Eugenio Suarez- 3B- ARI- Hot- Suarez slugged 4 homers last night, 3 solo blasts and one with a man on. It extended his modest hitting streak to 4 games and he has scored in each one of those. Suarez got his average just above the Mendoza line at .202 and he has slugged 10 homers now. He has a BABIP of .167, so regression to the mean will boost his average. Suarez is in good shape to exceed his 30 homers last year. Before yesterday his EV was 93.7 and HardHit% was 56.7%. A power surge wasn't unexpected but coming all at one is historical. Suarez is the 19th player to do that in MLB history.
Clay Holmes- P- NYM- Hot- So far the "Clay Holmes as a Starter" experiment can be deemed a success. Yesterday he tossed 5 shutout IP, given up 4 this, walking no one, and striking out 2. Holes' previous start was his only quality start, as he went a season-high 6 IP. His ERA is 2.64, but he has allowed more than 2 ERs in only one of his 6 starts. Holmes' strikeout rate yesterday was low for him this season as his K/9 is 10.57. His control is inconsistent as his BB/9 is 3.82 but 7 of his 13 walks came in 2 of his starts. The hope is that Holmes can get stretched out farther as the season progresses. However, he will have value if this becomes his established norm and he doesn't routinely last 6 IP.
Austin Hays- OF- CIN- Hot- Hays has continued his hot delayed start of the 2025 season. Yesterday he hit 2 homers, giving him 5 for the season in 49 PAs. Hays is slashing .386/.449/.449. Hays is enjoying a .429 BABIP, but his xBA before yesterday was still a .337, so still healthy. He has a 91.8 EV, 50.0% HardHit%, and 20.0% Barrel%. Those numbers will probably go down but the longer this hot streak lasts or just declines in a minor way the better the chances he will put up a career year. Having Great American Ballpark as his home won't hurt Hays, but so far he is performing better on the road.
Zach Neto- SS- LAA- Hot- Neto has recorded two 3-hit games in his last 3 appearances. He is now 7-for-13 in that stretch and has boosted his average from .118 to .300. That's what can happen in 3 games when your season starts on April 18. Neto hit his 3rd homer yesterday in 31 PAs. Before yesterday he had a 95.8 EV and 16.7% Barrel%. We are talking extremely small sample size, but the power Neto showed in 2024 is there in this early going.
Robbie Ray- P- SF- Hot- Ray tossed a gem yesterday, allowing 2 runs in 7 IP on 5 hits while walking 1 and striking out 8. It was Ray's 2nd quality start of thew season. He has given up more than 2 runs twice in his 4 starts and not more than 4 in any one outing. Ray has been overperforming some as his ERA is 3.73 while his FIP is 4.82 and xFIP 4.45. He was projected to have a 3.58 ERA with 199 Ks in 176 IPs this season. That's still reasonable and would put him back to where he was in 2022 before undergoing Tommy John surgery.
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