2014 MLBTM Player Projections
Expert Player Projections
Custom Fantasy Rankings
Draft Software
Auction Values
Mock Draft Simulator
Rookie Evaluations
Advanced Databases

 



 

Categories

Expert Pages

Search this blog

Monthly Archives

Recent Posts

Subscribe

Society for American Baseball Research

Sponsors

Our fantasy player projections win championships
We are innovators in designing a winning draft day strategy
Our player projections are developed and maintained by a professional sports statistician
Our draft software is the most advanced fantasy tool available
We've aided thousands of fantasy champions since 1999
Over 84% of our subscribers are repeat customers
  More
"Award Winning Fantistics .... Consider it fantasy's baseball's version of the theory of relativity."
 
"Fantistics InsiderBaseball is one of the better fantasy baseball websites"
 

Email Subscription

10 Most Popular Posts

 

 


Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

AL Player Analysis- July 27th, 2014

Rick Porcello (SP-Detroit) Rick Porcello pitched a very strong game throwing 7 innings of 1 run ball (no ER) on 5 hits while striking out 6 in a no decision. His ERA dropped to 3.24 on the year. Porcello, 25, has a 12-5 record this season. He is not a big K pitcher averaging only 5.27/9 innings but his control is strong with a 1.89 BB/9. His fastball has lost 1.2 mph since last year which is always a red flag that must be watched closely. Not surprisingly he has a below average 7.2% swinging strike rate but he has been able to entice batters to swing at his pitches outside the strike zone at a 32.5% rate. His effectiveness...

Comments |

continue reading

Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - July 28, 2014

Matt Kemp (OF - BOS) - Gordon Estes of ESPN Boston reported that the Red Sox have interest in acquiring Matt Kemp from the Los Angeles Dodgers. Estes went on to speculate that Jon Lester, a free agent at the end of the year, could be sent to the Dodgers if a deal happened. This wouldn't be the first time the Red Sox and Dodgers pulled off a blockbuster deal. In 2012, it was the Dodgers who acquired Josh Beckett, Adrian Gonzalez, and Carl Crawford from the Red Sox after the trade deadline had passed. For Matt Kemp, a move to Boston could be just what he needs to restart his career. The move would take him from the 25th...

Comments |

continue reading

Phil Double

Phil Double

NL-Player Analysis-July 26th, 2014

Johnny Cueto-Reds-SP Johnny Cueto threw 7 innings of shutout ball with 9 K's in the win against the Nationals. Cueto has not slowed down and has a 2.08 ERA over 155 innings with 157 K's. Cueto has remained healthy and one of the better pitchers in the entire league. For whatever reason, he does not get the same amount of respect or attention that other NL aces have gotten. Cueto has been dominant, but his xFIP of 3.12 and 3.10 SIERA suggest that he is due for regression. Opponents have a .228 BABIP, which is well below his career norm, and are due to regression back to the norm. Cueto's ability to pitch deep in games and his strikeout ability...

Comments |

continue reading

Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

July 27th AL Player Analysis

Jeremy Hellickson, Tampa Bay Rays - Jeremy Hellickson was recalled Saturday to start for the Rays and was very effective despite running up a very high pitch count. The righty lasted just 4.2 innings but struck out five while scattering seven baserunners. Hellickson has just thrown nine innings now over two starts and has allowed just one lone run and has struck out seven. It's hard to dive too far into his peripherals for 2014 as he's only throw nine innings but Hellickson does appear to be off to a great start. He should be back for good in the majors as he was only sent back down after his first start due to the Rays needed just four starters...

Comments |

continue reading

Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

AL Player Notes 7/26/2014

Josh Tomlin (SP-CLE). Tomlin continued to pitch in bad luck in a no-decision against the Royals on Friday night, as he gave up 4 runs (3 earned) over 5.1 innings. Tomlin gave up 7 hits and struck out 5 and walked none. Tomlin's ERA on the season is now an ugly 4.47, but better days should be ahead for the finesse righty. Tomlin's numbers are being inflated by a 61.5% strand rate and a 15.7% HR rate. Tomlin is a flyball pitcher, so the high HR rate is even more damaging. Even with no improvement in the HR rate, Tomlin's ERA should be half a run lower, and if he could somehow get the HRs under control (although he gave...

Comments |

continue reading

Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

July 26th AL Player Analysis

Grady Sizemore, Philadelphia Phillies - Sizemore continued his excellent work for the Phillies going 3-for-5 out of the leadoff spot with two runs. While for the season his average sits at just .239 he is hitting an impressive .341 since being called up by the Phillies. While hitless in his past three games coming into Friday, Sizemore churned out a seven game hit streak in his first week with his new team. He has begun to get playing time over Ben Revere in centerfield for the Phillies and will also play left field from time to time. The Phillies are likely to keep throwing Sizemore in there every day while the hot streak is rolling, so owners can do the...

