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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis-September 28th, 2014

Thank you for being with us with this year. Hopefully championships were won and a lot of fun was had!* Bryce Harper-Nationals-OF Bryce Harper was 1-3 with 2 runs scored and a walk in the win against the Marlins. Harper is slashing .269/13/32 over 350 AB's. Harper has had a very solid second half. He has slashed .281/11/21. Hopefully, Harper can carry this type of success into the playoffs and into the 2015 season. Harper will continue to be drafted high based upon his popularity and potential, but 2015 might just be the breakout season we all have expected from him. It's put up or shut up time for Harper. Starling Marte-Pirates-OF Starling Marte was 1-5 with a run scored...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Daily Notes - September 28, 2014

Carlos Carrasco (SP-CLE): Despite taking the loss Carlos Carrasco continued to dominate the opposition, as he struck out 10 Rays and allowed only 1 earned run on 4 hits and 3 walks across 7 and 2/3 innings. Carrasco now has a 140:29 K:BB ratio in 134 innings as he is finally putting things together. The 52% GB and 5% BB-rate add to the beautiful picture and give me great confidence in CC moving forward. He worked intensely with the Indians staff on his mechanics, which has led to better control and command, increase velocity, and better bite on his pitches. Wil Myers (OF-TB): The oft-injured Wil Myers went 2 for 4 with 1 RBI and 1 SB. It's difficult to...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

September 27th AL Player Analysis

Miguel Cabrera, Detroit Tigers - Miguel Cabrera is to the point when .315, 25 HR, and 109 RBI is no longer noteworthy for Cabrera because that legitimately is considered a down season for him. His 2012 and 2013 were just so good that his "decline" to 2011 standards gets overlooked. His walk rate took a dip this year to the lowest that it has been since 2009 and his strikeouts rate also jumped to 16%, his highest since 2008. The move to first base helped Cabrera health wise as he was able to play 156 games after just playing in 148 last year. Cabrera likely has at least two more years of this elite level of production before he starts...

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David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - September 26, 2014

Andrew Cashner (SP-SD) - Cashner has been good all year when healthy, give Thursday against the Giants was a different story - six on eight hits over five innings against the Giants. Cashner still finishes with a 2.55 ERA in 123.1 innings, though his K/9 remains a bit lower than we would expect from a guy with his stuff - 6.8. Cashner's 175 inning a year ago were a career high, but if you're skeptical on his making it through a full year without a DL stint, I don't blame you. He's likely to be the team's Opening Day starter in 2015 given the lack of resources to pursue anyone better, but a healthy Cashner has the chance to be...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Notes- September 26, 2014

Scott Feldman- HOU- Stats- Feldman finished his season Wednesday. He ended up with a 3.74 ERA, the third time in the last 4 seasons he has posted a sub-4.00 mark. The 5.09 he had in 2012 definitely looks like an outlier, especially considering that his FIP that year was 3.81. His 2011 season was significantly shortened due to injury, so it shouldn't necessarily count for much. However, Feldman has put up back-to-back seasons of 180+ IP so those should be a better indication of how he might perform in 2015. Don't necessarily expect him to produce similar numbers, however. Whereas he was very unlucky in 2012, just the opposite has been true the past 2 seasons. His FIP last year...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

NL Daily Notes - September 25, 2014

A.J. Pollock (OF-ARI): Pollock went 1 for 4 and stole his 14th base. His season line now sits at .307/.353/.512. He makes for an intriguing breakout pick for 2015, and depending on where the ADP's move, could end up being one of the best value plays of the spring. Sign me up for the .377 wOBA and .205 ISO. Add in his incredible 6.9% swinging strike percentage, not to mention his above average marks in the chase rate and contact rate departments, and you have a man on the cusp. A full season of AB's hitting in the 3-hole could lead to top 20 OF production. Starling Marte (OF-PIT): Marte continued his strong development, going 2 for 4 with a...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

September 24th NL Player Analysis

Alex Wood, Atlanta Braves - Wood was a tough luck loser Tuesday after allowing just three runs over 6.2 innings, but he fell victim to the worst hitting team in baseball right now as they could only score two runs to help him out. He'll get one more start in the last game of the season against Philadelphia as he tries to finish his breakout 2014 on a high note. Wood went neck and neck with Julio Teheran as the ace of the staff, posting a 3.25 FIP over 171.2 innings with 8.91 strikeouts per nine. Compared to 2013. He was able to maintain his K/9 while shaving off nearly one walk off his BB/9 rate (2.35). Wood is an...

