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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

NL Player Analysis - May 29, 2015

We've gotten far enough into the season where owners can begin to really appreciate some of the players who have helped them so far by outferporming their preseason draft positions. Some players could just be off to hot starts, but others may in fact be better than drafters thought they were coming into the season. Here are a few NL players who have thus far outperformed their ADP and look poised to be ranked significantly higher entering 2016 than they were at the beginning of 2015. Kris Bryant, 3B, CHI There may end up being no player who increases his stock this year more than Bryant, who looking back was surprisingly barely drafted within the top 100 players in fantasy...

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Sam Wallach

Sam Wallach

A.L. Player Report May 29th, 2015

DFS Picks: Nathan Karns (SP-TB) - Nathan Karns will put his skill to the test against the Orioles on Friday. This season, Karns is 3-2 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. In seven of his nine starts, Karns has allowed two earned runs or fewer. This success has been fueled by Karns' .252 BABIP, and .210 BAA. In order to pick up his fourth win of the season, Karns will have to defeat an Orioles team that scores 5.23 runs per game at home. Although these numbers may seem alarming, they shouldn't. The Orioles are a third place team, and they strike out 7.91 times per game. Karns, who averages 8.12 K/9, should hold the Orioles in check...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player Report- May 28, 2015

Chris Archer (SP-TB): The Archer was pulled after an 8-inning, 2-hit, 12-K gem off his own, but the bullpen let him down. You want to talk about a young arm elevating his game to ace status right before our eyes! With a 52.5% GB rate, 29.5% K-rate, and an 8% BB-rate, all of the ingredients are there for Archer finish the season as a top 10 fantasy starter. What's most impressive--besides the infusion of swing-and-miss and groundball inducements--is the fact that Archer no longer struggles against lefties (in fact, his .250 wOBA against them is lower than the mark he has posted against righties). Jason Kipnis (2B-CLE): Kip went 3-for-5 with 2 runs to continue what has been a scorching...

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Nicholas Rossoletti

Nicholas Rossoletti

NL Player Blog- May 28, 2015

Todd Frazier- What can we say about Todd Frazier? He continues to be as elite a power hitter as we have in the game. His 14th home run of the season left the park on Wednesday, and his 45.5% Fly Ball Rate and 21.7% HR/FB Rate paint the picture that support his profile as an exceptional power hitter. While the power seems to be a solid profile to continue towards another 25+ home run campaign, his .260 average may actually rebound some. His .248 BABIP would be the lowest in three years, and it seems likely to correct at least somewhat. As is, I'd say .260 is a solid bet to be a number you can count on from Frazier...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

May 27th, AL Player Analysis

Jose Abreu, Chicago White Sox - $3,200 A powerful first baseman playing in Toronto? Yes please. Jose Abreu took Dickey deep on Tuesday and he gets to face the homerun extraordinaire Marco Estrada on Wednesday. After not homering since May 17th, Abreu has now gone deep in two of his past three as he has had trouble replicating the success he had last season. He has as good a chance as anyone for a homer Wednesday. Mike Pelfrey, Minnestoa Twins - Mike Pelfrey outdueled Clay Buchholz over seven strong innings to improve to 4-and-1 on the season. He struck out just four, but allowed just five hits and only walked one. This may be a nice time to sell high...

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David Regan

David Regan

Justin Turner (3B-LAD) - With the failed attempt deal Juan Uribe to Atlanta on Tuesday, manager Don Mattingly clarified his third base situation, saying that Turner would be the team's primary third baseman going forward and would start around five games a week. Alex Guerrero would continue to see time at 3B and LF, and Uribe would pick up any scraps. Turner entered Tuesday's action batting .289/.379/.542 with a surprising five home runs and a solid 14.7% K%. It's possible we'll see him get a bit exposed with the expanded playing time, but he's certainly deserving of the opportunity given what he's done since donning a Dodgers uniform last year. He had a 105 AB/HR rate prior to last year,...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

AL Player Analysis-May 25th, 2014

Wei-Yin Chen -Orioles-SP Chen went 5 innings and gave up 3 ER on 11 H, 0 BB, and 6 K in the win against the Astros. Chen has exceeded expectations so far in 2015. He has a 3.13 ERA over 54.2 IP. However, his 4.19 SIERA suggests that the good times might not keep coming. Chen is benefiting from an extremely low .234 BABIP. Chen is getting more flyballs, but he is not missing a ton of bats (8.4% SwStrk), therefore his BABIP should regress back towards his career average, which is around .300. When that happens we should see a spike in his ratio stats like ERA and WHIP. Chen has a decent matchup next time out against the...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Report- May 26, 2015

Daniel Murphy- 2B- NYN- Idea- Murphy took a slash line of .283/.336/.433 against RHP. The Mets are facing Jerome Williams, who has a slash line of .307/.366/.43 against LH hitting. Murphy is a good bet to extend his 5-game hitting streak. Value play- FanDuel salary $2800 John Axford- RP- COL- Hot- Axford picked up his 7th save of the season allowing a walk in a scoreless 9th inning. Most importantly he continued his streak of homerless IP to start this season and is up to 11. Having Axford pitch in Coors Field was a scary thought but eh has risen to the challenge. It's looking like his homer happy pitching on 2012 and 2013 might have been the aberration. Axford...

