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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - July 28, 2015

Adam Eaton, OF, CWS Eaton collected 3 hits including a 2B and a 3B on Monday finishing a HR away from the cycle. After a slow start to the season, Eaton is hitting .281/.358/.461 with 45 runs scored over his last 67 games. Eaton should continue to be a positive contributor in BA and be a good source of runs scored for the remainder of the season, although he continues to be a bit of a disappointment in the SB category. He is 7 for 11 in SB attempts this season and has an underwhelming 29 for 47 ratio in his big-league career. Salvador Perez, C, KC Perez continued his cold spell on Monday going 0-4, although he did collect...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

NL Daily Notes - July 28th, 2015

Gerardo Parra - Parra came into Monday's game with a line of 408/469/704 for the month of July, and he managed a 1-2 line with two walks against Chris Heston and the Giants Monday night. Parra isn't really doing a ton that's different this year than he has in the past except for one thing: he's hitting the ball harder. His hard contact rate is up 7.5%, his avg HR distance is up over 20 feet, and the batted ball speed on his homers is up a full 2 mph. These may not seem like huge differences if you don't pay attention to such things frequently, but they are. Throw is his typically excellent LD rate and the roughly 10...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-July 26th, 2015

Rougned Odor-Rangers-2B Rougned Odor was 2-5 with his 8th HR and 3 RBI in the loss. Odor is hitting .348 with 4 HR, 4 3B, and 5 2B in July. Odor has been red hot since being called up and has raised his season triple slash to .271/7/31 with 5 SB. He looks to be a top five second-basemen the rest of the way. Matt Moore-Rays-SP Matt Moore went 5 IP and gave up 5 ER on 8 H, 2 BB, and 4 K in the loss to the Orioles. Moore now has a 7.61 ERA over his first five starts since TJ. Moore's velocity has been way down (95-11',94-12',92-13',92-14',91-15") and this is a disturbing trend. Those who thought they...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Player Report - July 27, 2015

Matt Wisler (P-ATL): The rookie picked up his 5th win after allowing 2 earned runs and striking out 3 in 7 innings. While Wisler has plenty of long-term upside, temper expectations for the remainder of 2015. He isn't missing enough bats (15% K-rate, 8% swinging strike rate), and his 4.61 xFIP portends negative regression. His pitch deployment bemuses; despite allowing a .404 AVG on his 4-seamer and a .188 mark on his changeup, he throws the changeup less than 10% of the time. The ingredients are there. Aaron Nola (P-PHI): The former LSU Tiger allowed 4 earned runs across 7 and 2/3 innings, but the Phillies provided him with plenty of run support against Jason Hammel. Nola has ridden the...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

July 26th NL Player Analysis

Cole Hamels - If Saturday was the last day that Cole Hamels threw in a Phillies uniform, he made it as memorable as possible with a no-hitter against the Cubs. The only baserunners he allowed came on a pair of walks, but Hamels recorded 13 strikeouts in his sixth win of the season. Hamels' is having one of the best seasons of his career, and he's only going to get better if he gets dealt this week. His K/9 is the highest of his career since 2006 and his swst rate is his highest since 2012. Being on a contender could elevate him in to the elite tier of pitchers. Shelby Miller - Shelby Miller was a popular sell high...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - July 25, 2015

Devon Travis Travis has been back just about a month now, and his average is yet to fall. Despite posting a somewhat lofty .343 BABIP, Travis has actually risen his batting average since returning from injury, as he is now hitting .299. He got his average to that point with a 2-for-4 game on Saturday, with a double, a run scored, an RBI, and a walk. The only thing missing from Travis since his return has been the home runs. Travis hit seven home runs in his first 24 games, but hasn't hit one in the 36 games since. Travis' power numbers were screaming regression so it shouldn't be too surprising, and his HR/FB rate is only just now normalizing...

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Kyle Elfrink

Kyle Elfrink

Week 17 Waiver Targets by Kyle Elfrink

We would all love to find 'greatness' on the waiver wire, but it's very rare. Mostly, you find junk. That percentage may be near 80% over the course of an entire baseball season. The other 20% is mostly populated by extra outfielders, so-so pitching options, and the rare gem that pays with a relatively big showing. The waiver 'greats' this year include, D.J. LeMahieu, Cameron Maybin, and Chris Heston. As helpful as they've all been this summer, it's doubtful that any of those three will end up in Cooperstown. But, then again, let's be honest, none of us are expecting the next Willie Mays when we head to the free agent list. We just need a guy who's going to...

