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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

NL Daily Notes - August 25th, 2016

Tyler Anderson (SP) COL - The rookie is really racking up the K's over the past two starts, as after 8 K's in 7 innings against the Cubs last time out, Anderson fanned 10 Brewers in just 5 innings on Wednesday. The stigma against Rockie pitchers is strong, as any other rookie pitcher with a 3.51 xFIP and a 10.5% swinging strike rate would be heavily owned, yet Anderson is owned in far less than half of formats as far as I can tell. I wouldn't be flocking to the waiver wire to grab him, as the Coors factor is enough to give me pause in most shallow formats, but nor would I shun him completely.....he has yet to pitch...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

NL Player Analysis - August 24th, 2016

Gregory Polanco, Pittsburgh Pirates - Gregory Polanco launched homers 18 and 19 Tuesday in a 3-for-4 game at the dish. He's had fantastic season overall and has been a real breakout player, but I'm worried about the numbers that he might put up in September because he's been declining for each of the last three months. In May he had his best month hitting .317, but since he's dropped to .272-.243-.190 in each of the last three months which doesn't make September look great if that continues. August appears to have been fueled by a bit of bad luck though as he has a hard contact rate of 37.5% and 39.2% for the second half so he may just simply...

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David Regan

David Regan

AL Daily Notes - August 24, 2016

Yulieski Gurriel (UT-HOU) - With Alex Bregman having 12 hits and four home runs in his last seven games, he's clearly locked down an everyday role. Where does that leave Gurriel? Likely in a utility role, seeing time at DH, left field, and on occasion, third base. Perhaps he'll even pick up a first baseman's glove given A.J. Reed is batting just .191 in 110 plate appearances. Gurriel exited his first game with a hamstring injury Sunday, but he did return for a pinch-hit appearance Monday and he's not expected to miss further time. Gurriel hit .250 in 56 minor league at-bats before getting recalled to Houston, and given he's 32, he's not expected to return to the minors any...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - August 23rd, 2016

Alex Bregman (3B) HOU - Bregman homered again, giving him homers in every other game for the past 7 contests. He's still feeling his way a bit, as evidenced by the swinging strike rate that's a bit out of line with his minor league time, but the LD rate and hard contact% are excellent and solid respectively, so I'd expect that AVG to continue to climb. Bregman should definitely be owned in all formats, and could easily be a top-50 player as early as next season. Devon Travis (2B) TOR - Travis sneaks under the radar a bit when discussing the best players up the middle, but he's basically picked right up where he left off last season, hitting 300/332/475...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-August 21, 2016

Josh Bell-Pirates-OF Josh Bell was 1-3 with a RBI against the Marlins. Bell was excellent in his limited time at the big league level earlier this year. However, Bell struggled when sent back to Triple-A. He hit .211 with a .312 OBP and .275 SLG. On the year he is hitting .295 AVG with a .382 OBP and .468 SLG. Bell has excellent on base skills as well as some pop from the left side. GM Neal Huntington said that Bell will get "a decent amount" of playing time while Jung Ho-Kang is on the disabled list. The Pirates have not gotten a lot of production out of John Jaso at first-base, so it would make since to play Bell...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - August 22, 2016

Ervin Santana While the Twins have irrelevant for the majority of 2016, Santana has quietly put together quite a nice stretch of baseball in the past couple of months. Santana continued that success Sunday, going seven innings, allowing two runs on five hits and a walk, while punching out 10 Royals. That makes six straight starts with two or fewer runs allowed and 11 straight starts with three or fewer runs allowed. In that eleven-start stretch, Santana's ERA is 1.91 and he has a 5-3 record. That's some elite pitching, and Santana is available in over half of ESPN leagues still. One of the biggest factors has been Santana's ability to limit his free passes. In the first half of...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Player News- August 21, 2016

Robbie Ray (SP-ARI): Robbie Ray struck out 13 Padres over seven innings of one-run, one-hit, one-walk ball in earning the win. With the effort the lefty moved his K/9 rate to 11.19 over 140 innings, and although his ERA sits at 4.31, his 3.29 xFIP suggests more quality days could be in store. His .352 wOBA at home makes him more of a streaming option in shallower mixed leagues, but if you need the strikeouts in standard leagues, he's a must start. He has only walked more than two batters in a game once since June 6. Tyler Flowers (C-ATL): Tyler Flowers went 2-for-4 with a walk and three runs scored, but the Braves fell to the Nationals in a...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