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Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

AL Player Blog- September 24, 2014

Derek Jeter- You will have to forgive me for a moment. I know these blurbs are supposed to be a statistical look into the fantasy value of a player with a specific focus this month on winning championships and 2015 values. This once, we are going to stray from that formula. These are my last blurbs for 2014. I'm going to take the outlet I've been so lucky to be given, and I'm going to say thank you. Thank you to Derek Jeter for giving a 13 year old a hero all those years ago. Thank you for every single to the opposite field. Thank you for every back-handed stop and jump throw as you fell into left field that...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Notes- September 23, 2014

Clay Buchholz- BOS- Stats- Buchholz turned in some decent performances before his last klunker where he gave up 5 runs (4 earned) in 4 IP. He is trying to look at the positive efforts as something to build on for next year. Buchholz's 5.29 ERA this season is certainly not anything to look on fondly. But is is recent rebound an indication of what to expect in 2015? That would be a tough case to make. It is more likely a matter of regression to the mean as his FIP is at 4.13. This marks the 5th time in 7 seasons since Buchholz has gotten significant time as a Boston starter that his FIP has been over 4.00. His 2013...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

NL Daily Notes - September 23rd, 2014

Gio Gonzalez - Surprisingly, Gonzalez has had the worst performance of the Nationals' primary rotation members this season, going 9-10 with a 3.74 ERA over 151 2/3 IP. I'm hoping it depresses his value a bit for 2015, because he has posted the best swinging strike%, the best chase rate, and the lowest SIERA of his career this year as he has continued to improve his control. He should remain a fixture in the Washington rotation for at least a few more seasons, and I expect (at the very least) a much better W/L record going forward. Matt Kemp - Kemp is hitting 311/370/594 since the break, and it probably isn't a coincidence that he's been on fire since being...

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Derek Carty

Derek Carty

AL Player Notes - September 22, 2014

Jose Altuve -- Altuve had yet another good game on Sunday, going 2-for-4 with a walk, a double, an RBI, and 2 runs scored. Those hits pushed him to 220 on the season--the most by a second baseman in 70 years. Altuve's strikeout rate dropped from 12.6% in 2013 to an absurdly low 7.7% in 2014, leading to a .344 batting average. That will regress a little bit, but a lot of the improvement will stick. Altuve changed his swing a bit this year, adopting an earlier leg kick that essentially makes his swing one fluid motion instead of two. He also worked on his pitch-identification skills. Paired with his excellent speed (54 steals), Altuve will be one of the...

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Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

NL Player Notes - September 22, 2014

Jacob Turner (SP-CHN). Turner had yet another rough outing on Sunday against the Dodgers, giving up 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits over 5 innings, increasing his ERA to an even 6.00 for the season. Once the Tigers' top pitching prospect, Turner has never been able to find consistent success at the major league level. Having said that, Turner has shown signs this season that he could be able to be at least a back-end NL-only starter next year. Turner has shown improved control (2.62 BB/9 rate this year vs. 4.12 BB/9 last year) and his ERA is being extremely negatively impacted by a .358 BABIP and a 61.4% strand rate. Given a normalization of these two numbers, his...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Notes- September 21, 2014

Chris Coghlan- CHN- Hot- Coghlan has gotten some favorable luck this month. Befroe yesterday's 4-for-4 performance his BABIP for September was .378. Yesterday he raised his average 8 points and his BABIP went up 5 points in a single day. That's pretty extreme given the time of the year. Coghlan's BABIP stands at .336 for the season and his average is at .283. Both numbers are higher than his career norm so looking to 2015 he is likely to suffer a regression. J. P. Howell- LAN- Cold- It's been over 3 years since we posted an analysis blurb on Howell. Now it's happening because he had an uncharacteristically poor outing yesterday, giving up 4 runs while recording 2 outs. His...

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Frank Tomkins

Frank Tomkins

AL Player Notes - September 20, 2014

Jose Quintana (SP-CHA). Quintana picked up his 9th win on Friday night by holding the Rays to one ER over 7.1 innings, while striking out 6. Quintana has quietly put together another very solid season. While his 9 wins are underwhelming, that is more a function of a lack of support from an inconsistent White Sox offense than an indicator of Quintana's performance. Quintana's ERA now sits at 3.22, which is particularly impressive given his home park, and he has struck out 171 over 193 innings. These numbers are fully supported by his peripherals, as he entered tonight's action with a 2.78 FIP, a 3.44 xFIP and an 8.3% swinging strike rate. Most surprisingly, Quintana has posted a 5.0 WAR,...

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Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

NL Player Analysis 9-19-2014

Matt Carpenter (3B-St Louis) Matt Carpenter is nearing the end of the 2014 campaign that has seen a lot of his fervent supporters jump ship. You don't have to look too hard at the numbers to realize how much regression we have seen this season. Perhaps we all had unrealistic expectations. Here was a player that has his first taste of the majors at 26. Last season he was a star with a .318 BA, 62 doubles and triples, 78 RBI's and 126 runs scored. He was on a very potent offense and he benefited from a .359 BABIP that helped fuel this remarkable season. Fast forward to 2014 and the once potent St Louis offense that sat behind him...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-September 18th, 2014

Mookie Betts-Red Sox-SS,OF Mookie Betts was 1-4 with a RBI and a steal (6) in the loss to the Pirates. Betts is slashing .283/4/14 with 6 SB over his first 43 big league games. Betts should see regular playing time down the stretch and into 2015. He offers an intriguing blend of contact, power, and speed. He is not great any single one category, but will contribute across the board. He has the ability to hit 10-15 HR and steal 25+ bases, all the while hitting for a reasonable average. Shane Greene-Yankees-SP Shane Greene went 6.2 innings and gave up 0 ER on 3 hits, 2 walks, and 6 strikeout in the win against the Blue Jays. Greene has a...

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David Regan

David Regan

NL Daily Notes - September 19, 2014

Here is just a small sampling of the player news and notes available to subscribers each day: Bryce Harper (OF-WAS) - Harper singled twice and doubled in four PA's Thursday, lifting him to .274/.343/.433 on the year. It's not the line we keep expecting from the 21 year-old, but he's now batting .305 with three homers this month, and a strong finish could be a springboard to a breakout 2015. Harper has regressed at the plate this year, posting a .35 EYE versus last year's .65, but you just get the sense that if he can avoid breaking any bones next year, Harper has the upside to hit in the range of .290/.370/.530 as a 22 year-old. That may be...

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Steve Shumansky

Steve Shumansky

AL Player Analysis 9-17-14

Matt Shoemaker (SP-Angels) Matt Shoemaker has been a revelation for the Angels ball club this season. While he will miss his next start with an oblique injury it looks like he will be ready for the playoffs. Shoemaker has burst onto the scene this year with a 16-4 record averaging more than a K/inning and sporting a 10% swinging strike rate. His good pitching is supported by an excellent 3.04 ERA that is very much in line with his 3.28 xFIP. While Shoemaker is not a power pitcher he is still able to miss bats with a very strong split fingered fastball and a good slider. The good news for Angel's fans is that he has the arsenal to continue...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

September 17th NL Player Analysis

Jake Arrieta, Chicago Cubs - One of these days Arrieta is bound to finish off a no-hitter. It seems like he has flirted with history once a month this season and his no-hitter attempt for September came Tuesday and last into the eighth until Brandon Philips doubled. Arrieta has been an absolute stud this season and has ranked among the games' best pitchers with a 2.30 FIP while racking up just under 9.5 K/9. He kept to his strikeout ways fanning 13 Reds batters in his complete game shutout. He now has six quality starts over his last seven outings and will likely get two more starts down the stretch run for the Cubs. It'll be interesting to see where...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Notes- September 16, 2014

Matt Clark- MIL- Rookie- Clark may have found himself in the right place at the right time. Last season he played in Japan, hitting .238 with 25 homers and 70 RBI for Chunichi. Clark signed with the Mets before this season, hitting .297 with 10 homers in 67 games at AA before they cut him loose. The Brewers then signed Clark to a minor league contract and he hit .313 with 16 homers in 53 games with AAA Nashville. The average was helped by a .354 BABIP but the power may be for real. Clark has slugged over 20 homers in each of his last 5 seasons, including his year in Japan. This is his age 27 season so the...

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Key Articles
Fantistics Analysts Twitter Updates

May Pitcher Rankings 2014

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially...

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