In our continuing series on the Sabermetric analysis that shapes our Player projections in our 2017 Player Projections Software. Today we'll take a look at some of the indicators that are defining our 2017 Pitcher projections: Liriano, Francisco Struggled

In our continuing series on the Sabermetric analysis that shapes our Player projections in our 2017 Player Projections Software. Today we'll take a look at some of the indicators that are defining our 2017 Outfielder projections: Fowler, Dexter The move

Hit the ball hard and good things happen! This article is a rehash of a successful article we posted in 2016, where we identified players that we speculated could see an increase in HRs. As I wrote in a recent

In our continuing series on the Sabermetric analysis that shapes our Player projections in our 2017 Player Projections Software. Today we'll take a look at some of the indicators that are defining our 2017 pitcher projections. Below is a small

Hi Folks, below is our annual review (2017) on the correlation/predictability for the statistical categories that many of us use in our rotisserie leagues.    Over the next few weeks, many  of us are about to draft the fantasy teams

In our continuing series on the Sabermetric analysis that shapes our Player projections in our 2017 Player Projections Software. Today we'll take a look at some of the indicators that are defining our 2017 catcher projections: Gattis, Evan Heavy flyball hitter

Sabermetric analysis is and has been the foundation of our Fantasy Baseball player projections since 1999. This analysis along with our founding concept of position scarcity, has helped us achieve superior consistency in projections accuracy. All of which can

2017 HR/FB Rate: More than just Batted Ball Speed As I wrote last season, new baseball data continues to emerge yearly, continually granting us insight into a player's core skill/ability.  Indicators such as HR/FB rates are suddenly no longer looked at as blanket

Here's the latest ADP shifts that we've taken note of since the the fantasy Baseball draft season kicked off in the middle of February. As you'll see below, the player news flow does make it's impact on Average Draft Position

Lift Me: Players that could see a rise in HRs in 2016 Hit the ball hard and good things happen! As I wrote in a recent article, the correlation last year between Hard Hit % and HR/FB rate was approximately +.66

It's widely accepted and understood that hitters do have control on their BABIP range. BABIP or Batting Average on Balls in Play is not a one size fits all indicator. Examples of this include quick runners who have a higher

Sabermetric analysis is and has been the foundation of our Fantasy Baseball player projections since 1999. This analysis along with our founding concept of position scarcity, has helped us achieve superior consistency in projections accuracy. All of which can

HR/FB Rate: More than just Batted Ball Speed As I wrote earlier this year, new baseball data continues to emerge yearly, continually granting us insight into a player's core skill/ability. Fangraphs.com among others, has been instrumental in bringing that quality data

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of our 2016 Fantasy Baseball Season! This morning we have released 2016 Fantistics Fantasy Baseball Player Projections/ Draft Advisory Software. The Windows version is available for immediate download, with the Mac version coming

Welcome to the start of the MLB season! Tonight when the Cubs host the Cardinals at 8PM ET, the season officially gets underway. Below is our weekly Coaches Meeting, researched by our Shane Cole, for Week #1. Play Ball!

Sabermetric analysis is and has been the foundation of our Fantasy Baseball player projections since 1999. This analysis along with our founding concept of position scarcity, has helped us achieve superior consistency in projections accuracy. All of which can

Sabermetric analysis is and has been the foundation of our Fantasy Baseball player projections since 1999 Sabermetric analysis is and has been the foundation of our Fantasy Baseball player projections since 1999. This analysis along with our founding concept

I've been fortunate to have fantasy sports in my life. This time of the year, after the extended family is gone and the post holiday blues are about to set in....there's fantasy baseball waiting in the wings. As tradition has

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially

Player Consistency Several years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications in  Head to Head and Daily leagues, as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece every season because of

As we move beyond the all star break, it's time to set our sights on the 2nd half. Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season. One

In our continuing series on player recommendations, the latest edition of Strategy Manager + highlights the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production this season. On the ranking sheet (Pitcher Rankings for June) you will find 5 tiers

