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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

NL Player Analysis, June 29th

Lucas Giolito, Washington Nationals - Giolito was excellent in his debut tossing four shutout innings against the Mets. Owners obviously would have liked to see I'm at least make it through five innings (stupid rain) to pick up the win, allowing only three baserunners is helping to teams' WHIP and obviously the shutout innings help ERA. Giolito has the talent to be owned in every league but we have no idea what his workload is going to be like at the major league level. Dusty Baker said they will evaluate what they'll do with him after this start, but I think he pitched well enough to at least get one more trip through the rotation. Matt Harvey, New York Mets...

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David Regan

David Regan

AL Daily Notes - June 29, 2016

A small sampling of today's notes.... Tim Anderson (SS-CHW) - Anderson is an obvious upgrade over Jimmy Rollins and Tyler Saladino, but there are some red flags. He did go 2-for-4 with his second stolen base Tuesday and is now batting .286/.286/.494 with three solo homers in 77 at-bats. The primary red flag is Anderson's 24:0 K:BB. The fact that he's hitting leadoff is probably one of the reasons why the White Sox are scuffling a game below .500. Why not hit Adam Eaton (.362 OBP) leadoff and a guy like Brett Lawrie second ahead of Jose Abreu and company? The White Sox though are likely to remain committed to Anderson for the rest of the season, and if he...

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Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

AL Player Analysis - June 27th, 2016

Trevor Bauer (SP, Cle): Bauer was effective again Monday, taking advantage of a crummy Braves offense by going six innings and allowing two earned runs on five hits and three walks, striking out five and earning his sixth win of the season. The lynchpin to his success this season is that he's finally seemed to have figured out how to locate his pitches. His 2.99 BB/9 is the lowest of his MLB career by a wide margin, and he's still getting strikeouts at a solid clip (8.37 K/9). He's also helped limit home runs, which has been a problem for him in the past, and has upped his ground ball rate to a career-best 50%. His end of season ERA...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-June 26, 2016

Tanner Roark-Nationals-SP Tanner Roark went 7 IP and gave up 1 ER on 7 H, 1 BB, and 7 K's. It looks like Roark is going to fill in for Strasburg while he misses two starts unless something unforeseen happens. Fantasy owners are hoping that Lucas Giolito gets the call, but that does not look likely at this point. Roark now has a 2.96 ERA (3.89 SIERA) with a 21.2% K. Roark is a perfect swing man for the Nationals in the sense that he can long relieve or take spot starts when needed. His profile suggests a league average pitcher in terms of ERA and strikeouts. Don't expect anything like his 2014 season, those days are not coming back....

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - June 27th, 2016

Tyler Naquin OF (CLE) - I'm going to keep writing about Naquin until people start paying attention. The 25 year old homered again on Sunday, and he has 2 2B, 2 3B, and 2 HR in the past 5 games with a 322/376/591 line in 115 on the year. Yes, there's quite a bit of swing-and-miss in his game, but the 43% hard contact rate and 25% LD rate will play for sure, and he is being protected against most LHP despite showing very few same-side issues...I think he could be a full-time player for the Tribe, but there are a lot of mouths to feed in that OF. I like Naquin a decent amount, and he's getting enough PT...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Player News- June 26, 2016

Julio Teheran (SP-ATL): Julio Teheran tossed 8 scoreless innings and struck out 7 Mets, but the Braves' pen and bats let him down. While Teheran's 3.99 xFIP indicates he has been a bit fortunate, he has also made real strides in 2016. He has increased his K-rate by over 3%, lowered his BB-rate by over 2% thanks to the deployment of a well-rounded arsenal that features a plus pitch value on all 4 of his pitches. The improved arsenal has enabled him to fix two of his biggest issues: his handling of lefties and his navigation of lineups on the road. His upside is a high-end #3 fantasy starter, but one with a very high floor. Drew Pomeranz (SP-SD): Drew...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

AL Player Analysis, June 26th

Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians - Carrasco dominated the Tigers Saturday with a complete game shutout for his third win of the season. He allowed just five baserunners on four hits and a walk and struck out seven which is the second most he's had in a game the season. If you look at Carrasco's Fangraphs page and are worried about his FIP being almost two runs higher than his ERA, don't be. He's currently being plagued by a HR/FB% that's nearly double his career rate and that's what is causing his FIP to skyrocket. His ERA should be on the move up a bit though shortly as he's currently stranding baserunners at a 91.3% clip which isn't sustainable at all....