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Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

NL Player Analysis 7-25-2015

Zack Greinke (SP-LAD) The Dodgers announced that Zack Greinke will return to start against the Mets on either Saturday or Sunday. Greinke was scratched from his scheduled start on Friday for the birth of the couple's first child. He has recorded a sensational 43.2 scoreless innings and he taking dead aim at Orel Hershiser's all time record of 59. Facing the hapless Mets this weekend could get him halfway there. Greinke's value has obviously never been higher and I think this presents a great sell opportunity. While this might sound like heresy to some, his underlying peripherals scream out that his 1.30 ERA is not sustainable. He has benefited from a .232 BABIP and an 89.9% LOB rate. When you...

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Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

AL Player Blog- July 25, 2015

Justin Verlander- The first 6 starts of the 2015 season have been a big time struggle for Justin Verlander. He has suffered from an unusually low strikeout rate of 14.5% and truly high HR/FB rate of 16.3%. Obviously, these are concerning statistics considering the decrease in velocity that Verlander has experienced over the course of the last several years. If there is good news, it is that Verlander's velocity is actually up a tick to 92.8 MPH from his 2014 velocity of 92.3 MPH. While this could just be a short sample size abnormality, it would be nice to see Verlander slow the descent even a little bit as he has lost a mile off his fastball each of the...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Report- July 24, 2015

Jorge Soler- OF- CHN- Idea- Soler doesn't have a great slash line against RH pitching at .257/.298/.411. However, he has hit all 5 of his homers against them and the Cubs will be facing Jerome Williams. Williams has a slash line of .344/.376/.612 against RH batters and has allowed 13 homers in 40.2 IP against them. This is a good chance at a solid production on the cheap. Value play- FanDuel salary $2500 Aramis Ramirez- 3B- PIT- Trade- Aramis Ramirez will end his career where it began after he was traded to the Pirates. Even after hitting .352 so far this month Ramirez has a BABIP of .253. Regression to the mean has begun but there is plenty of room...

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Sam Wallach

Sam Wallach

A.L. Player Report July 24th, 2015

DFS Picks: Xander Bogaerts (SS-BOS) - One matchup I'm interested in watching on Friday is Xander Bogaerts versus Justin Verlander. This season Bogaerts is hitting .306 with a .364 BABIP and a 15.3% K rate. His opposition, Verlander, has been anything but impressive. Verlander's 6.62 ERA and 1.50 WHIP have been hard to ignore. His K rate is down to 5.82 K/9 and his strand rate is a minimal 60.5%. All the more reason to put Bogaerts in your DFS lineup on Friday. FanDuel Value Pick $2,900 Kole Calhoun (OF-LAA) - If there's one player Colby Lewis doesn't want to face it's Kole Calhoun. In 19 career at bats against Lewis, Calhoun is 9 for 19 with six runs scored...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - July 23rd, 2015

Rougned Odor - I'm having a tough time containing my excitement about this kid lately, and another 3-4 day (single, triple, homer, walk) Wednesday isn't helping things any. Odor is now 40-108 (.370) with 7 2B, 4 3B, 5 HR, 4 SB, 15 R, and 21 RBI since coming back from the minors in mid-June, and while he will still swing at miss a bit it's nowhere near the rate at which he was doing so in the early season. This kid is just 21 years old! I'm actively trying to acquire him in every league I don't already own him, and I would suggest you do the same. Mike Montgomery - With an xFIP and SIERA over 4.00, a...

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Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

NL Player Blog- July 23, 2015

Noah Syndergaard- The pitcher nicknamed "Thor" struggled with his control on Wednesday night. He walked 5 batters in 5 innings pitched. This is unusual for Syndergaard as he has been a pretty consistent in keeping runners off-base with the free pass. His 6.2% BB Rate is still solid even after his wild troubles on Wednesday although I'm definitely more than a little concerned to see a pitcher who normally controls the strike zone well to walk this many batters. I still really believe in Syndergaard's talent, but I'm watching careful to monitor his next few starts. These kind of struggles with walking batters can be an early indication of injury. Ian Desmond- Is Ian Desmond back? The first half of...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player Report- July 22, 2015

J.D. Martinez (OF-DET): J.D. hit his 27th homer of the season as part of a 2-for-5, 3-run, 2-RBI effort. The league average speed off bat mark doesn't support Martinez' 23% HR/FB rate; additionally, his 16% swinging-strike rate, 70% contact rate, and 37% chase rate raise alarms. While the slugger has increased his Flyball rate by 10%, I see significant regression in the second half. Carlos Rodon (SP-CHW): The Cardinals destroyed Rodon, tagging him with 7 earned runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings. The 14% BB-rate (fueled by the 54% first pitch strike rate) continues to hold Rodon back from realizing his potential, as the 23% K-rate and 48% GB rate indicates the ingredients are there. He...