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially

New Page 2 Player Consistency Revisited Several years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece

In our continuing series on player recommendations, the latest edition of Strategy Manager + highlights the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production this season. The under and over producers are listed according to their projected rankings through the

Under/Over Performing Pitchers May Update 2012 (see the Recommendations) In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have

It's happened to all of us. We're sitting down watching our stud fantasy pitcher, and before we get out of the first inning it's apparent that it's going to be a long day....a real long day. Your pitcher is getting

Hi Folks, below is our annual review (2016) on the correlation/predictability for the statistical categories that many of us use in our rotisserie leagues.    Over the next few weeks, many  of us are about to draft the fantasy teams

Image via WikipediaSeveral years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece every season because of it's

One of my favorite indicators is our BHIP or Singles Average calculation. Singles Average (BHIPx%) - defined as the success percentage of batted balls hit into play (Singles/(AB-K-2B-3B-HR)).  The typical percentage for singles is around .250. Every year there are

Lets face it, it's a dilemma that many Fantasy GMs face on draft day: How valuable is speed in relation to power. Let's start by examining how Rotisserie values a Stolen Base verses a Home Run: If you play

Expected ERA (XERA) depicts a pitcher's "True ERA" based on the factors within a pitcher's control. These factors include Hits, Walks, Home Runs allowed and K's. When one considers the inequity with the ERA calculation, specifically related to defense and

Hi Folks, As we move beyond the All Star game, let's reacquaint ourselves with some basics. Like many of you, I take this opportunity to assess my needs in order to better my chances for success. I always say

In our continuing series on player recommendations, the latest edition of Strategy Manager + highlights the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production this season. The under and over producers are listed according to their projected rankings through

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean.

The first 5 weeks of the 2011 Baseball Season are history and as typical there are quite a few players who are struggling and a quite a few who are posting MVP type numbers...but who deserves to be where?  Welcome

It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is underway and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the early preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially veteran pitchers, sometimes

Mac users no longer have to wait for an extensive fantasy baseball draft program. The Fantistics Player projections software is now available for Mac OSX users!

The Inconsistent Player Several years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece every season because

Last week we discussed the shift we've seen from pitchers in this post PEDs era. Today we're going to look at what's happening on the offensive side. Like Yin and Yang, what happens on one side must also affect

2011: Here comes the Small Ball Last season, just about this time, I wrote an article labeled 2010: Say Hello to The Dominance of Starting Pitching (part II) and has fate would have it...by the end of the season, 2010

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of the 2014 fantasy baseball season! With Pitchers and Catchers reporting in a few short weeks, one of the ways I open a new season is by taking a look back at the previous

In our continuing series on player recommendations, the latest edition of Strategy Manager + highlights the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production this season. The under and over producers are listed according to their projected rankings through

If you play in a Rotisserie league and would like to give different weights to each Roto category that you select, you can with our player projections software. Within the Setup|Edit League Settings section, select the Rotisserie scoring option and

UMA - Undervalued Mound Aces.  A situation predicated by a market condition in the fantasy community where: TOP TIER PITCHERS are discounted beyond reasonable ration.  Yes pitchers are more injury prone thus offering less predictability, however they are being

Consistency Factor Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head to Head league, you probably already know the

Hi Folks, It's time for us to revisit our yearly piece on XERA: As many of you already know, Fantistics uses Sabermetric theories to create our player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One

Hi Folks, The first spring training sites have officially opened! Most importantly player news is starting to trickle in (down below). Before we get to it, lets visit a topic which is possibly related to the decline in offensive production:

Cleveland Indians Prospect C Carlos Santana  Born: 04/08/1986 - Height: 5'11" - Weight: 190 - Bats: Switch - Throws: Right We have recently hit a pretty productive vein of young catchers and Indian's trade of Victor Martinez to the

