Chase Burns, SP, Cincinnati Reds
Burns will officially be called up to make his big league debut this Tuesday. Add him everywhere. Dump the rest of your FAAB in every league. Burns has made 13 starts across three minor league levels and they have been nothing short of dominant. In 66 innings, he has a 1.77 ERA, 2.13 FIP, and 1.98 xFIP. He's struck out 36.8% of batters, while only walking 5.4%. There could be some homerun risk, as he only has gotten groundballs at 43.5%, and allows balls to be pulled at 42.9%. That being said, there is just such a high floor when you consider his stuff, pedigree, and performance. He might not be an ace right out of the gate, but I cannot imagine he won't provide immediate value.
Ben Casparius, RP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Casparius came in to start the game after Shohei Ohtani opened it with a clean first inning. Casparius ended up going 5 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, allowing one hard hit ball. Casparius has been used as a long reliever for the Dodgers, and when you consider the fact that he pitches well more innings than a regular reliever without making starts, Casparius has developed a nice niche value. Across 52.2 IP, he's striking out 25% of batters while only walking 5.2%. Casparius has a unique ability to throw both a true four seam (18.2 IVB) along with a true sweeper (-14 HB), which gives him the ability to attack hitters a variety of ways. His quality of contact is super low (.347 xwOBACON), despite a 16th Percentile groundball rate. xERA (2.87), FIP (2.23) and xFIP (3.43) also really like what he brings to the table. If you're desperate for some ratio help, Casparius is a better option than an 8th inning guy in non-Hold leagues.
Wenceel Perez, OF, Detroit Tigers
Perez went 2-4 with 2 R, HR, 3 RBI on three hard hit balls. He's now slashing .296/.346/.648 on the season across 78 PAs. 78 PAs is a small sample, but it's astounding. He's barrelling 17.3% of balls and punching out at only 21.3%. His 36.5% Pull Air rate will come down, but enjoy it for now if you have him. Perez also has manageable whiff (29.5%) and chase (30.9%) rates, although slightly high. The quality of contact is really great right now. I'll bet on a 25 year old, former top prospect in a good lineup anyday.
Will Warren, SP, New York Yankees
Warren went 6.1 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K on a Sunday morning game against the O's. He allowed 6 hard hit balls and posted a 29% CSW. In Warren's last three starts, he's gone 18 IP, 5 ER, 3 BB, and 21 K's. That will put him into fantasy relevance for sure. Warren has some appealing aspects to his profile but is a very incomplete pitcher. To start, he generates a punchouts for a starter (30%), and gets a respectable number of groundballs (43.6%). The quality of contact leans a little too far not in his favor, unfortunately. Warren has a 49.7% hard hit rate against, and a league average 16.8% Pull Air rate will not mitigate homers and extra base hits. Warren's primary issue is the lack of quality secondaries. Despite a premium fastball (.272 xwOBA against) that he throws often (38.6%), his secondaries get shelled. The sweeper, his second most used pitch at 23.5%, is running a .334 xwOBA, and his sinker (18.7%) is running a .356 xwOBA. He needs to ditch that pitch. Unfortunately, the lack of a second pitch really puts a ceiling on Warren. I take him at his 3.57 xERA value.
Max Muncy, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
Muncy had a huge day going 2-4 with 2 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI and K on two hard hit balls. Muncy started off the season slow, but he ran an .851 OPS in May and is running at 1.082 in June. He's walking at a career high 17%, which is better than 8 of Barry Bonds' 22 seasons. While an odd fact, one that speaks volumes about how high 17% is. Muncy is hitting 50.9% of balls hard and has 11 homers in one of the best lineups in baseball. BUY!
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