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David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - July 22, 2015

Kyle Schwarber (C-CHC) - Schwarber came up big in the Cubs' 13-inning win Tuesday, going 4-for-7 with a pair of homers and four RBI. All he's done in his first 11 MLB games is bat .410/.439/.744 with three homers and 10 driven in. Schwarber has a 12:2 K:BB In 39 at-bats, but the slash speaks for itself. In 75 minor league games this year, Schawrber had a 72:49 K:BB, so expect a few strikeouts and more than an average number of walks. With the way he's hit the ground running so far, it's possible he's a top-five fantasy catcher while Montero is out, and even once the Cubs' regular catcher returns, they may already have a new regular catcher in...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

NL Player Analysis - July 21, 2015

Marlon Byrd, OF, CIN Byrd continued his late-career power surge on Monday, hitting his 16th homerun of the season. He looks to reach 24 HR's or more for the 3rd year in a row, a mark he hadn't reached until he was 35. Since coming back from the DL on June 19th, Byrd has hit .299 with 6 HR's in 23 games. While he strikes out too much to keep up a high BA, the power doesn't seem to be going anywhere. He could be an especially good play over the next week or so, as the Reds host the Cubs for three games over the next two days and then play in Coors Field over the weekend, giving him...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - July 19, 2015

Jonathan Schoop Schoop has been mashing the ball since his return from injury, with his third home run in nine games (and just eight starts) coming on Sunday. Schoop is now slashing .305/.339/.661 for the season (62 plate appearances) and although expecting him to slug .661 for the rest of the season is obviously outrageous, Schoop is definitely a good pick up if he's still available in your league. Schoop hit 16 home runs in not quite a full season last year, and, at 23 years old, is only getting better. That is borderline elite power for the second base position, and he's proving that power was no flash in the pan. Schoop's strikeout and walk rates are somewhat disturbing...

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Sam Wallach

Sam Wallach

N.L. Player Report July 20th, 2015

DFS Picks: Rubby De La Rosa (ARI-SP) - Ignore Rubby De La Rosa's 5.06 ERA and 4.72 FIP on Monday. De La Rosa is set to take on the Marlins, who are a train wreck without Giancarlo Stanton. Since losing Stanton, the Marlins have scored three runs or fewer in 11 of their 17 games. Aside from their lack of run production, the Marlins average 7.68 K/game. For a power pitcher like De La Rosa who averages 8.08 K/9, this matchup has great potential. De La Rosa's high ERA has been heavily influenced by his 1.7 HR/9. Considering the Marlins power outage, De La Rosa should have an easier time keeping the ball out of the bleachers. This also means...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Report- July 19, 2015

Jonathan Schoop- 2B- BAL- Idea- Schoop has been hot since coming back from the DL. Before last night's 2-for-4 performance he had a slash line against RH pitching of .324/.361/.735 and had hit 4 homers in 34 ABs against them. This puts him in good position to exploit Justin Verlander's reverse split tendencies. Value play- DraftKings salary $4000 Adam Eaton- OF- CHA- Hot- Eaton may be seeing the start of some regression to the mean at the beginning of the second half. He is 4-for-12 in the first 3 games back and his BABIP is up to .292. This is still below his .321 career mark so there is plenty of room for more positive regression. Eaton has also walked...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

July 19th NL Player Analysis

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers - The reports of Clayton Kershaw's demise were greatly exaggerated.... Well if anyone actually believed that he wasn't the pitcher he's been his whole career. Kershaw followed his best start of the season with one just as good, fanning 13 Nats over 8.0 shutout innings. Over his last two starts now he has 27 strikeouts in 17.0 innings with no runs allowed over that span. Hopefully you were able to snag him from your league owner who was disappointed with just 6 wins before today because his buy low window is shut, locked, and bolted. Yasiel Puig, Los Angeles Dodgers - It's safe to say that Puig got rested up over the All-Star Break as...

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NL Daily Notes - May 6, 2015

Starling Marte (OF-PIT) - I always saw Marte as the guy who would settle in as the #2 hitter between Polanco and McCutchen, but he's looking like more of a middle of the order type these days. Tuesday, Marte...

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