Comments |

continue reading

Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Daily Notes - July 25, 2014

J.P. Arencibia (C/1B-TEX): J.P. Arencibia hit his 4th homer of the season to provide the lone spark for the punchless Rangers offense. With Geovany Soto likely out for a month, look for Arencibia to see regular playing time. Arencibia is a career .207 hitter, and his plate discipline and coverage in AAA this season did nothing to ease the batting average fears that accompany him. However, his power is undeniable, and with consistent AB's, he should hit 7-8 homers the rest of the way. If you need the power in a deeper league, don't let the AVG scare you. Neftali Feliz (RP-TEX): After trading Joakim Soria to the Tigers, The Rangers immediately announced that Neftali Feliz will take the closer...

Comments |

continue reading

David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - July 25, 2014

Yangervis Solarte (3B-SD) - Solarte will apparently be the everyday third baseman and #2 hitter after coming over in the Chase Headley trade. Normally that's a prime spot in a lineup ahead of the team's best hitter, but instead, Solarte is hitting behind a leadoff man (Amarista) with a .283 OBP, a solid #3 hitter (this year at least) in Seth Smith, and two spots ahead of a "cleanup" hitter batting .212 (Grandal). Historically-bad lineup aside, Solarte has some value in deeper formats given he'll be receiving regular at-bats, and after going 0-for-4 with a walk in a game in which the Padres somehow scored 12 runs, Solarte is batting .254/.339/.385 with six home runs. Solarte doesn't run much, and...

Comments |

continue reading

Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-July 23rd, 2014

Brian Dozier-Twins-2B Brian Dozier was 1-4 with an RBI in the loss to the Indians. Brian Dozier parlayed a strong start to his 2014 season into an All-Star and HR Derby appearance. Dozier's season line reads .239/19/47 with 16 SB from the very shallow 2B position. Dozier hasn't hit above .255 in any month so far, but still has found plenty of ways to provide value to his fantasy owners. He's projected for 117 runs, 31 HR, 76 RBI, and 26 SB. This is great value for where most fantasy owners drafted Dozier. Don't worry about the low average, because he provides value across the board, that is hard to find at the 2B position. Trevor Bauer -Indians-SP Trevor Bauer...

Comments |

continue reading

Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Daily Notes - July 24, 2014

Ian Kennedy (SP-SD): Ian Kennedy picked up his 8th win after tossing another quality start, this time against the lowly Cubs lineup. He allowed 3 earned runs on 3 hits and 5 walks while adding 6 strikeouts. Many have raised alarms about the possibility of Kennedy leaving Petco in a trade--perhaps even to the Yankees. But he has actually pitched better AWAY from home, as his .295 wOBA and 3.06 ERA on the road indicate. Kennedy has increased his K-rate, lowered his BB-rate, and is inducing grounders at the highest rate of his career. His velocity is up nearly 2 MPH as well, further indicating that his success is not a product of Petco. A.J. Burnett (SP-PHI): A.J. Burnett tossed...

Comments |

continue reading

Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

NL Player Analysis - July 23, 2014

Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals - Carpenter hasn't quite lived up to the lofty preseason standards he set for himself after his MVP caliber 2013 season, but the second baseman has been a good fantasy asset for owners this season. He launched a leadoff homer, his fifth homer of the year, and drove in his 35th run while going 2-fo-3 at the plate Tuesday. Hopefully this can be the game that get carpenter rolling, as he was 0-for-12 since the All Star break. Carpenter has seen a dip in his ISO over nearly 70 points, which can be partially contributed to his GB rate being a few percentage points higher than last year. While Carpenter is by no means a...

Comments |

continue reading

Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

AL Player Blog- July 23, 2014

Chase Headley- The Yankees made their first offensive addition of the 2014 trade season by acquiring Chase Headley for the stretch run. Headley will now be available in AL-Only formats for pick-up so getting an idea of whether his July streak is sustainable. I'd say that it doesn't seem likely that Headley will provide much value for fantasy owners moving forward in his new surroundings. Despite his current hot streak, Headley has managed not to take a walk for the entire month of June to date. While it is nice to see him batting .308, a matching .308 on base percentage is not convincing that he is "figuring it out" at the plate. This is particularly true as his BB...

Comments |

continue reading

Neil Parker

Neil Parker

AL Player Analysis - July 21

Dustin Pedroia didn't reach base in the Red Sox's 14-run outburst against the Blue Jays Monday night. He was held hitless, bringing his slash line down to .272/.339/.368. Pedroia has four home runs and two stolen bases on the season, which lands him in two-category-contributor territory. Only 30 of Pedroia's 107 hits have gone for extra bases. Hand injuries have plagued Pedroia's pop dating back to 2012, and his wOBA has dropped significantly this season. It sits at a lowly .316. He received a cortisone injection in his left wrist Tuesday, April 15, and also injured his right hand Friday, May 30. Pedroia was drafted high this spring and is posting his worst season statistically. His name carries a lot...