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Kyle Elfrink

Kyle Elfrink

Week 13 Waiver Targets by Kyle Elfrink

Friday evening's news that Houston was calling up A.J. Reed was met with cheers and jeers. And, it all might depend on how many roster spots each team in your league has. Reed has been on the prospect radar for just under a year now and coming into draft season he was seen as a good draft-and-stash option. The Astros went with Tyler White and that decision stuck for just over a month before it was evident that White wasn't quite ready. Since then, the team has gone back and forth with players like Marwin Gonzalez and Luis Valbuena. They had performing well enough to make it seem that Reed would continue to smooth out his rough edges in the...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

AL Player Analysis - June 25, 2016

Steven Moya (DET) - Steven Moya notched another hit and another RBI on Friday night and has gotten hits in all but 4 of his 16 games this season. He doesn't have the best approach at the plate, which is reflected not only in his batting EYE (3:17), but also his low 74% contact rate and pitiful 16% swinging strike rate. Based on these numbers, about the only thing propping up his .322 batting average (and .421 BABIP!) is a 46% hard hit rate. I have some very real concerns about Moya being able to maintain this recent hot streak and I wouldn't hesitate to move him if there's an owner in your thinking thinking they can buy the "next...

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Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

NL Player Analysis - June 25th, 2016

Adam Frazier (2B/SS, Pit): Frazier was called up by the Pirates on Friday and recorded his first Major League hit off of Dodgers reliever JP Howell. He's a non-elite prospect but is someone to keep an eye on. He hit .333/.400/.426 with 17 steals in AAA this season across 295 plate appearances with a 27:28 K:BB ratio. The 17 steals were in 32 attempts, so he's not a burner, but he seems like one of those under-the-radar utility players that can be useful in deep leagues. He might not get much playing time while he's up so he's not a big add, but Jordy Mercer and Josh Harrison aren't the biggest roadblocks in the long-term, so Frazier is a name...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Report- June 24, 2016

Lorenzo Cain- OF- KC- Idea- Cain has a slash line of .407/.475/.648 against LH pitching with 3 homers in 61 PAs. Dallas Keuchel has been wildly inconsistent. He only has 7 quality starts out of his 15 this season. Cain is in a position to have a very good performance. Value play- Draft Kings salary $3600 Tim Anderson- SS- CHA- Hot- Anderson went 2-for-6 with 2 runs from the leadoff spot yesterday. His average is now at .271. Anderson has a BABIP of .385, which is 1 point above his mark at AAA Charlotte before he was called up. This is an indication that he hasn't been particularly lucky, despite that high BABIP. Anderson still has some apparent issues in...

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David Regan

David Regan

Prospect Spreadsheet Updates - June 24, 2016

A few of our many prospect notes this week: 1 Yoan Moncada BOS 2B A AA 4 for 10 in first 2 AA games. 2016 MLB stint not out of the question. 2 Alex Bregman HOU SS A- AA .302/.411/.568 but still playing SS, so not sure he's up any time soon. 3 J.P. Crawford PHI SS A- AAA .222 with no HR and 4 SB in June and just having trouble with AAA pitching for now. 4 Bradley Zimmer CLE OF A- AA .313 with 10 BB in last 10 games and just 4 strikeouts during that time. 5 Trea Turner WAS SS A- AAA .229 BA in June has cooled the promotion talk considerably. 7 Alex Reyes STL...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

NL Player Analysis - June 24, 2016

Travis Jankowski Expect Jankowski to be one of the hottest pick ups in the upcoming days, as he stole his fourth base of his last three games as part of a 2-for-5 effort with an RBI. Jankowski is owned in just 0.2 percent of ESPN leagues, but I would bet that he is up to 10 percent within a week. Jankowski has nine steals in just 80 plate appearances, an absurd rate. He has 14 runs, five RBI and a home run in those 80 plate appearances and a decent .261 batting average. His .364 OBP is a lot sexier, especially given that once he gets on with a walk, there's a good chance he's taking second with the...

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David Donahue

David Donahue

NL Player Commentary - June 22, 2016

Justin Bour (1B - MIA) - Justin Bour was 2-for-3 with a HR and 2 RBI yesterday. It was his 12th HR of the year. Bour has put together a solid, yet unspectacular, season. His wRC+ was 115 coming into yesterday, which by default is above average but not necessarily for his position unfortunately. But his ISO of .223 is certainly worthy of utility consideration - he if keeps pace (all signs point to yes) he could flirt with 30 HR in the course of a full season. He's likely sitting low on fantasy rankings because his runs (24) and RBI (36) aren't anything to write home about, but he could partially be the victim of circumstance in that regard....

