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Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

AL Player Analysis 9-17-14

Matt Shoemaker (SP-Angels) Matt Shoemaker has been a revelation for the Angels ball club this season. While he will miss his next start with an oblique injury it looks like he will be ready for the playoffs. Shoemaker has burst onto the scene this year with a 16-4 record averaging more than a K/inning and sporting a 10% swinging strike rate. His good pitching is supported by an excellent 3.04 ERA that is very much in line with his 3.28 xFIP. While Shoemaker is not a power pitcher he is still able to miss bats with a very strong split fingered fastball and a good slider. The good news for Angel's fans is that he has the arsenal to continue...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

September 17th NL Player Analysis

Jake Arrieta, Chicago Cubs - One of these days Arrieta is bound to finish off a no-hitter. It seems like he has flirted with history once a month this season and his no-hitter attempt for September came Tuesday and last into the eighth until Brandon Philips doubled. Arrieta has been an absolute stud this season and has ranked among the games' best pitchers with a 2.30 FIP while racking up just under 9.5 K/9. He kept to his strikeout ways fanning 13 Reds batters in his complete game shutout. He now has six quality starts over his last seven outings and will likely get two more starts down the stretch run for the Cubs. It'll be interesting to see where...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Notes- September 16, 2014

Matt Clark- MIL- Rookie- Clark may have found himself in the right place at the right time. Last season he played in Japan, hitting .238 with 25 homers and 70 RBI for Chunichi. Clark signed with the Mets before this season, hitting .297 with 10 homers in 67 games at AA before they cut him loose. The Brewers then signed Clark to a minor league contract and he hit .313 with 16 homers in 53 games with AAA Nashville. The average was helped by a .354 BABIP but the power may be for real. Clark has slugged over 20 homers in each of his last 5 seasons, including his year in Japan. This is his age 27 season so the...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - September 16th, 2014

Alex Colome - It's hard to judge a guy on a start against the punchless Yanks right now, but Colome was rather efficient through 6 2/3 on Monday, scattering 6 hits and a walk while striking out 4. The 1 walk is particularly reassuring, as the knock on Colome was always on his control, not his raw stuff. Colome is just 24 years old and has 4 potential plus pitches, so with some further refinement on his control he could certainly offer some enticing upside. He could be a nice sleeper in many formats come spring, depending on how the Tampa rotation shakes out over the winter. Colby Rasmus - Rasmus has made only one start this month as the...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - September 15, 2014

Dee Gordon (SS - LAD) - Dee Gordon stole his 61st base of the season on Sunday, 6 more than fellow NL speedster Billy Hamilton. Gordon has returned phenomenal value for owners who gambled on him over Alex Guerrero this spring. Going into next year, Gordon will carry a much higher price tag after holding his own at the plate by hitting .289/.329/.378 in his first full season as a regular starter. Gordon's wheels have provided him with well-deserved batted ball luck evidenced by his .348 BABIP on just a 21% line drive rate. He doesn't strike out much (just 16.7%) and he makes great contact (87.3%). He'll likely remain atop the Dodgers' powerful lineup for the foreseeable future. Javier...

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Derek Carty

Derek Carty

AL Player Analysis - September 15th, 2014

Trevor May -- May turned in his best performance to date on Sunday, going 7 innings with 10 strikeouts and not a single walk, albeit while allowing 3 runs. May hasn't looked much like a major league since getting the call to the bigs last month, entering the game with a 8.38 ERA and 5.19 xFIP in seven games (six of them starts). That being said, May is a legitimate prospect with good stuff, highlighted by a 93-mph fastball with good movement. Though he certainly looks like the part, May has had trouble finding any sort of consistency even in the minors, struggling with pitchability, command, and execution. The upside is there for May to become a middle-of-the-rotation pitcher, making...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-September 13th, 2014

Shelby Miller-Cardinals-SP Shelby Miller went 6 innings and gave up 1 ER on 5 hits, 0 walks, and 5 strikeouts. Miller has a 3.75 ERA over 172.2 innings with 115 strikeouts. Miller has been up and down this year. He has taken some serious steps back in 2014. His strikeout rate has dropped from 8.78 K/9 (2013) to a measly 5.94 K/9 this year. He has also seen his BB/9 increase to 3.83 from 2.96. Miller just does not have same stuff he did a year ago. His swinging strike rate has hit a career low 6.9%, which means he simply doesn't miss a whole lot of bats. You can find better options than Miller at this point. Devin Mesoraco-Reds-C...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Daily Notes - September 14, 2014

Steve Pearce (1B-BAL): Pearce hit his 17th homer of what has been a tremendous season for the veteran slugger. Even though the O's fell to the Yankees, they have to feel at ease even after losing Chris Davis for the rest of the regular season. But should fantasy owners? In short: yes. Pearce has posted a .389 wOBA with a solid .50 EYE. While his contact and swinging strike rates are not at league average, they are typical for many sluggers in this day-and-age, while his chase rate is actually better than the typical rate. He does most of his damage at home and against lefties, but still performs well enough in all environments to be a must-start for those...

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David Regan

David Regan

A small sampling of the player notes provided to subscribers daily: Giancarlo Stanton (OF-MIA) - By the time you read this, it's possible we'll know more about Stanton's condition after the MVP candidate was taken from the field by an ambulance after being beaned in the face in Thursday's game. It was an ugly scene, as Reed Johnson entered the game for Stanton and was promptly hit in the hand by that same pitcher, Mike Fiers - on the very next pitch no less. Predictably brawling and ejections ensued, but all we really want to know is the status of Stanton for the rest of the year. Despite fanning in 26.6% of his PA's, he's Clayton Kershaw's stiffest MVP competition...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Daily Notes - September 11, 2014

Jean Segura (SS-MIL): Jean Segura is quietly putting some things together to close 2014, as the beleaguered speedster went 1 for 3 with 2 runs and a stolen base. It's tough not to look at the disappointing numbers across the board--epitomized by his .265 wOBA--and write him off for 2015. But the fact that he dealt with both injury and tragedy likely played a significant role in his struggles, and there is too much talent there to ignore. Some hits are finally starting to fall in, as his .267 BABIP is way too low considering his batted ball profile and speed. He's growing more comfortable too, so look for things to positively snowball for the rest of the season. As...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

September 10th NL Player Analysis

Michael Wacha, St. Louis Cardinals - Since returning from the disabled list Wacha has given up seven runs in five innings over two starts with four walks and six strikeouts. With Wacha's injury being of the shoulder variety it's not too surprising that it's taking him a bit of time to get back accustomed to starting, but how long can fantasy owners afford to wait before the Wacha from earlier this year returns (if he does at all)? Tuesday's start saw Wacha strand just 40% of his baserunners and he forced ground balls at only a 25% rate, which are both well below a typical Wacha outing. Let's wait and see how his next start goes to see if he...

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Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

AL Player Blog- September 10, 2014

Eric Hosmer- I feel like its been a couple of months since I last lambasted owners for hanging onto Eric Hosmer. I wanted to go on record again with fantasy owners that Hosmer should absolutely be going undrafted in standard formats next season. In fact, let's compare two players: Player A- .289/.337/.385, 9 HR, 55 Runs, 66 RBIs, 4 SB, Owned in 23% of leagues; Player B- .268/.312/.380, 6 HR, 46 Runs, 48 RBIS, 4 SB, Owned in 57% of leagues. At best, these players are very similar. At worst, Player A is far superior. Player A- James Loney, who most of us would not draft in a standard format. Player B- Eric Hosmer, who many will draft because of...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

NL Daily Notes - September 9th, 2014

Jeff Locke - Locke has fit the bill of a spot starter pretty well for most of this year, and he continued that trend on Monday with a 7 IP, 1 ER performance against the Phillies. Locke allowed just 3 hits and struck out 9 without issuing a walk to move to 7-4 on the year. He has the Cubs, Brewers, and Braves left on the schedule, and although I'd be a bit leery about starting him for the Brewers matchup with their success against LHP, I don't think I'd have qualms about using him in just about any format for the other two. He has maintained a GB rate near 50% this season while improving both his control and...

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Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

AL Player Notes - September 9, 2014

Henry Owens (SP-BOS). The Red Sox announced that they are calling up Owens, one of their top pitching prospects, to pitch out of the bullpen for the remainder of the season. This news, while irrelevant to single-season players, should be noted by those of you in keeper leagues whose rules would permit the stashing of Owens as a potential keeper for next season. Owens is generally regarded as one of the Red Sox top two pitching prospects and is expected to receive a shot at winning a spot in the Boston rotation next spring. Owens, a rare hard-throwing lefty whose fastball tops out at 94-95, put up a solid season in the minors in 2014, as he went 14-4 wtih...