AL Player Analysis - August 21, 2016

Alex Bregman, Houston Astros - After a slow start to his major league career, Slex Bregman has been on fire over the last two weeks and has now homers in three of his last six games, alternating games with homers. Entering Saturday, Bregman is slashing .333/.371/.544 with a 143 wRC+ since August 6th after posting a .053/.143/.053 triple slashing from his debut to 8/5. While it was unsure how much power he was going to have when he was drafted, Bregman now has 23 homers across three levels after homering four times in 66 games in his debut last year. Bregman has all the making of a fantasy stud, and may even be able to provide enough pop to be...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - August 20, 2016

Trea Turner (WAS) - Since being released from Dusty Baker's rookie purgatory, Trea Turner has been arguably the Nationals best offensive player. The rookie notched three more hits and two more runs on Friday night and now has an impressive .324/.343/.537 slash line with 3 home runs, 17 RBIs, 13 stolen bases and 26 runs scored in 31 games played. Turner's plate discipline remains a work in progress (4 walks to 27 strikeouts), but with slightly better rates in the minors, there's hope that this area of the game will come around eventually. Right now his OBP is getting artificially boosting by a BABIP of .380, a number that's really high and will be difficult to sustain, even after considering...

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Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

AL Player Analysis - August 19th, 2016

George Springer (OF, Hou): Springer set the table for the Astros against Wade Miley and the Orioles, and found great success as he went 4-5 with three runs scored and two RBI. He doubled and homered, his 23rd and 24th of the season, respectively. Springer has been more quiet and consistent than most expected from him this season, neither hitting for outlandish power nor stealing a ton of bases. Rather, he's maintained a solid .262/.361/.470 slash line with 24 homers and seven steals, also sitting at 89 runs scored. It really is a great sign for his long-term outlook that he has maintained his walk rate while cutting 2% off of his strikeout rate, which is now down to 22.1%...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Player News- August 19, 2016

Jake Arrieta (SP-CHC): Jake Arrieta allowed five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings, but picked up the win. While the surface stats have looked better in the second half, the underlying indicators tell a different story. Arrieta has been thriving thanks to a .187 BABIP in the second half while posting a pedestrian 21 percent strikeout rate. A less effective slider looks to be the culprit, as it earned a 2.4 pitch value in 2015 compared to a -1.7 mark in 2016. His groundball rate is down and his hard hit rate is up, and the numbers suggest more regression lurks on the horizon. He's still a number one fantasy starter, but until he makes adjustments, he's on the lower-end...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - August 19, 2016

Sandy Leon Leon got the start at DH for the Tigers on Thursday, and answered the call, taking Matt Boyd deep in the fourth inning, Leon's lone hit of the day. Leon actually dropped his batting average with the 1-for-3 day, but is still hitting a robust .382. The home run was the second consecutive game for Leon with a dinger, with Wednesday's coming from the left-side of the plate, and Thursday's coming from the right-side. Leon now has seven home runs in 152 plate appearances in 2016, a well-above-average rate, especially for a catcher. You probably don't need me to tell you that Leon is going to have to level off at some point, he's sporting a .450 BABIP...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - August 18th, 2016

Gary Sanchez (C) NYY - Sanchez hit homer number 5 before he got to AB number 50 (which was later in the game) on Wednesday, showing off his excellent raw power with a blast into the netting above Monument Park in CF. It isn't just that Sanchez is hitting homers at this pace, but the distance generated that is the most impressive thing about this.....the nearly 419-foot average of his 5 homers would place him 5th this year behind CarGo, Stanton, Mazara, and Story. That's big power, and this is from a catcher.....he's clearly a must-add, but how good could he be? The AVG is obviously a bit above his head here, as he's hitting the ball hard, but not...

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David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - April 17, 2016

Howie Kendrick (OF-LAD) - Lots of guys had good games Tuesday in Philadelphia as the Dodgers tallied 15 runs, but Kendrick's 4-for-5 effort is worth noting. Kendrick fell a double short of the cycle while driving in three and scoring twice on the day to raise his slash to a respectable .283/.341/.421. In his last six games, Kendrick has raise his BA 21 points and he has a respectable eight homers and eight stolen bases. He hit in the eight spot Tuesday, so perhaps his recent efforts will get him moved up. With Andre Ethier and Trayce Thompson hurt and Yasiel Puig on the DL, Kendrick should play most days in left field going forward. Vincent Velasquez (SP-PHI) - Velasquez...

