2016 MLBTM Player Projections
Expert Player Projections
Custom Fantasy Rankings
Draft Software
Auction Values
Mock Draft Simulator
Rookie Evaluations
Advanced Databases

 



 

Categories

Expert Pages

Search this blog

Monthly Archives

Recent Posts

Subscribe

Society for American Baseball Research

Sponsors

Our fantasy player projections win championships
We are innovators in designing a winning draft day strategy
Our player projections are developed and maintained by a professional sports statistician
Our draft software is the most advanced fantasy tool available
We've aided thousands of fantasy champions since 1999
Over 84% of our subscribers are repeat customers
  More
"Award Winning Fantistics .... Consider it fantasy's baseball's version of the theory of relativity."
 
"Fantistics InsiderBaseball is one of the better fantasy baseball websites"
 

Email Subscription

10 Most Popular Posts

 

 


Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-May 29, 2016

Brandon Finnegan-Reds-SP Brandon Finnegan went 6.1 IP and gave up 4 ER on 6 H, 4 BB, and 4 K's. Finnegan has been a nice surprise for the Reds this year. He has a 4.14 ERA with a 5.04 SIERA, which indicates that unless he makes drastic changes, poor results are in the near future. His strikeout rate is down 6% to a measly 16% and he still walks too many guys at 11%. If you don't miss bats, you need a heavy groundball profile or excellent control and Finnegan has neither. He also pitches half his games at Great American Ballpark, which is a great hitters park. I would get out before the bottom completely falls out. Vincent Velasquez-Phillies-SP...

Comments |

continue reading

Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - May 30th, 2016

Nathan Eovaldi SP - NYY - Eovaldi continues to make positive strides, holding the Rays to 1 run over 6 innings for his 6th win in his last 7 starts. He walked 2 and fanned 7 as his K rate continues to climb, and 15 more swinging strikes in 105 pitches pushes that rate (9.0) higher for the third straight season. The velocity continues to improve....he was comfortably between 97-99 the last three innings he pitched, and his control and GB rate are both improved as well. In short, he's a very credible mid-rotation option right now, as his stats finally appear to be catching up to the quality of his raw stuff. He looks more like a sub-3.50 ERA...

Comments |

continue reading

Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - May 29th, 2016

Jason Heyward (CHC) - Jason Heyward had a nice day at the plate on Saturday, going 2-for-4 with 2 doubles and an RBI. Heyward is still working back from his latest injury, a ribcage contusion he sustained after colliding with the wall while making a catch. Heyward's long history of minor injuries is an annoyance to fantasy owners, especially when their outfielder is only hitting .224 on the season. Heyward has managed a terrible 19.1% hard hit rate on the year and continues to hit about half of his batted balls on the ground. That's not a recipe for a high batting average or a lot of power (or any at all). Hitting fly balls at a rate lower than...

Comments |

continue reading

Kyle Elfrink

Kyle Elfrink

Week 9 Waiver Targets by Kyle Elfrink

Talent is not the only thing. As you'll see in this week's write-up, opportunity and role is even more important. The case of Julio Urias is a prime example. Everyone who is anyone says he's destined for stardom. Unfortunately, the ways of baseball in the year 2016 mean that we'll only get limited access to Urias and his spotlighted left-arm. The Dodgers (like every other team in the game) are incredibly hesitant to give too much too soon to Urias. Since signing with the Dodgers in 2013, he has totaled just 263 innings in the minors. Within that total is a grand total of ZERO seasons with 90 innings of work. In other words, he's unlikely to see beyond 130...

Comments (1) |

continue reading

Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player News- May 28th, 2016

Danny Duffy (SP-KC): Danny Duffy dominated the White Sox for 5 innings before coming unglued in a 6th inning that saw him allow 5 earned runs on a pair of homers. The former prospect has elicited divisive opinions across the fantasy landscape, with some seeing him as worthy of an upside play while others recommending avoidance. I'm more with the former, as the uptick is Duffy's velocity and the improved control lead me to believe that the pedigree still lurks. He's building up arm strength and is worthy of a look in all but the shallowest of formats. Jose Ramirez (2B/SS/OF-CLE): Jose Ramirez logged a 4-for-4 night and scored 1 run for Cleveland to push his wOBA to .359 and...

Comments |

continue reading

Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

NL Player Analysis - May 28th, 2016

Julio Urias (SP, LAD): Urias made his highly anticipated Major League debut Friday against the Dodgers. He was on a pitch count of 90, and managed to struggle through only two and two-thirds innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits and four walks, striking out three. You could tell there were plenty of nerves and/or adrenaline for Urias, as he was uncharacteristically all over the place from the jump, requiring 81 pitches to get the eight outs. He owns a career 7.9% BB% throughout his minor league career, so to see such a lack of control will be chalked up as an anomaly in the long-term. He should be given a reprieve, since at only 19 years old...

