings to bring his ERA to a miniscule .78 in earning his 4th win. And with that, now is the time to sell. Young now sports a 5.01 xFIP, as he carries a .165 BABIP and a 1.6% HR/FB mark. While has elevated his swing-and-miss and chase rates, and his HR/FB rate should remain below league average because of his extreme flyball tendencies, look for his ERA to move into the upper 3's as the season progresses. Alfredo Simon (SP-DET): Simon Says didn't allow an earned run in 7 strong innings and picked up his 5th win in outdueling Collin...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

NL Player Analysis - May 22, 2015

Brad Ziegler Brad Ziegler notched his first save of the season on Thursday, a great sign for owners who bit the bullet once Addison Reed was moved out of the closer's role. Ziegler is still available in the vast majority of leagues, but as a pitcher with a 0.93 ERA, and closing experience, that won't last long. Ziegler's peripherals (.196 BABIP, 86.7 strand rate) suggest he is getting a bit lucky, but what pitcher with an ERA below 1.00 isn't getting a bit lucky? His FIP sits at an impressive 2.56, and although Ziegler has never topped 13 saves in a season, there no reason to think he can't hold into the closing job for a while in Arizona. Lucas...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Report- May 8, 201522

Brett Gardner- OF- NYA- Idea- Gardner has had success against RH pitching this season, with a slash line of .304/.379/.424. The Yankees will be facing Colby Lewis, who has a slash line of .282/.356/.470 against LH hitters over his career. At Yankee Stadium this season, Gardner's slash line has been .322/.385/.458. This bodes well for him having a solid game. Value play- DraftKings salary $4500 David Price- P- DET- Great Player- After throwing 117 pitches to get through 6.2 IP the last time out, Price was far more efficient yesterday. He showed no effects from his intense prior outing, going 6.2 IP again, but only throwing 100 pitches. He was charged with 3 runs (2 earned) on 5 hits and...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - May 21, 2015

Dallas Keuchel, SP, HOU Keuchel had another dominating performance on Wednesday, allowing just one unearned in 7 IP while recording 14 outs on the ground, to improve to 6-0 on the season. His 6.40 K/9 remains low, but that shouldn't be much of a concern at this point. Keuchel now leads the league with a 64.3% GB% and his 27.8% Soft% entering the game ranked 4th best, and he has demonstrated the ability to succeed without a high strikeout rate. His .227 BABIP and 81.2% LOB% are probably due for a bit of regression, but as long as he keeps inducing week contact, those numbers should remain better than average. Keuchel is one of the better pitchers in the American...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Report- May 21, 2015

Adam Lind- 1B- MIL- Idea- Julio Teheran has had difficulties against LH hitters this season, with a slash line of .400/.500/.646. Lind has made himself prime trade bait in Milwaukee with a revival. He is particularly tough on RHP, with a slash line of .308/.405/.589 and hit all 7 of his homers (as of Tuesday) against them. This makes for potential for the current but maybe not long Brewer to have a big game. Value play- DraftKings salary $3800 Jace Peterson- 2B- ATL- Hot- Even though Peterson went hitless yesterday he managed to provide some value. He swiped a base and also walked twice. Peterson has been hot lately. He may be due some negative regression since his BABIP is...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

May 20th AL Player Analysis

Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox - Since his nine run implosion on April 19th, Jose Quintana has turned in stat lines of 7.0 innings with two runs or less in four of his five starts. This includes Tuesday where he was outdueled by Trevor Bauer, but still pitched very well with two earned runs and four strikeouts. He managed to pitch around a lot of baserunners allowing eight hits and four walks, with the four walks being the first time he'd walked more than two batters in an outing. His FIP of 3.29 has him as a top 30 pitcher and groups him with Shelby Miller and Chris Sale, not bad company at all and still owned in just 65%...

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David Regan

David Regan

Maikel Franco (3B-PHI) - Franco is off to a nice start in what he hopes is a permanent big league promotion. He went 3-for-4 with a double and three RBI in Tuesday's game and is now batting a solid .350/.381/.650 in 20 at-bats. Franco is coming off a disappointing 2014 that saw him post a .727 Triple-A OPS following by a .179 BA in 16 games with the Phillies. This year however, he was batting .355/.384/.539 in Triple-A prior to his recall, so something is obviously clicking. He did have a low 5.3% BB% in Triple-A, so there are likely to be some struggles soon, but he also has the ability to adjust. Right now I'd rather spend $4,400...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - May 19, 2015

Corey Kluber, SP, CLE In case you still weren't sure after last week's 18 strikeout performance, Kluber showed once again that he's still among the elite pitchers in baseball, striking out 12 White Sox in 9 IP, while allowing 1 ER on 5 hits and 1 BB. He now has a ridiculous 76:12 K:BB ratio in 61.2 IP this season and his ERA continues to regress closer to what his peripherals would suggest. His ERA/xFIP now stand at 3.79/2.51 but this discrepancy is a lot less than what it was 2 starts ago. However, it is important to remember that it is not just Kluber who is underperforming his peripherals; the Indians pitching staff as a whole has an xFIP...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

NL Daily Notes - May 19th, 2015

Lucas Duda - Duda is certainly a changed hitter this year, combating the ever-present shift with a more level, spray-hitter sort of a swing than we've seen from him in the past. Unsurprisingly, due to the combination of a change in approach and a weak supporting cast, Duda is hitting .293 with a .383 OBP, yet his ISO has dropped to .164 from last year's .228. To this point, he's pulling the ball 10% less than last year while hitting more than 15% more line drives, mostly at the expense of flyballs...hence the 14 2B and 3 HR versus last year's 27 and 30, respectively. I wouldn't be surprised to this sort of thing continue at a slightly closer ratio...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis - May 17th, 2015

Noah Syndergaard-Mets-SP Noah Syndergaard pitched well in his second major league start on Sunday against the Brewers. Syndergaard showed good control and an overpowering fastball. Syndergaard struggled in 2014 at Triple-A and for that reason was not receiving as much hype as he should have. His numbers were inflated by the PCL, which is a notorious hitter friendly league. The underlying factor of his 2014 season, was that he focused on his change-up, because his curveball was not working in the thin air in the PCL. Syndergaard has shown flashes of a plus change-up through his first two starts. If he can continue to use and show the change-up, he will continue to rack up the strikeouts. He will struggle...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - May 17, 2015

Mike Wright Wright made his MLB debut on Sunday against the Angels and had an impressive debut to say the least. Wright went 7.1 innings of shutout ball with six strikeouts, no walks, and only four hits allowed. He got the win, and showed off a nice arsenal of pitches. Per Brooks Baseball, Wright threw five different pitches on the day, but was by far the most reliant on his four-seamer, throwing it for 62 of his 90 pitches on the day. That heater averaged 94.6 miles per hour and topped out at 98.6 mph, an impressive figure for a starting pitcher. That 94.6 rate would be good for tenth among qualified starting pitchers this season were Wright qualified, and...

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NL Daily Notes - May 6, 2015

Starling Marte (OF-PIT) - I always saw Marte as the guy who would settle in as the #2 hitter between Polanco and McCutchen, but he's looking like more of a middle of the order type these days. Tuesday, Marte...

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