Atlanta Braves Prospect OF Jason Heyward  The Braves boast one of baseball's top prospect in 20-year-old Jason Heyward. Already 6-4 220 lbs, Jason won't be 21 until August 9th but the 14th overall pick in the 2007 draft entered

Hi Folks, The player news is fairly slow this time of season as the players don't start arriving to camps until next week. However it's a great time to take a look back and see what's trending. 2010: Say

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of our 2010 preseason newsletter. Over the next 2 months we'll be discussing a wide range of topics related to fantasy baseball. From draft insight & strategy to minor league prospects....you'll find it here,

"Are all Fantasy Baseball Projections and Rankings the same and or more beneficial than ADP?" Fantistics Player Projections has utilized a time tested forecasting algorithm that has allowed it to maintain its status as a leader in fantasy baseball

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of the 2010 season! One of the ways I open a new season is by taking a look back at the previous one. Below is the link to the Historical Fantasy Values and some

Marc Rzepczynski has moved up through the Blue Jays system pretty much under the radar. Although considered to be a prospect before the start of the season, everyone including us had him outside of the top 5 prospects in the

Noted and famed Baseball Statistician Bill James recently opened up on the Steroid controversy.  He takes quite an interesting take on the subject (Cooperstown and the ‘Roids), and his conclusion is diametric to what you would expect from the

Hi folks, as we all know the second portion of the season is pivotal in our quest to have an admirable finish. I always say that you need two things to win a fantasy championship: Skill & the absence

With the half way point here, it's time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2009. Subscribing to the regression to the mean concept (the statistical term referring

In our continuing series on the the "Over" and "Under" producers, presented is the June Hitter's edition. As we mentioned in the last report, all Major League Players hit hot and cold stretches during the season....and since our first report

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. I want to start this year's Pitcher segment by saying: historically pitchers have a much more difficult

The first 4 weeks of the 2009 Baseball Season are history and as typical there are quite a few players who are struggling and a quite a few who are posting MVP type numbers...but who deserves to be where?  Welcome

Recently I had a discussion with an industry colleague on the trend and effectiveness of passing on the top pitchers in this years draft, despite their discounted prices. I feel that this is a trend that needs to be

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with Stranded Percentages of

Consistency Factor Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head to Head league, you probably already know the importance

Here's a sweep through some of our handy indicators for the Outfielders. There will be more to analyze in the coming days due to the size of the position. The only position left after this one will be that of

Technical Indicators 3rd basemen Rodriguez, Alex ARod with juice .615 SLG/1.010 OPS...Arod off juice .572/.973...still a darn good player. Wright, David A better hitters background, but Citi Field has TALL walls. Numbers may stagnate in the power department. Longoria,

Hi Folks, Lets go straight to some highlights coming from the camps. Ken Griffey Jr is all about revivals, he signed with the Mariners yesterday. Griffey doesn't have much superstar production left in the tank, but at DH he

A few years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an indication of a batter's quality games or

Hi Folks, This morning we take a swing at the top tier catchers in this year's fantasy draft.  Since there is a finite number of positions that must be filled in most fantasy baseball leagues, catchers are and have

Hi Folks, Here's a second swing at a few key technical indicators that are shaping our 2009 pitcher projections.  These along with other player notes can be found in the notes section in the player projections software. In no

Deserved Wins:  One of our simplest Sabermetric formulas is Expected or Deserved Wins. We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts multiplied by a factor of .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (a Quality Start as

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes where I post a some of the technical indicators that influence our 2009 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes as we kick off the 2009 campaign.

Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/02/08)Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second half "positive trends" are due to

With the half way point officially upon us, it's a good time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2008. Subscribing to the regression to the mean

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =

Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves to be

Player Blurbs written by Michael Leone Eric Byrnes – Last year Byrnes had one of the best fantasy seasons among outfielders, but don’t buy into the hype just yet. His singles average was 43 points higher than his three year

Preseason Player Projections - March 28, 2008| article by Michael Berman What do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept Nationals 1B

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with

Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II Thursday we looked at the pitchers from 2007 who benefited from an ERA which was better "than deserved". This sabermetric formula is based on a statistic developed by researchers Dwight Gill and

As many of you already know, Fantistics uses sabermetric theories to create it's player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One of my favorite forecasting models that we monitor here at Fantistics is

Hi Guys, Here is another round of analytic notes. Again, many of the definitions for the indicators I am mentioning can also be found in our charting area as well.  This morning we take our second swing at the

The luck of the bounce - Balls Hit into Play Success % Balls Hit into Play Success %: defined as the number of balls hit into play that are registered as hits against a pitcher. Much has been written

The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last season we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an

Deserved Wins:  We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts *  .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (As a reminder, Quality Starts is defined by Bill James as a start where the pitcher has gone at

Here's an update on an indicator we developed last season: Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head

Here's a look at the first basemen and some of the indicators used in developing their 2008 projections (these notes can be found in the software as well). In no particular order: Delgado, Carlos Eroding skill set, but decent

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,

Get your Mock on...our new Mock Draft module may become one of the most addicting fantasy tools that you've ever utilized. Fantasy GMs can now simulate a fantasy draft before draft day while utilizing their specific scoring rules. More

Second Half Rankings Hitters Edition Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/07/07) Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =

April's Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is almost in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves

Preseason Pitcher Box Scores   It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is back and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially

The D-backs Edgar Gonzalez has pitched extremely well this spring, since March 9th. Gonzalez has pitched 19 Innings, while only allowing 14 baserunners, 3 Earned Runs on 12 Ks. During his  5 year minor league career Edgar posted unspectacular

Quick Pitches: Cubs Wade Miller likely locked a rotation spot on Saturday night when he tossed 5 innings of 3 hit ball. As we've discussed, Miller isn't the same pitcher who won 16 in 2001, his fastball is topping

Sure preseason box scores can be deceiving, especially when we're taking about veteran pitchers or others who are coming into camp with a secure rotation spot. However when we're dealing with young pitchers vying for a starting job, these

With 2 weeks of Spring action in the books, today we'll take a peak at how the young prospects are performing. For veteran players, spring stats are to be ingested but not digested. Veteran players typically take it easy during

New Page 1 3/17/2007 Runs Scored - The Ugly Duckling of Fantasy Baseball Part II Earlier this week we discussed the players who led the league in Runs Scored Percentage. This morning we'll take a look at the guys

HOU Hunter Pence OF - The last thing the Astros expected coming into this spring was another outfield playing time dilemma.  With a cast that already includes Lee/ Scott / Lane / Burke / Hidalgo, Hunter Pence is making a

The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last week we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an

The following news items were collected from each MLB team's Official website, and its impact is updated each morning in our player projections software. O's Daniel Cabrera Starting to Dominate "I'm starting to see all the things that I

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher's Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with

3/02/2007 Players who have improved physically   Every year we hear about players who come into camp with an improved physique. It sure makes for great chatter around the water cooler, but does it really have an effect on

Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Tankersley's Shoulder Ailing - Florida's Closer situation wide open Tankersley, Taylor - Fla/RP: As the Palm Beach Post reports, "Already down a starting pitcher, the Marlins opened

Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Expected ERA (XERA) depicts a pitcher's "True ERA" as it bases its expectation on factors within a pitcher's control. These factors include Hits, Walks, Home Runs allowed and K's. When you consider the inequity

Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Ken Griffey Jr. still on the mend Griffey Jr., Ken - Cin/OF: According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, "Ken Griffey Jr. and Gary Majewski remain the only Reds

Good Day Folks! Today is the start of our daily 2007 Pre-Season Player Projections Blog. Starting today, through the last day of the Spring season (with the exception of Sundays), we'll be making comments on players and adjusting their valuations

A sixth-round pick in 2003, Kevin Kouzmanoff is light on physical tools yet heavy on outstanding numbers. Kouzmanoff hit .330 in 2004 and .339 in 2005, and then made those numbers look downright pathetic after moving up to the

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