Comments |

continue reading

David Regan

David Regan

Prospect Spreadsheet Updates - May 27, 2016

A few of our many prospect notes this week: 45 Dan Vogelbach CHC 1B B AA Slumping a bit, but OPS still .925 and could be a nice trade chip this summer. 46 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B B AA 30 HR last year and after a slow start in AA this year, hitting .333 w/ 3 HR in last 10 games. 47 Austin Riley ATL 3B B A- Just .241/.289/.386 but has the upside of a starting 3B to be sure. 48 Willson Contreras CHC C B AAA .326/.423/.511 and could get a look if Montero goes out or struggles. 49 Willie Adames TB SS B AA 273/.392/.513 in a true breakout year. Solid pair of MI prospects in...

Comments |

continue reading

Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Report- May 27, 2016

Elvis Andrus- SS- TEX- Idea- Andrus has punished LH pitching so far this season, with a .353/.389/.500 slash line. He hasn't hit a homer against southpaws yet in 2016, but last year 5 of his 7 homers came against them. With Jon Niese on the mound with 9 homers allowed to RH hitters in 41.2 IP against RH hitters so far maybe this will be a game for Elvis to go yard. Value play- Draft Kings salary $3800 Cheslor Cuthbert- 3B- KC- Rise Value- Cuthbert will see increased playing time now that Mike Moustakas is done for the year. He had been tearing up the PCL before being called up earlier this month, hitting 7 homers in 24 games and...

Comments |

continue reading

Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - May 27th, 2016

Julio Urias (LAD) - The Dodgers are calling up their top propsect (#2 in MLB) to make a start against the New York Mets tonight. Urias has completely dominated in the Pacific Coast League (PCL) this year, posting Kershaw-esque numbers with 44 strikeouts and a 1.10 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over 41 innings. The 19-year old is only 5'10'', but he can touch upper 90's with his fastball and also mixes in a curveball and a change-up. Urias has good control, as evidenced by his low walk totals in the minor leagues, but he does have some work to do in the command area. Lacking natural movement, Urias usually keeps his fastball low and on the corners of the plate....

Comments |

continue reading

Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - May 26th, 2016

Eduardo Nunez 2B/SS/3B - MIN - Nunez homered and doubled Wednesday, and he's now hitting 314/347/482 on the season. He's on pace for roughly 36 doubles, 16 homers, and 32 steals (figuring a quarter of the season has passed), and he likely qualifies at 2B, SS, and 3B. It's time to start taking him seriously. Yes, the AVG is likely to regress, and this HR pace is likely a bit above his capabilities. He has speed, he makes solid contact, and he's hitting at the top of the order....he definitely has value in most formats right now. A .260-275 hitter that can play everywhere in the infield but first and give you 10-15 homers and 20-25 steals is certainly valuable...

Comments |

continue reading

David Donahue

David Donahue

NL Player Commentary - May 25, 2016

Junior Guerra (MIL) - If you have a roster spot available, I'd take a flier on Junior Guerra for next week's potential two start. Guerra threw five innings with 6 K's yesterday, allowing 0 ER, but he did walk four batters. For the year, his FIP sits at an impressive 3.15, though he's been quite beneficial with a 0.72 HR/9 despite an unattractive 42.9% FB rate. Still, he's sporting an excellent SwStr% at 13.0%, making him a viable flier option. He'll be prone to a poor start due to the eventual HR normalization that will hit him, but if you pick your spots, he could be a solid backend producer. Kris Bryant (CHC) - Bryant continued his successful sophomore season...

Comments |

continue reading

Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

May 25th, AL Player Analysis

David Price, Boston Red Sox - Price tossed a quality start against the Rockies Tuesday allowing three runs over 7.0 innings while striking out six batters. The win was his seventh of the season and he's slowly bringing down his mid 5.00's ERA while owning a 2.85 FIP. Normally I'd say that Price is a fantastic buy low candidate, but with his record sitting at 7-1 how low could you realistically buy him for? All of his swing and miss rates continue to be among the best of his career besides batters chasing fewer pitches that any of the last three seasons. He's got the 9th best FIP in all of baseball which is better than even Chris Sale who...

Comments |

continue reading

David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - May 25, 2016

Marcell Ozuna (OF-MIA) - Ozuna's bat continued to sizzle Tuesday, as the center fielder went 2-for-3 with a pair of doubles, a walk, and two runs scored. Ozuna is now batting a robust .327/.372/.589 with nine homers in 165 at-bats. Ozuna hit 10 home runs last year in 459 at-bats, so he's taking a huge step forward in most aspects of his game. His walk and strikeout rates are about in line with last year. Notably, he's also bumped his flyball rate from 30.8% to 38.9%, so that's certainly helped his power output. Ozuna's .376 BABIP seems high and could put his BA at risk, but he's also sporting a .333 mark for his career, so seeing him hit close...