Comments |

continue reading

Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

NL Player Blog- July 22, 2014

Gregory Polanco- Gregory Polanco is becoming one of the poster boys in 2014 for my "shiny new toy syndrome". In every league, owners overvalue prospects to the determent of older, more proven assets. Polanco was widely thought of as a "can't miss" prospect, and he still has that potential. The problem is that his 2014 season has not produced the major league statistics anticipated by many. There have been two fairly large-scale issues with Polanco. The first is that he has been unable to produce at even a reasonable rate against left handed pitching. He is striking out 31.1% of the time versus lefties while walking only 6.7% of the time. This is double the rate of strikeouts and half...

Comments |

continue reading

Derek Carty

Derek Carty

AL Player Notes - July 21, 2014

Justin Masterson -- Masterson threw 71 pitches in a rehab outing on Sunday, allowing two runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts. Masterson, who has been a major disappointment this year, has been on the DL with right knee inflammation. He holds a 5.51 ERA with a 5.1 BB/9 and 4.05 xFIP. He has struggled to get ahead of hitters (55.1% first-pitch strike rate) and find the strike zone (43.6%), both of which are career lows. He's been bothered by the knee since his second start of the year, so that could be the reason he's struggled so much. Lacking stability on your back end can certainly cause a pitcher to lose control, so it'll be interesting...

Comments |

continue reading

Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

NL Player Notes - July 21, 2014

Odrisamer Despaigne (SP-SD). Despaigne flirted with history on Sunday afternoon, as he took a no-hitter into the 8th inning against the Mets. Unfortunately he gave up two hits and a run in that inning, thereby losing both the no-hitter and the chance at a win. Despaigne walked 3 and struck out 5 on the day, while lowering his ERA to 1.31. However, Despaigne's FIP is 3.6 and his xFIP is 4.14, indicating that regression will not be kind when it hits. The biggest issue is Despaigne's strikeout rates. Unless he can increase his 6.0% swinging strike rate and 11.9% K rate (which he may be able to do, given that his current rates may be affected by the small sample...

Comments |

continue reading

Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

AL Player Analysis - July 20, 2014

Chris Dickerson (OF-CLE) - Since being acquired and subsequently called up by the Indians earlier this month, Chris Dickerson has been on a tear. The 32-year old outfielder is now with his 5th team in 9 years and has filled in admirably in the absence of Michael Bourn. In the second game of a doubleheader on Saturday, Dickerson powered the Indians offense by clubbing 2 solo homeruns. Since being called up, he's hitting .435/.480/.739 and will continue to see plenty of time against right-handed pitching as long as he can keep hitting. Dickerson has always been more of a free-swinger but he draws walks at an above average 10% rate and has significantly improved his contact rate this season. He's...

Comments |

continue reading

Neil Parker

Neil Parker

NL Player Analysis - July 19

Todd Frazier stole his 15th base of the season yesterday afternoon. With 19 bombs, over 50 runs and RBIs, and a plus-average, he has proven to be the only five-category contributor at his position. Reds Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto are injured, yet Frazier continues to fill the stat line. His 23.2 percent LD% correlates with his .323 BABIP, and suggests there aren't glaring signs of regression ahead. In the heart of the Reds' lineup, Frazier will continue to get plenty of RBI opportunities. Although, everything checks out and Frazier is having a fantastic season, the Reds' lineup can be had. Frazier's year-end numbers will be high-end, but expecting him to continue his current pace could be asking a lot....

Comments |

continue reading

Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Notes- July 19, 2014

Xander Bogaerts- BOS- Stats- During the Break, Scott Boras was quoted as saying he still had confidence in clients Bogaerts and Stephen Drew. With Bogaerts, Boras has reason to think that he will break out of his slump before too long. Through May 31, Bogaerts was hitting .304 but with a .394 BABIP. Then regression to the mean hit hard and fast. For the rest of the first half he hit .134 with his BABIP at .161. This has left his BABIP for the season at .302, which means that the regression should be mostly wrung out. Bogaerts' Batting EYE of .34 is down a little from his .38 mark in his brief regular season appearance with Boston last year....

Comments |

continue reading

Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - July 14th, 2014

Enrique Hernandez - Hernandez is a pretty interesting case, as he kind of slipped off the radar for a few years after being drafted in the 6th round (with a $150K bonus) of the 2009 draft out of the American Military Academy in Puerto Rico. He performed fairly well in Rookie ball and Short Season ball at ages 17 and 18 before being promoted to low-A in 2011 at age 19. He continued to show glimpses of some ability, especially in terms of making contact, as the Astros promoted him a level a year rather consistently. He was cruising along at roughly a 260/300/400 pace at each level of the minors, showing only flashes of any ability that would ever...

Comments |

continue reading

Key Articles - view all

Key Articles
Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

May Pitcher Rankings 2014

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially...

Comments |

continue reading

Please feel free to inquire about any of our products: info@fantistics.com

 

Copyright 2007-2014 Fantistic Technologies All Rights Reserved.

The term MLB is a registered trademark of the Major League Baseball and is not affiliated with Fantistics, nor endorsed.