First Pitch - June 20, 2007 - Batting Average Production (Current vs. 3-Year Averages)

Jun 19, 2007

style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Batting Average Production (Current
vs. 3-Year Averages)

Good
morning everybody.Â Today we are going to
focus on the category of batting average.Â
I don't know about your squads, but this is one area of the game in
which my rotisserie team seems to be out to set new records for futility. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â (My team bats under
.200 as a team on any given day regularly.Â
My team AVG is below .250.Â But I
digress.)Â

Since we
know that batters generally regress to their statistical means, we can analyze
the players whose AVGs this season are really out of whack with their 3-year
averages.Â Based on this analysis alone,
I would expect a batter whose AVG this season is significantly below their
3-year AVG is a good bet to improve their AVG this season. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Conversely, I would expect a batter whose AVG
this season is significantly above their 3-year AVG is a good bet to see their AVG
decline this season.

We will
then take the analysis one step further, and add EYE (BB/K) to the mix. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Â We know from past research ( href="http://www.fantistics.com/baseball00/M-Reference-BBK1.htm">click here
and here
for all the gory details) that there is a strong correlation between EYE and
AVG.Â In general, the higher the EYE, the
higher the AVG for the player.Â Also in
general, players with an EYE 1.00 or above are .300 hitters. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â So, with this knowledge in hand, we can do
another comparison.Â We'll compare EYE
from this season to batters' 3-year EYE.Â
Our end result will again be the same.Â
We would expect a batter whose EYE this season is significantly below
their 3-year AVG is a good bet to improve their EYE this season (and thus, an
even higher likelihood that they will in turn also raise their AVG). style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Conversely, we would expect a batter whose EYE
this season is significantly above their 3-year EYE is a good bet to see their EYE
decline this season (and with a declining EYE comes a greater chance that their
AVG would also decline).

In order to
define the population of hitters, I set up minimum AB criteria for both the
current season (min. 150 AB) and the 3-year (min. 350 average AB during seasons
2004 - 2006) timeframes.Â A player had to
meet both of these to qualify for the analysis.

The first list
of players below are those with significantly lower AVGs this season than their
3-year AVGs (specifically, they have lower AVGs this season than their 3-year
AVGs by 15% or more).Â These players are
good bets to improve.

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0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt'>

Wow! style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â It's like my whole team there! style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Lugo, Kendall, Andruw,
Paul, Pat, Ian, style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Travis...how's it goin' boys?!?! style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Seriously, this list speaks for itself. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â If you have these players don't panic, just
endure the suffering and know that better days are likely ahead. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â Also consider targeting some of these guys as
"buy-low" candidates from a frustrated owner.

The next
list are players with significantly higher AVGs this season than their 3-year
AVGs (specifically, they have higher AVGs this season than their 3-year AVGs by
15% or more).Â These players are good
bets to see their AVG decline.

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0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt'>

style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>PLAYER	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>3-YR BA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>BA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>DIFF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>%DIFF
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Posada, Jorge C NYY	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.270	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.345	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.075	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>28%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Cabrera, w:st="on">Orlando SS ANA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.269	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.343	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.074	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>28%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Ordonez, Magglio RF DET	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.297	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.370	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.073	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>25%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Swisher, Nick RF OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.245	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.295	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.050	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>20%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Holliday, Matt LF w:st="on">COL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.310	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.363	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.053	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Byrnes, Eric CF ARI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.263	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.306	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.043	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Glaus, Troy 3B TOR	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.255	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.294	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.039	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Renteria, Edgar SS ATL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.286	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.330	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.044	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>15%

style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Jorge Posada style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'> definitely deserves to be atop this
list.Â An AVG 28% greater than your norm
at this point in his career coupled with a decline in EYE by more than 30% says
the AVG is due to fall.Â On the other
side of things, Nick Swisher (56%
EYE increase) and Magglio Ordonez
(110% EYE increase) have both significantly improved their EYE to go along with
the increase in AVG, so their production should be considered the most legit.

Now we will
switch gears and look at the EYE statistic.Â
Same format as above with AVG.Â
The first list of players below are those with significantly lower EYE
this season than their 3-year EYE (specifically, they have lower EYE this
season than their 3-year EYE by 33% or more).Â
These players are good bets to improve.

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0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt'>

The
following players appear on both the "expected to improve in AVG" and
the "expected to improve in EYE" lists: Kendall, Gibbons, style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Vizquel, Graffanino, Delgado, and
Aurilia. style='mso-spacerun:yes'>Â These guys should improve in both areas.

The next
list are players with significantly higher EYE this season than their 3-year
EYE (specifically, they have higher EYE this season than their 3-year EYE by
50% or more).Â These players are good
bets to see their EYE decline.

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0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt'>

The
following players appear on both the "expected to decline in AVG" and
the "expected to decline in EYE" lists: Ordonez and Swisher (but
we covered them already above, and believe that although their AVGs may be due
for a decline, the improvement in EYE is a good thing, and helps to legitimize
the increased AVG).

