Recently I had a discussion with an industry colleague on the trend and effectiveness of passing on the top pitchers in this years draft, despite their discounted prices. I feel that this is a trend that needs to be addressed and possibly exploited.
This 2009 draft day sentiment likely stems from 2008, a season when 8 of the expected top 20 studs failed to finish the year in the top 30 (6 of 8 had significant injuries). In our continuing conversation, this individual went on to say that he's following the LIMA plan this year. For those who are not familiar with the BaseballHQ strategy, LIMA stands for Low Investment Mound Aces. According to Wikipedia:
• LIMA: A 5x5 Rotisserie strategy that proposes spending a maximum of $60 out of a $260 budget on pitching, spending a maximum of $30 on saves, ignoring all other pitching categories, and drafting pitchers who will pitch the fewest innings possible. The idea behind this is that if money is spent on the pitchers with the best skills, you will draft a team with a good ERA and WHIP, without "chasing" after fickle statistics such as wins. Pitchers should be targeted if they possess the following skills: