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NL Player Notes - July 30th, 2011

Paul Sauberer

Hunter Pence- PHI- Trade- The Phillies acquired Pence as regression to the mean may have been raising its ugly head. He has gone 9-for-46 since the All Star Break and with a BABIP still at .368 there is room for more downward pressure. Pence also moves from a very hitter-friendly park to one that has been in its history but isn't so much this year. Citizens Bank Park has ballpark factors of .997 for homers and .961 for hits while Minute Maid Park's numbers are 1.247 and 1.032 respectively. The move doesn't give Pence more value and he still remains a sell high candidate.

Brian Wilson- SF- Cold- Since he came on in extra innings Wilson's converted save opportunities streak still stands at 9, but he took the loss yesterday after retiring only 1 of the 4 batters he faced and allowing Edgar Renteria's walk off hit. A lot of Wilson's problems this month (3.75 ERA and 1.67 WHIP) may b due to plain old bad luck. His .351 BABIP for July has had an impact. He is still getting the saves and that is the important thing from a closer.

Dan Uggla- ATL- Hot- Uggla extended his current hitting streak to 20 games by going 1-for-4 with a homer. Regression to the mean is starting to kick in for Uggla in a positive way. His BABIP is still at .221 so you can expect some more production from him as his horrendous luck earlier in the season evens out.

Felipe Lopez- MIL- Hot- Lopez wasted no time in making a good impression as he started a second tour of duty with the Brewers. He went 2-for-4 with a run scored last night. Lopez did a horrible job of strike zone control in his stints with the Rays earlier this season, with a BB% of 3.9% and a K% of 26.4% in 102 PAs. He also tends to have his value correlate very closely with his BABIP as he tends to have a high percentage of ground balls. If he is more patient at the plate and gets some good luck, Lopez can provide some value. He is a gamble.

Cameron Maybin- SD- Hot- Maybin went 3-for-5 with 2 doubles and a run yesterday. He is now hitting .387 and has hit safely in 13 of his last 14 games. His BABIP stands at .360 for the season so this streak could come to a crashing halt when regression to the mean sets in.


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