Comments |

continue reading

Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - May 24, 2016

Brandon Guyer, OF, TB Guyer continued his hot hitting on Monday going 3-5 with a HR, a double and 3 runs scored and is now hitting .327 for the season. The hot start has led to Guyer being moved to the top of the order and so far that move has worked. Since his transition to the leadoff spot on May 10, Guyer has hit .315 with 3 HR's, 7 2B's and 10 runs scored in 11 games. That being said, his peripherals are not significantly different from his career numbers, and he's a career .267 hitter, so it's hard to see this keeping up. The move to the leadoff should still help his value though as he gets on...

Comments |

continue reading

James Turvey

James Turvey

NL Player Analysis - May 24, 2016

Gerardo Parra Parra went 1-for-4 Monday, bringing his slash line down to .279/.287/.424 for 2016. Parra started the season hot, but has slowed down in recent weeks. Parra is just two for his last 25, with seven strikeouts and no walks in his last seven games, which has, not coincidentally, come at the same time the Rockies have gone on a road trip. This season Parra is slashing .338/.355/.554 at home (aka Coors Field) compared to .235/.235/.337 on the road. This makes Parra a solid platoon option, as you can count on stud results when the Rockies are home and just leave him on the bench when they are on the road. The long-term prognostication for Parra isn't great,...

Comments |

continue reading

Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Players News-May 22, 2016

Carlos Rodon-White Sox-SP Carlos Rodon went 6.2 IP and gave up 2 ER on 8 H, 2 BB, and 4 K's. Rodon was someone who looked poised to have a huge breakout 2016 season. He showed improved command to go along with his plus velocity and filthy slider over the second half of 2015. However, Rodon has lost nearly 1.2 mph on his fastball, 2.5 mph on his slider, and 2.5 mph on his change-up. He is still getting the swing and misses (23% K), but the SwStr has fallen well below what it should be for someone with his stuff at 8.4%. The shine has definitely come of Rodon as someone with elite upside. His 3.64 xFIP does point...

Comments |

continue reading

Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

NL Player Analysis - May 23rd, 2016

Melvin Upton Jr. (OF, SD): Upton finished Sunday's tilt with the Dodgers 3-7 with a triple, a run scored, an RBI and his ninth stolen base of the season. He's had a pretty crazy resurgent season with the Padres at the tender age of 31. He's got the K's back under control, relatively speaking for his skill set anyway, at 25.7%. He's always featured good patience at the plate, and his 10.3% walk rate has fueled his .266/.341/.442 slash so far. As shocking as it is to say, Melvin Upton needs to be owned even in shallow mixed leagues while he's hot. A cool down should be expected, however. His 13.7% swinging strike rate and 71.2% contact rates indicate that...

Comments |

continue reading

Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - May 22, 2016

*Dexter Fowler (CHC) - *Dexter Fowler continues to tear it up, tallying 3 more hits including his 5th homerun of the season. He's currently a top-20 player in most fantasy leagues, but is this performance going to continue, or has he been a beneficiary of good luck? The first thing that stands out with Dexter Fowler is his .324 batting average, which is about 50 points above his career mark and nearly 75 points above last season. Initially his .406 BABIP screams regression and appears to be the leading indicator that is boosting his batting average, but if we peel back the onion a bit further to reveal the batted ball quality metrics, we see that he has a hard...

Comments |

continue reading

James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - May 22, 2016

Cameron Maybin If you're reading this, it's too late. Too late to pick up Maybin most likely, as the man is a human torch right now, hitting .647 in his first five games of 2016, flashing some power, with a homer highlighting a 3-for-4 day with two runs. Maybin stole a base in each of his first four games, and is running every chance he gets. The ex-mega prospect is going to be the hottest pick up in all of baseball Sunday and with good reason. The long-term prognostication is tough right now because of the tiny sample size, but if he's still available somehow, go grab him and ride this hot streak out. Once he drops below a...

Comments |

continue reading

Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-May 20, 2016

Carlos Martinez-Cardinals-SP Carlos Martinez went 5 IP and gave up 4 ER on 7 H, 3 BB, and 3 K's. Something is not right with Carlos Martinez. His ERA looks good at 3.56, but his advanced metrics do not like Martinez going forward. He has a 4.33 xFIP, which is directly related to the severe drop in strikeouts (24%-19%). His SwStr has plummeted from 10.5% to just above 8%. He is struggling with command in the zone as his heatmap has a lot of red right in the middle of zone, which is where hitters tee off. Martinez needs to turn it around quickly, but it looks like regression is going to set in real fast. I would avoid him...

Comments |

continue reading

Key Articles - view all

Key Articles
Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

Pitchers: Hard Hit Rate and the relationship to BABIP against

It's widely accepted and understood that hitters do have control on their BABIP range. BABIP or Batting Average on Balls in Play is not a one size fits all indicator. Examples of this include quick runners who have a higher...

Comments (1) |

continue reading

Please feel free to inquire about any of our products: info@fantistics.com

 

Copyright 2007-2016 Fantistic Technologies All Rights Reserved.

The term MLB is a registered trademark of the Major League Baseball and is not affiliated with Fantistics, nor endorsed.