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Schuyler Dombroske

Schuyler Dombroske

AL Daily Notes - May 25th, 2015

Billy Burns - Burns had two singles, a homer, and a steal in the 7-2 victory over the A's on Sunday, and he's now hitting 309/356/395 through his first 81 ABs of the year. Burns has the LD rate to justify at least a reasonable AVG...the hard contact numbers (only 12.7%) make me a bit skeptical that the .300 level can be maintained, however. The speed is certainly for real though, and that alone should justify a pickup in almost all formats. Judging from how the playing time has been apportioned this month, Burns has moved a bit ahead of Sam Fuld in the pecking order in the Oakland OF, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him hold onto...

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Sam Wallach

Sam Wallach

N.L. Player Report May 25th, 2015

DFS Picks: Brandon Belt (1B-SFG) - Brandon Belt is a great candidate to hit for extra bases against Kyle Lohse on Monday night. This season, Lohse has been anything but effective at home. In 26.2 IP at Miller Park, Lohse has allowed six home runs and 21 earned runs. Cue Brandon Belt, who has been hitting the daylights out of the ball. Belt is hitting .346 against righties this season, and has 77 extra base hits against righties over the past three seasons. Belt's attempt for extra bases should be aided by Miller Park's top ten park factors in runs, hits, doubles, and home runs. If that doesn't help, Lohse's 0.92 GO/FB ratio should. Miller Park isn't exactly a big...

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Josh Sperry

Josh Sperry

May 24th NL Player Analysis

Matt Harvey, New York Mets - The Pirates tagged Matt Harvey seven runs over four innings in the worst start of the righties career. He allowed eight baserunners, two walks and six hits, and surrendered two homers. Obviously we have nothing to worry about here with Harvey, he's in the conversations for the best starter in baseball and his peripherals are exactly in line with his dominant 2013 half season. His hard contact rates are the exact same, and he's even improved at stranding runner to 2013 as well. Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals - Stephen Strasburg got through ha few innings against the Phillies before they tagged for five earned as he took his fifth loss of the season. As...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

AL Player Analysis - May 24, 2015

Luke Gregerson Gregerson had a nice easy save on Saturday, a nice sight for his owners. Gregerson set down the Tigers in order with a pair of strikeouts to boot. Gregerson had given up multiple baserunners in each of his last four outings, and couldn't finish the ninth in his last appearance. Gergerson's numbers for the season are still a bit sketchy (4.30 FIP, 7.71 K/9), but Saturday did wonders for his owners (and coaches) confidence in the Houston closer. That being said, Chad Qualls is still a very quality handcuff to have, as he has snagged four saves of his own with the Astros winning games left and right. Back to Gregerson though, his strikeout rate has been dropping...

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Michael Waldo

Michael Waldo

MyFantasyFix DFS - 5-24-15 - Start With Kris Bryant

Good morning everyone! Each weekend, we publish our free analysis of the daily plays position-by-position. If you haven't already tried out Daily Fantasy Baseball, now is the perfect time to take it for a test spin. The beauty of Daily Fantasy is the short-term time commitment (one-day games) and the opportunity to win real money fast. To help aid you in the lineup construction process, below is a free sample of the type of daily content that is published over at Fantistics' sister site, MyFantasyFix. I always recommend starting to build your roster around your favorite pitcher of the day and fill out the rest of the lineup spots based on relative value-to-cost. To make this easier, below you'll find...

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Phil Double

Phil Double

NL Player Analysis - May 22nd, 2015

Ian Desmond-Nationals-SS Ian Desmond was 1-3 with walk and a RBI in the win against the Phillies. Desmond is slashing .246/4/13 with 1 SB. Desmond has gone 20/20 the past three seasons and is in a contract year. Desmond was miserable in the field to start the season and this affected his hitting. Recently, Desmond has started to pick it up and has hit .364 with 2 HR and 6 RBI over his last 7 games. Everything looks pretty much normal for Desmond compared to his career numbers, minus the increase in groundballs from 50% to 58%. That is going to affect his power numbers and for whatever reason, Desmond is not running in 2015. If Desmond takes a hit...

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Kyle Elfrink

Kyle Elfrink

Week 8 Waiver Targets by Kyle Elfrink

So, have we found any true difference-makers in 2015? Hitting-wise, the waiver wire has not provided many saviors. If you cycle around the infield, going position-by-position, you won't find a parade of great gets. At catcher, Caleb Joseph, is the best thing going, but he's set to ride the bench in about a month once Matt Wieters returns. Over at 1B, there's nothing that has emerged off the waiver wire. Moving to 2B, Devon Travis was an early revelation before fading and now coming up injured. Danny Espinosa has offered some pop and every day play. Washington also offers Yunel Escobar over at SS and 3B. No one was in on him coming into April and he's rounded up a...

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Walter Kuberski

Walter Kuberski

AL Player Report- May 23, 2015

Chris Young (SP-KC): The Chris Young train continued to roll on Friday night, as the lanky Royal tossed 6 scoreless innings to bring his ERA to a miniscule .78 in earning his 4th win. And with that, now is the time to sell. Young now sports a 5.01 xFIP, as he carries a .165 BABIP and a 1.6% HR/FB mark. While has elevated his swing-and-miss and chase rates, and his HR/FB rate should remain below league average because of his extreme flyball tendencies, look for his ERA to move into the upper 3's as the season progresses. Alfredo Simon (SP-DET): Simon Says didn't allow an earned run in 7 strong innings and picked up his 5th win in outdueling Collin...

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James Turvey

James Turvey

NL Player Analysis - May 22, 2015

Brad Ziegler Brad Ziegler notched his first save of the season on Thursday, a great sign for owners who bit the bullet once Addison Reed was moved out of the closer's role. Ziegler is still available in the vast majority of leagues, but as a pitcher with a 0.93 ERA, and closing experience, that won't last long. Ziegler's peripherals (.196 BABIP, 86.7 strand rate) suggest he is getting a bit lucky, but what pitcher with an ERA below 1.00 isn't getting a bit lucky? His FIP sits at an impressive 2.56, and although Ziegler has never topped 13 saves in a season, there no reason to think he can't hold into the closing job for a while in Arizona. Lucas...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

AL Player Report- May 8, 201522

Brett Gardner- OF- NYA- Idea- Gardner has had success against RH pitching this season, with a slash line of .304/.379/.424. The Yankees will be facing Colby Lewis, who has a slash line of .282/.356/.470 against LH hitters over his career. At Yankee Stadium this season, Gardner's slash line has been .322/.385/.458. This bodes well for him having a solid game. Value play- DraftKings salary $4500 David Price- P- DET- Great Player- After throwing 117 pitches to get through 6.2 IP the last time out, Price was far more efficient yesterday. He showed no effects from his intense prior outing, going 6.2 IP again, but only throwing 100 pitches. He was charged with 3 runs (2 earned) on 5 hits and...

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Menachem Greenfeld

Menachem Greenfeld

AL Player Analysis - May 21, 2015

Dallas Keuchel, SP, HOU Keuchel had another dominating performance on Wednesday, allowing just one unearned in 7 IP while recording 14 outs on the ground, to improve to 6-0 on the season. His 6.40 K/9 remains low, but that shouldn't be much of a concern at this point. Keuchel now leads the league with a 64.3% GB% and his 27.8% Soft% entering the game ranked 4th best, and he has demonstrated the ability to succeed without a high strikeout rate. His .227 BABIP and 81.2% LOB% are probably due for a bit of regression, but as long as he keeps inducing week contact, those numbers should remain better than average. Keuchel is one of the better pitchers in the American...

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Paul Sauberer

Paul Sauberer

NL Player Report- May 21, 2015

Adam Lind- 1B- MIL- Idea- Julio Teheran has had difficulties against LH hitters this season, with a slash line of .400/.500/.646. Lind has made himself prime trade bait in Milwaukee with a revival. He is particularly tough on RHP, with a slash line of .308/.405/.589 and hit all 7 of his homers (as of Tuesday) against them. This makes for potential for the current but maybe not long Brewer to have a big game. Value play- DraftKings salary $3800 Jace Peterson- 2B- ATL- Hot- Even though Peterson went hitless yesterday he managed to provide some value. He swiped a base and also walked twice. Peterson has been hot lately. He may be due some negative regression since his BABIP is...

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NL Daily Notes - May 6, 2015

Starling Marte (OF-PIT) - I always saw Marte as the guy who would settle in as the #2 hitter between Polanco and McCutchen, but he's looking like more of a middle of the order type these days. Tuesday, Marte...

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