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Derek Carty

Derek Carty

AL Player Analysis - September 8, 2014

Shane Greene -- Greene bounced back from his worst outing of the year on Sunday, surrendering just 2 runs (neither earned) on 5 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings while striking out 4 batters. It was an encouraging performance for a guy who has some question marks and who allowed 6 runs in his last turn out there. Greene's minor league numbers don't make him look like much of a prospect, and he's not a guy you heard scouts ever mention very much, but I'm a big fan of his stuff. He works everything off a 94-mph sinker with good run, but he'll also mix in a four-seamer and a cutter. His most effective off-speed pitch, however, is his...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

NL Player Analysis - September 8, 2014

Drew Storen (RP - WAS) - Drew Storen received the call in the 9th inning to close out the game for the Nationals. It was the first save opportunity that the team has seen since removing Rafael Soriano from the role. With Tyler Clippard struggling and Storen's previous experience as the closer (before the team signed Soriano), Storen was the logical choice to step back into the closer role. On the year, Storen has an underwhelming 37/11 strikeout-to-walk ratio but pairs it with an impressive 1.34 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The drop in strikeouts is surprising because his swinging strike rate is actually up to 10.4% and he's getting hitters to chase 5% more, pushing his chase rate up to...

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Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

AL Player Analysis - September 6, 2014

Adam Eaton (OF-CHA). Eaton went 1 for 5 in an extra-innings loss to the Indians on Friday night. Despite the fact that I have added and dropped Eaton numerous times this year, I still believe Eaton can be a solid 4th or 5th OF in mixed leagues. Coming into tonight's affair, Eaton was slashing .310/.377/.414 with 64 runs and 14 SBs in 453 plate appearances. Projected over a full season (which leads to one of the caveats I have regarding Eaton, which I discuss below), this is solid 3 category value, which in today's fantasy world means Eaton should be owned in most fantasy leagues. Eaton may not be able to maintain quite this high of a BA, as it...

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Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

NL Player Analysis 8-29-2014

Travis D'Arnaud (C-Mets) Travis D'Arnaud had 3 hits and 4 runs batted in today as he clubbed his 13th HR of the season. D'Arnaud is starting to look more like the prized prospect that made him a 1st round draft pick in the 2007 June Amateur Draft. He has 6 HR's, 12 runs batted in and a .475 slugging percentage in the last month. The Met's are so enthralled with his recent breakout that they are talking about moving him to another position to preserve his health. His .243 batting average is the result of a very unlucky .251 BABIP and he has hit close to .270 since returning from the Minors 52 games ago. D'Arnaud has a very good...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-September 4th, 2014

Hector Santiago-Angels-SP Hector Santiago went 5 innings and gave up 4 ER on 8 hits, 3 walks, and 3 strikeouts in the win against the Twins. Santiago has a 3.46 ERA over 112 innings with 97 strikeouts. Santiago showed promise for the White Sox prior to being traded over the off-season. His start to 2014 was rough, but he has righted the ship. Santiago owns a 4.48 xFIP, which suggests that he has been outperforming his metrics and is a candidate for regression. Santiago is a flyball pitcher (52.6%), but owns a low 6.9% HR/FB ratio. Santiago is going to be burnt on occasion by the longball because of his FB tendencies. He also does not get a high percentage...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Daily Notes - September 4, 2014

Danny Salazar (SP-CLE): Salazar followed Miguel Gonzalez with his own CGSO, shutting down the Tigers in allowing 8 hits and striking out 9. Impressively, the frequently wild Salazar didn't walk a single batter in the effort as he outshined Justin Verlander. Since his recall in late July Salazar has allowed more than 3 earned runs in just 1 start and his control (evidenced by BB rate) and command (evidenced by HR/FB rate) are much improved. According to Brooks, it looks as though Salazar has phased out his sinker for more of a focus on fastball command, working in sliders and splits when ahead in the count. We all know the potential, and while he is risky, he is a must...

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Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

May Pitcher Rankings 2014

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially...

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