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Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

AL Player Analysis - August 16th, 2016

Danny Duffy (SP/RP, KC): Duffy was pulled only four outs short from tossing his second straight complete game, yielding only one run on three hits in seven and two-thirds innings with two walks and five strikeouts. He rose to 10-1 and has gone 13 straight starts without a loss, continuing to pitch like an ace in his return to starting. His success can be attributed to increased velocity and an improved changeup. The changeup has allowed him to lean less on his slider, and hitters just haven't been able to square up his pitches with this new usage. His command is also far and away the best of his career, and he's allowed only 1.84 BB/9. There's really nothing not...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - Aug 16, 2016

Chad Green, SP, NYY Green was excellent for the Yankees on Monday, striking out 11 Rays in 6 shutout innings, while allowing just 2 hits and no walks in his 2nd win of the season. Green's K/9 is up to a phenomenal 10.80 on the season, and ironically that mark is even higher as a starter (12.00 K/9 in four starts). The high strikeout totals are a bit surprising considering he's never whiffed batters at this rate through the minors, but he had a high 12.2% SwStr% coming into Monday's game, so it doesn't look like a total fluke. His ERA still sits at 4.05 but most of the damage has come via his 8 HR's allowed. With a GB%...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

NL Player Analysis - August 16, 2016

David Phelps Phelps did well in his third start of the season for Miami, getting the win in 5.1 innings of two-run ball. Phelps tallied eight strikeouts while allowing four hits and just one walk. Phelps moved from the bullpen to the rotation at the beginning of August and hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his three starts. In fact, Phelps has allowed just three runs total. The other good news is that Phelps has gone deeper in each of the three starts, and struck out more, signs of progress for a pitcher who has been used as a starter in less than half of his career outings. Phelps is sporting a 2.48 ERA on the season...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-August 14, 2016

Steven Matz-Mets-SP Steven Matz went 7.1 IP and gave up 0 ER on 1 H, 2 BB, and 8 K's against the Padres. Matz now has a 3.40 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 23% K. Matz no-hit the Padres through 7.1 innings. He had been struggling in the second half prior to this start (4.34 ERA). The good news is that his strikeout rate has actually gone up while his walk rate has gone down. He has been hurt by the longball (1.24 HR/9) and BABIP (.354). Matz will continue to be one of the better pitchers in the league down the stretch. There is no need to worry as the underlying skills are still excellent for the young left-hander. He...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player News- August 14, 2016

Paulo Orlando (OF-KC): Royals center fielder Paulo Orlando went 4-for-5 with a homer, a triple, a walk, three RBIs and three runs scored Sunday vs. the Twins. Orlando is seizing everyday at-bats for the Royals as they assess what they have for 2017. While he's a must add, especially in ROTO formats, Orlando is likely to regress significantly, as he carries a .412 BABIP despite a below average hard hit rate. He has only walked eight times all season, and an adjustment period is likely on the horizon. Troy Tulowitzki (SS-TOR): Troy Tulowitzki went 3-for-4 with a homer, three RBIs and two runs. Tulo posted a .380 wOBA in June and July after struggling through the season's first two months....

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Player News- August 13, 2016

Jung Ho Kang (INF-PIT): Jung Ho Kang hit a two-run homer as part of a 2-for-2 night. Since a respectable May and June, Kang has posted monthly wOBAs below .260. His .261 BABIP looks extremely underrepresented given his 41 percent hard hit rate and stable batted ball profile and plate discipline indicators. The pending litigation is likely playing a role in his struggles, but standard leaguers are advised to hold if they have the bench room. His upside is worth the risk. Joey Votto (1B-CIN): Joey Votto went 4-for-5 with two doubles, two RBIs and a run scored to lead the Reds over the Brewers. After struggling through the season's first two months, Votto has responded with a powerful statement...

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Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

Pitchers: Hard Hit Rate and the relationship to BABIP against

It's widely accepted and understood that hitters do have control on their BABIP range. BABIP or Batting Average on Balls in Play is not a one size fits all indicator. Examples of this include quick runners who have a higher...

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