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Fantasy Strategy

Jun 19, 2007

First Pitch - June 20, 2007 - Batting Average Production (Current vs. 3-Year Averages)

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style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>PLAYER	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>3-YR BA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>BA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>DIFF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>%DIFF
w:st="on">Lugo style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>, Julio SS BOS	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.283	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.205	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.079	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-28%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Kennedy, Adam 2B STL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.283	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.211	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.072	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-25%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Sexson, Richie 1B SEA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.262	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.198	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.063	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-24%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Kendall, Jason C OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.295	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.225	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.070	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-24%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Gibbons, Jay LF BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.268	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.210	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.058	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-22%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Jones, Andruw CF ATL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.261	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.205	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.057	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-22%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Vizquel, Omar SS SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.286	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.224	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.061	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-22%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Atkins, Garrett 3B w:st="on">COL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.311	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.244	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.067	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-21%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Burrell, Pat LF PHI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.267	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.211	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.056	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-21%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Ensberg, Morgan 3B HOU	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.268	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.213	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.054	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-20%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Patterson, Corey CF BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.254	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.205	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.049	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-19%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Kinsler, Ian 2B w:st="on">TEX	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.286	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.231	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.055	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-19%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>LaRoche, Adam A. 1B PIT	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.275	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.223	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.052	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-19%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Dye, Jermaine RF CHW	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.285	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.232	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.053	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-19%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Delgado, Carlos 1B NYM	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.279	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.229	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.050	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-18%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Konerko, Paul 1B CHW	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.291	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.238	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.052	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-18%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Mora, Melvin 3B BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.297	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.245	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.052	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-18%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Drew, J.D. RF BOS	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.292	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.241	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.051	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Uribe, Juan SS CHW	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.257	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.213	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.045	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Berkman, Lance 1B HOU	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.308	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.255	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.053	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Crede, Joe 3B CHW	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.260	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.216	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.044	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-17%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Graffanino, Tony 2B MIL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.283	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.237	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.046	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-16%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Brown, Emil LF KC	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.287	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.244	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.043	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Lopez, Felipe SS WAS	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.275	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.234	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.041	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Aurilia, Rich 3B SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.277	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.236	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.042	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Hafner, Travis DH CLE	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.308	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.262	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.046	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Damon, Johnny CF NYY	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.302	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.257	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.045	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Sweeney, Mike DH KC	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.287	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.245	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.042	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-15%

style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>PLAYER	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>3-YR EYE	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>EYE	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>DIFF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>%DIFF
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Kendall, Jason C OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.20	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.40	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.80	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-67%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Huff, Aubrey 1B BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.69	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.27	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.43	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-62%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Rodriguez, Ivan C DET	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.29	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.11	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.17	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-60%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Gibbons, Jay LF BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.54	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.26	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.27	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-51%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Estrada, Johnny C MIL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.50	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.25	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.25	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-50%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Vizquel, Omar SS SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.98	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.52	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.47	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-48%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Johjima, w:st="on">Kenji C w:st="on">SEA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.43	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.24	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.20	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-46%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Pierre, Juan CF LA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.00	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.57	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.43	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-43%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Belliard, Ronnie 2B WAS	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.52	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.31	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.22	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-41%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Biggio, Craig 2B HOU	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.44	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.26	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.18	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-41%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Graffanino, Tony 2B MIL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.65	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.39	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.27	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-41%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Delgado, Carlos 1B NYM	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.61	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.36	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.24	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-40%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Dunn, Adam LF CIN	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.60	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.36	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.24	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-40%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Chavez, Eric 3B OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.72	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.44	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.28	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-39%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Rollins, Jimmy SS PHI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.72	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.44	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.28	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-39%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Molina, Bengie C SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.51	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.32	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.19	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-38%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Sanchez, Freddy 3B PIT	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.63	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.40	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.23	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-37%
w:st="on">Durham style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>, Ray 2B SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.87	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.56	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.31	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-36%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Giles, Brian RF SD	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.53	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.00	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.53	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-35%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Winn, Randy RF SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.60	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.40	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.20	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-34%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Aurilia, Rich 3B SF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.57	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.38	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-0.19	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>-33%

style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>PLAYER	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>3-YR EYE	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>EYE	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>DIFF	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>%DIFF
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Reyes, Jose B. SS NYM	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.44	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.14	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.70	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>157%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Kennedy, Adam 2B STL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.47	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.14	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.67	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>141%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Rowand, Aaron CF PHI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.29	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.62	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.33	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>114%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Ordonez, Magglio RF DET	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.63	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.31	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.69	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>110%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Guerrero, w:st="on">Vladimir RF ANA	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.86	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.61	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.75	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>88%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Stewart, Shannon LF OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.71	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.25	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.54	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>76%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Wilson, Jack SS PIT	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.46	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.81	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.35	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>75%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Griffey, Ken CF CIN	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.58	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.00	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.42	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>72%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Jeter, Derek SS NYY	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.60	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.03	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.43	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>71%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Francoeur, Jeff RF ATL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.18	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.30	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.12	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>70%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Burrell, Pat LF PHI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.66	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>1.10	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.45	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>68%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Pierzynski, A.J. C CHW	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.38	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.61	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.24	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>63%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Hudson, w:st="on">Orlando 2B ARI	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.59	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.93	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.34	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>58%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Swisher, Nick RF OAK	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.58	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.91	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.32	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>56%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Patterson, Corey CF BAL	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.24	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.36	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.13	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>54%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Izturis, Cesar SS CHC	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.60	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.92	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.32	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>54%
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Morneau, Justin 1B MIN	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.53	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.79	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>0.27	style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>51%

First Pitch - June 20, 2007 - Batting Average Production (Current vs. 3-Year Averages)

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