Anthony A. Perri - Page 4

Anthony A. Perri is the founder and the resident "Stats Nerd" here at Fantistics. Anthony is the designer of the Fantistics Projections, Grading, & the VAM drafting strategy models. His fantasy expertise has been published in several national publications, and can be heard on their nationally broadcast SiriusXM (ch87) Fantistics Sports Radio Show. Anthony has an MBA and worked as a quantitative analyst within the investment industry from 1986-1999. Transplanted from New York (still a Mets and Giants Fan), he currently lives in Arizona with his wife Mary , daughter Hannah, and son Adam. Having won a "trophy room" of Fantasy Sports Championships over the last 25 years, he hopes to continue to lead you in the same direction.

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    Under/Over Performing Batters

    Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves to be...

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    Preseason Projections Blog - March 28th

    Player Blurbs written by Michael Leone Eric Byrnes – Last year Byrnes had one of the best fantasy seasons among outfielders, but don’t buy into the hype just yet. His singles average was 43 points higher than his three year...

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    Preseason Projections Blog - March 28th

    Preseason Player Projections - March 28, 2008| article by Michael Berman What do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept Nationals 1B...

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    Runners Stranded

    Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with...

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    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II

    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II Thursday we looked at the pitchers from 2007 who benefited from an ERA which was better "than deserved". This sabermetric formula is based on a statistic developed by researchers Dwight Gill and...

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    Expected ERA vs Actual ERA

    As many of you already know, Fantistics uses sabermetric theories to create it's player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One of my favorite forecasting models that we monitor here at Fantistics is...

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    Projection Indicators - Outfielders Part II

    Hi Guys, Here is another round of analytic notes. Again, many of the definitions for the indicators I am mentioning can also be found in our charting area as well.  This morning we take our second swing at the...

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    The Luck of the Bounce - BHIP%

    The luck of the bounce - Balls Hit into Play Success % Balls Hit into Play Success %: defined as the number of balls hit into play that are registered as hits against a pitcher. Much has been written...

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    The Masters of Inconsistency

    The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last season we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an...

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    Deserved Wins - Quality Starts Need Support

    Deserved Wins:  We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts *  .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (As a reminder, Quality Starts is defined by Bill James as a start where the pitcher has gone at...

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    Consistency Factor - Vital Draft Day Intelligence

    Here's an update on an indicator we developed last season: Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head...

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    Technical Indicators - First Basemen

    Here's a look at the first basemen and some of the indicators used in developing their 2008 projections (these notes can be found in the software as well). In no particular order: Delgado, Carlos Eroding skill set, but decent...

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    Technical Indicators - Starting Pitchers Part 2

    Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,...

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    Technical Indicators - Starting Pitchers Part 1

    Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,...

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    Mock Draft Simulator

    Get your Mock on...our new Mock Draft module may become one of the most addicting fantasy tools that you've ever utilized. Fantasy GMs can now simulate a fantasy draft before draft day while utilizing their specific scoring rules. More...

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    Second Half Rankings - Pitchers Edition

    Second Half Rankings Hitters Edition Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/07/07) Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second...

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    Under / Over Performing Pitchers

    In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =...

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    April's Under/Over Performing Batters

    April's Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is almost in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves...

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    Pre Season Pitcher Box Scores

    Preseason Pitcher Box Scores

     

    It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is underway and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the early preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially veteran pitchers, sometimes try new things during the early games of the spring. I typically pay particular attention to the players coming off of an injury or young pitchers trying to make the rotation:

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    Player Projections Blog - March 26th

    The D-backs Edgar Gonzalez has pitched extremely well this spring, since March 9th. Gonzalez has pitched 19 Innings, while only allowing 14 baserunners, 3 Earned Runs on 12 Ks. During his  5 year minor league career Edgar posted unspectacular...

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    Player Projections Blog - March 25th

    Quick Pitches: Cubs Wade Miller likely locked a rotation spot on Saturday night when he tossed 5 innings of 3 hit ball. As we've discussed, Miller isn't the same pitcher who won 16 in 2001, his fastball is topping...

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    Young Stud Pitchers: Off and Running

    Sure preseason box scores can be deceiving, especially when we're taking about veteran pitchers or others who are coming into camp with a secure rotation spot. However when we're dealing with young pitchers vying for a starting job, these...

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    Early Spring Performance - The Hitting Prospects

    With 2 weeks of Spring action in the books, today we'll take a peak at how the young prospects are performing. For veteran players, spring stats are to be ingested but not digested. Veteran players typically take it easy during...

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    Runs Scored - The Ugly Duckling of Fantasy Baseball

    New Page 1 3/17/2007 Runs Scored - The Ugly Duckling of Fantasy Baseball Part II Earlier this week we discussed the players who led the league in Runs Scored Percentage. This morning we'll take a look at the guys...

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    Young Players on the Upswing this Spring

    HOU Hunter Pence OF - The last thing the Astros expected coming into this spring was another outfield playing time dilemma.  With a cast that already includes Lee/ Scott / Lane / Burke / Hidalgo, Hunter Pence is making a...

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    The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk)

    The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last week we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup.

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    Player Projections Blog - March 9th 2007

    The following news items were collected from each MLB team's Official website, and its impact is updated each morning in our player projections software. O's Daniel Cabrera Starting to Dominate "I'm starting to see all the things that I...

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    Forecating Tools: Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%)

    Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher's Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with Stranded Percentages of about .75 usually have successful ERA and Win totals.

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    Player Projections Blog - March 2nd

    3/02/2007 Players who have improved physically   Every year we hear about players who come into camp with an improved physique. It sure makes for great chatter around the water cooler, but does it really have an effect on...

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    Player Projections Blog - March 1st

    Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Tankersley's Shoulder Ailing - Florida's Closer situation wide open Tankersley, Taylor - Fla/RP: As the Palm Beach Post reports, "Already down a starting pitcher, the Marlins opened...

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    Expected ERA (XERA)

    Expected ERA (XERA) depicts a pitcher's "True ERA" as it bases its expectation on factors within a pitcher's control. These factors include Hits, Walks, Home Runs allowed and K's. When you consider the inequity with the ERA calculation, specifically related to errors and base runners inherited/left, many including myself consider XERA to be a more precise gauge of ability.

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    Player Projections Blog - February 27,2007

    Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Ken Griffey Jr. still on the mend Griffey Jr., Ken - Cin/OF: According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, "Ken Griffey Jr. and Gary Majewski remain the only Reds...

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    Player Projections Blog - February 26,2007

    Good Day Folks!

    Today is the start of our daily 2007 Pre-Season Player Projections Blog. Starting today, through the last day of the Spring season (with the exception of Sundays), we'll be making comments on players and adjusting their valuations within our player projections software. Our aim is to provide you with the most comprehensive and up to date set of information as you prepare for your fantasy draft.

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    Kevin Kouzmanoff | San Diego | Third Base

    A sixth-round pick in 2003, Kevin Kouzmanoff is light on physical tools yet heavy on outstanding numbers. Kouzmanoff hit .330 in 2004 and .339 in 2005, and then made those numbers look downright pathetic after moving up to the high minors last season.

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    Baseball Rants

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