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

AL Player Analysis, June 22nd

Blake Snell, Tampa Bay Rays - Snell bounced back from a "bad" performance against the Mariners where he allowed five runs, one earned, in three and a third with a quality start allowing just two earned runs over 6.2 innings but took the loss. Snell walked three batters for the second straight game but Snell only struck out three in this game. The Indians are in the middle of the pack against lefties in terms of K%, but he fanned six Yankees in his ML debut and they have the second lowest strikeout rate in baseball against southpaws. Either way, three starts into his big league career he owns a 2.40 ERA and a 2.92 FIP thanks largely in part...

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David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - June 22, 2016

Julio Urias - Urias will reportedly make at least one more start after his next start Wednesday against the Brewers. Seems like we've heard that before, but given Urias is looking better and better, the temptation is there to keep using him. That said, expect the Dodgers to shift him to the bullpen soon to protect his multi-million arm. Urias has a 1.88 ERA and 22:3 in his last three starts covering 14.1 innings. Wilfredo Boscan - The Boscan - Cueto matchup Tuesday appeared to be a bit of a mismatch on paper, and yes it was. Boscan allowed seven runs on six hits, including two home runs over three innings. Boscan's ERA now sits at 6.43over 15.2 innings, including...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - June 21, 2016

Congratutions to Cleveland fans on their first championship in 52 years! With the Cavaliers taking home the trophy, the Indians will try to make it two in row for Cleveland and right now they are in 1st place in the AL central. With that in mind, I decided to take a look at a few of the Tribe players and what their role should be for fantasy owners. Rajai Davis, OF, CLE Davis has been on fire in the month of June, with a .313 BA, an OPS over .800, and most importantly for fantasy owners, 10 steals in 17 June games. Not only is Davis running wild again, but his power seems to keep developing at age 35, as...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - June 21, 2016

Jake Lamb (AZ) - Jake Lamb continued his sizzling hot season by smashing his 14th homerun of the year in the 1st inning on Monday. As a Fantistics subscriber, you're likely reaping the benefits of our aggressive ranking of Lamb that we shared in the pre-season, and his underlying statistics show no reason to pump the breaks on his progression. Lamb has a tremendous .283 ISO, a measure of a player's raw power, which is supported by an elite 41% hard hit rate. Knowing this, his .279/.364/.553 slash line seems sustainable despite the below average 74% contact rate that he possesses. Looking towards Tuesday, Lamb gets another nice hitting environment as the Diamondback travel to Toronto to take on Marco...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Players News-June 19, 2016

Carlos Rodon-White Sox-SP Carlos Rodon went 6.1 IP and gave up 2 ER on 8 H, 1 BB, and 8 K's against the Indians. Rodon came into the game with a 4.28 ERA (4.15 SIERA) and left with a 4.16 ERA. Basically his underlying skills back up his current level of production. SIERA believes that Rodon has an average strikeout rate (21.6%). We know that Rodon has great stuff, but that hasn't translated into an elite strikeout rate. Rodon's swing strike rate has declined significantly, which is the reason for his average strikeout rate. Rodon also has an average groundball at 46.6% and an average walk rate at 8.5%. Rodon at this point in his career is nothing more than...

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Nathan Dokken

Nathan Dokken

NL Player Analysis - June 20th, 2016

Julio Teheran (SP, Atl): Teheran was nearly perfect on Sunday, firing a complete game 1-hit shutout against the Mets with no walks and seven strikeouts. He needed 120 pitches to go the distance, picking up only his third win of the season. The only blemish for the day came on a single from Michael Conforto in the third inning, and he saw his ERA drop to 2.66 on the season with the terrific start. While there's no question Teheran has been a very pleasant surprise this season, not only maintaining that strong ERA but also increasing his strikeout rate by nearly a K per inning, there's also many signs that regression will hit him sooner or later. He's had a...

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Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

Pitchers: Hard Hit Rate and the relationship to BABIP against

It's widely accepted and understood that hitters do have control on their BABIP range. BABIP or Batting Average on Balls in Play is not a one size fits all indicator. Examples of this include quick runners who have a higher...

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